Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 31, 2009

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $79.5200 (0.93%) ($79.0500 - $81.0800) on Tue. Mar. 31, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.57% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $79.5200(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -1.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-8%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.285% (StdDev 2.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.9(-1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.31(-0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.8(3.54%)
To recent high   -14.9%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 6.12% (three month std-dev: 2.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2009	83.18	76.8	80.31	80.9			79.52(0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-2	74	364.24	51%	-0.17	42.8	2.57%	0	0.6	67	0
2	Mar_30_2009	83.32	76.35	80.21	81.11			78.79(-3.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10000	-7	95	324.11	51%	-0.19	36.5	2.57%	0	0.5	67	0
3	Mar_27_2009	83.48	75.95	79.98	81.8			81.61(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	43	-10000	10	141	322.34	54%	-0.11	37.4	2.54%	0	1.2	79	0
4	Mar_26_2009	83.57	75.54	79.44	80.82			83.11(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	8	147	422.03	54%	-0.17	29.5	2.55%	0	1.7	79	0
5	Mar_25_2009	83.71	75.12	78.67	79.98			81.45(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	3	155	442	54%	-0.24	23.6	2.54%	0	1.5	78	0

6	Mar_24_2009	83.91	74.84	77.81	79.68			80.6(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	5	158	330.84	54%	-0.2	20.5	2.55%	0	1.4	67	0
7	Mar_23_2009	84.08	74.64	76.99	79.2			82.22(7.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	-10000	13	164	420.25	54%	-0.18	16.1	2.54%	0	2	72	0
8	Mar_20_2009	84.23	74.21	75.6	77.92			76.71(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	37	-10000	1	144	371.17	48%	-0.25	-3	2.35%	0	0.7	65	0
9	Mar_19_2009	84.44	74.22	74.87	77.8			78.94(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	8	132	428.6	50%	-0.17	-11.8	2.34%	0	1.3	59	0
10	Mar_18_2009	84.58	74.13	73.86	77.11			79.93(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	16	102	473.55	50%	-0.18	-24.1	2.34%	0	1.6	56	0

11	Mar_17_2009	84.73	74.13	72.98	75.65			78.18(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	14	57	357.08	50%	-0.07	-41.2	2.33%	0	1.2	50	0
12	Mar_16_2009	84.79	74.03	72.13	74.45			75.86(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	19	12	360.82	52%	-0.13	-61	2.3%	0	0.5	44	0
13	Mar_13_2009	84.9	74.32	71.57	72.9			76.09(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	-10000	17	-32	337.47	52%	-0.2	-69.2	2.37%	0	0.5	52	0
14	Mar_12_2009	85.07	74.64	71.28	71.47			75.5(3.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	16	-71	409.82	52%	-0.18	-71.8	2.38%	0	0.2	45	0
15	Mar_11_2009	85.22	74.99	71.2	70.13			72.64(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	-10000	2	-113	356.81	48%	-0.29	-73.4	2.33%	0	-0.5	38	0

16	Mar_10_2009	85.47	75.49	71.55	69.95			72.17(5.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-27	-10000	5	-123	406.23	48%	-0.31	-72	2.34%	0	-0.7	35	0
17	Mar_9_2009	85.74	76.2	72.01	69.53			68.11(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-42	-10000	-6	-151	379.91	41%	-0.31	-64.9	2.2%	0	-1.5	23	0
18	Mar_6_2009	86.01	77.14	72.69	70.02			68.92(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-10000	-13	-168	490.5	41%	-0.29	-59.3	2.24%	0	-1.5	20	0
19	Mar_5_2009	86.26	77.93	73.55	71.03			68.8(-4.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-55	-10000	-17	-169	485.55	41%	-0.27	-56.9	2.26%	0	-1.7	19	0
20	Mar_4_2009	86.49	78.69	74.5	72.39			71.73(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10000	-12	-161	462.76	46%	-0.33	-57.9	2.25%	0	-1.4	22	0

21	Mar_3_2009	86.78	79.3	75.22	73.42			70.07(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-53	-10000	-18	-159	443.76	42%	-0.37	-56.1	2.24%	0	-1.9	18	0
22	Mar_2_2009	87.1	79.97	76.16	74.9			70.6(-4.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-45	-10000	-9	-151	426.45	42%	-0.22	-55.1	2.26%	0	-2.1	15	0
23	Feb_27_2009	87.29	80.62	77.38	75.71			73.93(-2.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-39	-10000	-7	-136	470.57	38%	-0.19	-58.6	2.48%	0	-1.7	18	0
24	Feb_26_2009	87.46	81.18	78.34	76.41			75.62(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-5	-128	363.37	38%	-0.26	-56.3	2.49%	0	-1.5	29	0
25	Feb_25_2009	87.69	81.77	79.12	76.92			76.87(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-10000	-4	-118	462.04	38%		-49.3	2.54%	0	-1.4	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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