Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $207.5000 (0.8%) ($206.5600 - $208.0300) on Wed. Jul. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $207.5000(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(94%)    QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    VYM(88%)    XLK(88%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $209.75
5 Day Moving Average   $207.69(-0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $209.51(-0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $209.75(-1.07%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   -92.2000 k (Fri. Jun. 26, 2015) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.9% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2015	209.76	209.75	209.51	207.69			207.5(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-9	-68	135.98	46%	0	-54.4	0.65%	0	-1.2	39	0
2	Jun_30_2015	209.75	209.98	209.84	208.29			205.85(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-29	-10000	-18	-61	182.93	45%	0	-49.4	0.64%	0	-2.3	37	0
3	Jun_29_2015	209.74	210.27	210.33	209.53			205.42(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-19	-10000	-18	-23	202.62	45%	0	-34.7	0.66%	0	-3.1	45	0
4	Jun_26_2015	209.74	210.6	210.77	210.82			209.82(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-3	18	104.17	51%	0.01	-22.2	0.61%	0	-0.7	56	0
5	Jun_25_2015	209.71	210.67	210.81	211.02			209.86(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-9	22	97.11	47%	0.03	-26.8	0.61%	0	-0.7	51	0

6	Jun_24_2015	209.65	210.79	210.99	211.6			210.5(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	12	-10000	-0	47	92.31	47%	0.03	-13.6	0.63%	0	-0.2	52	0
7	Jun_23_2015	209.59	210.89	211.04	211.62			212.04(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	5	46	68.48	49%	0.05	-15.3	0.63%	0	0.9	49	0
8	Jun_22_2015	209.48	210.82	210.69	211.26			211.89(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	8	27	70.7	49%	0.06	-32.2	0.63%	0	0.9	51	0
9	Jun_19_2015	209.36	210.86	210.35	210.71			210.81(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	3	-1	130.48	49%	0.04	-40.3	0.63%	0	-0	47	0
10	Jun_18_2015	209.27	210.98	210.25	210.55			212.78(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	1	-10000	4	-10	165.87	54%	0.06	-37.3	0.62%	0	1.3	54	0

11	Jun_17_2015	209.14	210.97	209.95	210.32			210.59(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-1	-28	126.71	52%	0.04	-32.4	0.63%	0	-0.3	42	0
12	Jun_16_2015	209.06	211.08	210.06	210.39			210.25(0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-10000	5	-28	85.31	55%	0.02	-21.1	0.63%	0	-0.6	39	0
13	Jun_15_2015	209.01	211.22	210.16	210.03			209.11(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-7	-10000	2	-34	124.38	55%	0.02	-20.8	0.65%	0	-1.4	45	0
14	Jun_12_2015	208.97	211.39	210.4	209.9			210.01(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	1	-45	135.38	58%	0.02	-21.4	0.65%	0	-0.9	40	0
15	Jun_11_2015	208.93	211.5	210.51	209.86			211.63(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-11	-10000	4	-54	73.88	60%	0.04	-11.8	0.66%	0	0.1	42	0

16	Jun_10_2015	208.84	211.43	210.56	209.56			210.95(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-19	-10000	-3	-67	134.55	56%	0.04	-11.4	0.66%	0	-0.3	43	0
17	Jun_9_2015	208.75	211.39	210.71	209.75			208.45(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-8	-66	105.03	53%	0	-4.2	0.67%	0	-1.9	32	0
18	Jun_8_2015	208.75	211.52	210.97	210.33			208.48(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-10000	-9	-62	89.06	53%	0.03	4.7	0.68%	0	-2.2	32	0
19	Jun_5_2015	208.68	211.7	211.43	210.95			209.77(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-10000	-4	-44	121.7	49%	0.05	23.6	0.69%	0	-1.7	39	0
20	Jun_4_2015	208.57	211.68	211.8	211.22			210.13(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-6	-35	151.88	49%	0.04	30.5	0.69%	0	-1.2	42	0

21	Jun_3_2015	208.48	211.6	212.09	211.69			211.92(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-2	-12	87.82	51%	0.05	27.5	0.69%	0	0.2	60	0
22	Jun_2_2015	208.37	211.6	212.19	211.85			211.36(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-10000	2	3	91.53	51%	0.04	21.9	0.69%	0	-0.1	59	0
23	Jun_1_2015	208.28	211.46	212.37	211.71			211.57(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-4	8	93.34	51%	0.03	20.5	0.69%	0	0.1	56	0
24	May_29_2015	208.21	211.42	212.47	212			211.14(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-6	16	124.92	51%	0.02	23	0.7%	0	-0.2	49	0
25	May_28_2015	208.16	211.31	212.59	212.47			212.46(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-10000	-1	42	74.97	51%		22.5	0.7%	0	0.7	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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