Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $185.4200 (-1.35%) ($182.8000 - $186.1200) on Mon. Feb. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $185.4200(-1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-17%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $189.69
5 Day Moving Average   $189.29(-2.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $190.08(-2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $189.69(-2.25%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   -225.9000 k (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2016	200.63	189.69	190.08	189.29			185.42(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-8	-10000	-14	10	191.53	37%	-0.05	-74.2	1.2%	0	-1.7	48	0
2	Feb_5_2016	200.74	190.03	190.38	190.93			187.95(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	2	-10000	-10	37	180.79	38%	-0.06	-83.1	1.19%	0	-0.9	52	0
3	Feb_4_2016	200.86	190.33	190.66	192.09			191.6(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	4	59	139.53	40%	-0.04	-89.1	1.17%	0	0.5	49	0
4	Feb_3_2016	200.95	190.64	190.2	191.59			191.3(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	6	48	205.05	40%	-0.03	-88.8	1.17%	0	0.2	54	0
5	Feb_2_2016	201.02	191.08	189.67	190.95			190.16(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	-0	17	182.56	40%	-0.03	-80.6	1.16%	0	-0.2	45	0

6	Feb_1_2016	201.08	191.58	189.46	190.96			193.65(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	11	12	136.06	42%	-0.01	-76	1.16%	0	0.5	51	0
7	Jan_29_2016	201.11	192.01	188.84	189.76			193.72(2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	6	-19	210.53	42%	-0.01	-84.2	1.16%	0	0.4	51	0
8	Jan_28_2016	201.14	192.54	188.57	189.12			189.11(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	-10000	5	-36	143.8	38%	-0.02	-74.6	1.11%	0	-0.7	42	0
9	Jan_27_2016	201.19	193.4	188.53	188.64			188.13(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	5	-69	185.68	38%	-0.05	-63.7	1.12%	0	-0.9	34	0
10	Jan_26_2016	201.29	194.23	189.04	188.14			190.2(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	4	-99	141.04	38%	-0.06	-56.7	1.11%	0	-0.6	33	0

11	Jan_25_2016	201.41	194.97	189.19	187.71			187.64(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-10000	-0	-133	130.37	36%	-0.02	-55.2	1.1%	0	-1	30	0
12	Jan_22_2016	201.46	195.88	189.61	187.75			190.52(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-44	-10000	-3	-166	168.32	40%	-0.02	-57.1	1.09%	0	-0.8	29	0
13	Jan_21_2016	201.51	196.53	189.91	188.03			186.69(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-10000	-4	-197	195.77	37%	-0.04	-55.4	1.08%	0	-1.3	20	0
14	Jan_20_2016	201.6	197.31	191.08	188.46			185.65(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-67	-10000	-16	-219	286.55	37%	-0.03	-55.4	1.08%	0	-1.6	16	0
15	Jan_19_2016	201.66	198.09	192.62	190.06			188.06(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-58	-10000	-8	-206	195.24	38%	-0.04	-54.5	1.07%	0	-1.5	24	0

16	Jan_15_2016	201.74	198.95	193.89	190.87			187.81(-2.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-59	-10000	-8	-210	324.85	41%	-0.06	-57.3	1.06%	0	-1.8	23	0
17	Jan_14_2016	201.86	199.98	195.48	191.69			191.93(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-55	-10000	-4	-206	240.8	43%	-0.01	-56.6	1.05%	0	-1.4	25	0
18	Jan_13_2016	201.88	200.66	196.82	192.11			188.83(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-67	-10000	-20	-207	221.17	40%	0	-57.3	1.03%	0	-2.1	26	0
19	Jan_12_2016	201.87	201.43	198.68	194.11			193.66(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-10000	-16	-168	172.33	44%	0.02	-59.5	0.99%	0	-1.5	36	0
20	Jan_11_2016	201.82	201.88	199.84	195.65			192.11(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-10000	-18	-135	187.94	44%	-0.03	-62.8	0.98%	0	-2.1	38	0

21	Jan_8_2016	201.88	202.61	201.24	197.43			191.92(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-45	-10000	-24	-107	209.82	44%	-0.06	-61.4	0.98%	0	-2.6	31	0
22	Jan_7_2016	202.01	203.33	202.72	199.82			194.05(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-37	-10000	-24	-74	213.44	46%	-0.07	-61.1	0.98%	0	-2.8	29	0
23	Jan_6_2016	202.15	204.01	203.77	202.2			198.82(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-23	-10000	-18	-38	152.11	50%	-0.06	-62.3	0.94%	0	-2.1	41	0
24	Jan_5_2016	202.27	204.49	204.14	203.92			201.36(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8	-10000	-8	-8	110.85	55%	-0.04	-50	0.93%	0	-1.4	49	0
25	Jan_4_2016	202.36	204.9	204.08	204.69			201.02(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-7	-10000	-9	-1	222.35	55%		-39.8	0.95%	0	-1.7	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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