Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 15, 2009

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $88.7100 (-0.82%) ($88.1500 - $90.0000) on Fri. May. 15, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $88.7100(-0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-8%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $89.81(-1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.6(-2.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.42(0.33%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   30.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2009	83.17	88.42	90.6	89.81			88.71(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-8	33	271.5	55%	0.07	37.9	2.39%	0	0.1	62	0
2	May_14_2009	83.11	88.34	90.57	90.66			89.44(0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-3	53	260.1	55%	0.04	49.5	2.4%	0	0.4	60	0
3	May_13_2009	83.08	88.2	90.41	90.95			88.68(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-6	62	269.62	55%	0.04	58.7	2.42%	0	0.2	63	0
4	May_12_2009	83.05	88.04	90.33	91.64			90.97(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	1	86	282.43	58%	0.05	70.4	2.4%	0	1	72	0
5	May_11_2009	83.01	87.71	89.83	91.56			91.24(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	1	89	247.92	58%	0.04	73.3	2.4%	0	1.3	71	0

6	May_8_2009	82.98	87.42	89.31	91.49			92.98(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	-10000	9	99	299.08	54%	0.05	77.9	2.42%	0	2.1	80	0
7	May_7_2009	82.94	87.04	88.65	90.47			90.86(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	6	82	317.8	54%	0	81.6	2.43%	0	1.6	59	0
8	May_6_2009	82.94	86.62	88.11	89.78			92.14(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	9	71	291.94	54%	0	77	2.44%	0	2.3	64	0
9	May_5_2009	82.94	86.09	87.33	88.83			90.57(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	9	55	243.04	54%	0.04	75.2	2.46%	0	2	65	0
10	May_4_2009	82.91	85.73	86.76	87.83			90.88(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	17	-10000	9	42	287.12	54%	0.02	80.8	2.46%	0	2.6	68	0

11	May_1_2009	82.89	85.37	85.99	86.82			87.89(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	2	18	236.11	51%	0	90.1	2.39%	0	1.5	56	0
12	Apr_30_2009	82.89	85.15	85.88	86.58			87.42(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	4	18	301.42	51%	-0.04	91.8	2.41%	0	1.5	55	0
13	Apr_29_2009	82.92	84.84	85.76	86.17			87.39(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	6	23	311.51	51%	-0.02	77.9	2.43%	0	1.5	64	0
14	Apr_28_2009	82.94	84.45	85.53	85.6			85.57(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	1	21	247.93	54%	-0.07	57.6	2.45%	0	0.6	63	0
15	Apr_27_2009	83	84.14	85.42	85.49			85.84(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	4	23	289.58	54%	-0.02	41.6	2.49%	0	0.8	57	0

16	Apr_24_2009	83.02	83.93	85.41	85.01			86.66(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	4	-10000	-1	18	287.7	54%	0.01	45.6	2.47%	0	1.2	56	0
17	Apr_23_2009	83.01	83.74	85.31	85.1			85.37(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-2	26	324.9	54%	-0.02	57.6	2.48%	0	0.7	56	0
18	Apr_22_2009	83.03	83.54	85.05	85.32			84.54(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-1	34	340.4	54%	0	64.3	2.48%	0	0.5	61	0
19	Apr_21_2009	83.03	83.35	84.8	85.46			85.06(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	1	44	300.48	56%	0.04	69.9	2.48%	0	0.8	66	0
20	Apr_20_2009	83	83.21	84.66	85.32			83.43(-4.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-4	53	293.69	53%	-0.08	82.9	2.53%	0	0.1	65	0

21	Apr_17_2009	83.07	82.9	84.76	85.8			87.08(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	2	70	262.65	56%	0.05	77.9	2.56%	0	1.6	63	0
22	Apr_16_2009	83.03	82.49	84.38	85.55			86.5(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	7	70	335.2	56%	-0.04	84.5	2.58%	0	1.6	57	0
23	Apr_15_2009	83.06	82.15	83.84	84.75			85.25(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	7	58	250.73	56%	0	94.3	2.58%	0	1.3	59	0
24	Apr_14_2009	83.06	81.8	83.29	84.03			84.35(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	1	43	276.6	56%	-0.01	97.7	2.58%	0	1	60	0
25	Apr_13_2009	83.07	81.39	82.77	83.88			85.83(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	3	33	224.85	56%		102.7	2.6%	0	1.7	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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