Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $207.9800 (0.34%) ($207.0800 - $208.5100) on Wed. Apr. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $207.9800(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(94%)    QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    VYM(88%)    XLK(88%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $207.05(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $206.71(0.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $207.48(0.24%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   -35.0000 k (Fri. Apr. 3, 2015) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2015	206.25	207.48	206.71	207.05			207.98(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	4	-45	89.35	62%	0.01	-18.1	0.79%	0	0.3	41	0
2	Apr_7_2015	206.23	207.34	206.76	206.74			207.28(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-2	-50	81.24	63%	0.01	-36.8	0.82%	0	-0	48	0
3	Apr_6_2015	206.2	207.39	206.99	206.93			207.83(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	5	-39	114.37	61%	0.03	-43.2	0.83%	0	0.2	48	0
4	Apr_2_2015	206.14	207.37	207.21	206.51			206.44(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	-10000	3	-33	86.9	58%	0.01	-54.3	0.86%	0	-0.5	53	0
5	Apr_1_2015	206.11	207.56	207.5	206.28			205.7(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	0	-32	137.3	58%	0	-59.6	0.86%	0	-0.9	48	0

6	Mar_31_2015	206.1	207.78	207.97	206.29			206.43(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-5	-16	126.77	56%	0.01	-60.2	0.87%	0	-0.7	57	0
7	Mar_30_2015	206.07	208.01	208.14	206.77			208.25(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-3	-10000	-4	1	96.18	57%	0.02	-52.4	0.87%	0	0.1	59	0
8	Mar_27_2015	206.02	208.18	208.17	207.12			205.74(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-10000	-11	6	118.94	56%	0.01	-45.4	0.85%	0	-1.1	45	0
9	Mar_26_2015	205.99	208.42	208.24	208.05			205.27(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-10	19	153.07	56%	0.01	-36.1	0.86%	0	-1.4	46	0
10	Mar_25_2015	205.96	208.73	208.47	208.9			205.76(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-1	-10000	-10	26	159.52	56%	0.02	-23.6	0.86%	0	-1.3	40	0

11	Mar_24_2015	205.91	209.03	208.41	209.84			208.82(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	10	-10000	2	32	77.81	58%	0.03	-9.6	0.84%	0	-0.1	46	0
12	Mar_23_2015	205.84	209.16	208.05	209.67			210(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	3	10	71.78	58%	0.04	-7.5	0.84%	0	0.4	46	0
13	Mar_20_2015	205.75	209.21	207.86	209.38			210.41(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	-10000	10	-3	177.72	58%	0.05	-8.4	0.84%	0	0.5	44	0
14	Mar_19_2015	205.64	209.23	207.54	208.47			209.5(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	5	-33	117.92	58%	0.06	-15.9	0.84%	0	0.1	46	0
15	Mar_18_2015	205.52	209.25	207.58	207.99			210.46(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	14	-42	228.81	62%	0.06	-15.9	0.84%	0	0.5	46	0

16	Mar_17_2015	205.39	209.23	207.5	206.79			207.96(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	7	-69	94.51	63%	0.06	-23.4	0.88%	0	-0.6	40	0
17	Mar_16_2015	205.27	209.34	207.78	206.2			208.58(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-21	-10000	0	-84	136.1	63%	0.06	-20.4	0.91%	0	-0.3	40	0
18	Mar_13_2015	205.15	209.4	208.07	206.15			205.83(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-4	-86	162.41	61%	0.06	-13	0.9%	0	-1.6	34	0
19	Mar_12_2015	205.03	209.58	208.55	206.49			207.1(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-26	-10000	-7	-84	93.99	58%	0.07	-3	0.91%	0	-1.2	36	0
20	Mar_11_2015	204.88	209.6	208.97	207.16			204.5(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-10000	-12	-71	110.15	56%	0.05	11.9	0.92%	0	-2.4	33	0

21	Mar_10_2015	204.77	209.76	209.72	208.31			204.98(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-22	-10000	-13	-49	157.12	53%	0.07	35.6	0.92%	0	-2.5	34	0
22	Mar_9_2015	204.62	209.8	210.44	209.53			208.36(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-8	-22	89.82	56%	0.1	58.7	0.92%	0	-0.7	44	0
23	Mar_6_2015	204.41	209.69	210.74	210.26			207.5(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7	-10000	-7	-5	188.13	56%	0.11	77.2	0.91%	0	-1	42	0
24	Mar_5_2015	204.19	209.65	211.15	210.89			210.46(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-2	15	76.87	59%	0.12	91.4	0.9%	0	0.4	63	0
25	Mar_4_2015	203.94	209.35	211.13	211.08			210.23(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-3	27	114.5	59%		91.6	0.9%	0	0.4	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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