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     Wed. Apr. 25, 2012

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $139.1900 (1.37%) ($138.5300 - $139.2500) on Wed. Apr. 25, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.72% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $139.1900(1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)    EWG(78%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-26%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $137.79(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average  $137.96(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average  $138.68(0.37%)
To recent high  -1.9%
To recent low  6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20120525

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Apr_25_2012133.71138.68137.96137.79  139.19(1.37%)DPOpenShort-650.9   -1   -10000   2   -9   150.25    61%0.1-39.30.72%00.3470
2Apr_24_2012133.57138.77137.74137.68  137.31(0.38%)DPOpenShort-75-0.2   -16   -10000   -7   -41   137.48    58%0.08-38.20.71%0-0.9360
3Apr_23_2012133.46138.98137.62138.03  136.79(-0.84%)DTOpenShort-75-0.7   -16   -10000   -1   -60   171.84    58%0.1-29.90.71%0-1.2330
4Apr_20_2012133.33139.13137.77138.08  137.95(0.17%)DTHoldShort-50-0.1   -16   -10000   3   -73   143.2    61%0.1-32.20.7%0-0.7400
5Apr_19_2012133.2139.2137.93137.92  137.72(-0.64%)DTOpenShort-75-0.1   -24   -10000   -4   -85   198.67    61%0.1-40.30.7%0-0.9420
 
6Apr_18_2012133.07139.33138.13138.13  138.61(-0.34%)DPOpenShort-650.3   -15   -10000   7   -80   123.88    61%0.15-36.40.69%0-0.4430
7Apr_17_2012132.87139.42138.35137.81  139.08(1.48%)DPOpenShort-650.8   -12   -10000   13   -88   147.88    61%0.15-40.70.7%0-0.2420
8Apr_16_2012132.67139.5138.59137.18  137.05(-0.07%)DTOpenShort-75-0.1   -34   -10000   -5   -121   147.83    57%0.16-42.90.68%0-1.5330
9Apr_13_2012132.46139.68138.96137.41  137.14(-1.19%)DTOpenShort-75-0.2   -36   -10000   -11   -110   169.25    57%0.04-33.90.69%0-1.6430
10Apr_12_2012132.41139.87139.28137.94  138.79(1.31%)DPOpenShort-750.6   -25   -10000   -4   -88   154.32    62%0.18-15.40.67%0-0.7500
 
11Apr_11_2012132.17139.93139.45138.15  137(0.81%)DPOpenShort-75-0.8   -36   -10000   -19   -88   154.13    58%0.1410.65%0-2400
12Apr_10_2012131.98140.1139.88139.01  135.9(-1.68%)DTOpenShort-75-2.5   -34   -10000   -26   -57   235.36    55%0.13400.65%0-3.3340
13Apr_9_2012131.81140.22140.48140.19  138.22(-1.12%)DTOpenShort-75-2   -10   -10000   -12   -4   127.56    63%0.2187.50.61%0-2390
14Apr_5_2012131.54140.21140.66140.71  139.79(-0.05%)UDOpenLong65-0.7   3   -10000   -2   16   137.44    70%0.1284.30.59%0-0.3480
15Apr_4_2012131.38140.09140.63140.8  139.86(-0.99%)UDOpenLong65-0.6   1   -10000   -3   11   146.9    70%0.1167.60.59%0-0.1460
 
16Apr_3_2012131.24139.91140.68140.92  141.26(-0.41%)UDOpenLong750.2   5   -10000   0   20   155.81    77%0.1354.80.57%00.7570
17Apr_2_2012131.07139.6140.59140.9  141.84(0.73%)UTOpenLong750.5   6   -10000   1   22   151.74    77%0.1247.10.59%01.1590
18Mar_30_2012130.91139.35140.47140.86  140.81(0.41%)UTOpenLong75-0   14   -10000   5   42   135.49    75%0.1346.70.6%00.8670
19Mar_29_2012130.74139.17140.42140.63  140.23(-0.17%)UDOpenLong75-0.2   17   -10000   5   52   164.96    75%0.1445.30.6%00.6660
20Mar_28_2012130.56139.05140.47140.42  140.47(-0.5%)UDOpenLong750   17   -10000   1   65   148.56    75%0.144.90.61%00.7690
 
21Mar_27_2012130.43138.88140.42140.37  141.17(-0.31%)UDOpenLong750.4   25   -10000   3   90   119.87    75%0.1247.10.63%01.2770
22Mar_26_2012130.28138.69140.3140.22  141.61(1.4%)UTHoldLong650.8   32   -10000   3   120   120.16    75%0.1349.60.63%01.6820
23Mar_23_2012130.11138.46139.91140.07  139.65(0.32%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   29   -10000   -3   124   120.52    71%0.1152.40.61%00.7630
24Mar_22_2012129.97138.32139.73140.2  139.2(-0.72%)UDOpenLong65-0.6   27   -10000   -7   130   135.22    71%0.1257.50.62%00.5590
25Mar_21_2012129.81138.2139.54140.5  140.21(-0.16%)UDOpenLong75-0.2   37   -10000   1   145   122.39    78%66.20.62%01.1600
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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