Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 26, 2008

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $128.2300 (-2.72%) ($128.0800 - $131.4200) on Thu. Jun. 26, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $128.2300(-2.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    XLK(90%)    IWM(89%)    XLY(88%)    EWG(84%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

Resistance Level   $135.03
5 Day Moving Average   $130.85(-2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $132.94(-3.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $135.03(-5.04%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080726

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_26_2008	136.06	135.03	132.94	130.85			128.23(-2.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-39	-10000	-17	-104	297.77	42%	-0.04	-64.3	1.1%	0	-2.1	24	0
2	Jun_25_2008	136.11	135.63	133.61	132.09			131.81(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-7	-100	287.85	46%	-0.02	-60	1.06%	0	-1.3	21	0
3	Jun_24_2008	136.14	136.01	133.84	132.58			131.19(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-12	-108	267.3	50%	-0.04	-62.3	1.06%	0	-1.7	32	0
4	Jun_23_2008	136.2	136.4	134.33	133.45			131.45(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-13	-95	165.12	50%	-0.07	-64.9	1.09%	0	-1.9	33	0
5	Jun_20_2008	136.29	136.73	134.86	134.41			131.58(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-12	-83	289.28	50%	-0.04	-71.3	1.1%	0	-2.2	31	0

6	Jun_19_2008	136.35	137.15	135.36	135.32			134.42(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-0	-76	304.31	49%	0	-76	1.08%	0	-1.3	33	0
7	Jun_18_2008	136.35	137.41	135.95	135.33			134.25(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-17	-10000	1	-71	266.97	56%	-0.01	-81.3	1.12%	0	-1.5	34	0
8	Jun_17_2008	136.37	137.78	136.33	135.27			135.57(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-1	-72	191.74	56%	0.01	-76.8	1.23%	0	-1	39	0
9	Jun_16_2008	136.36	138.14	136.57	135.34			136.23(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-1	-74	185.83	56%	0.02	-65.7	1.23%	0	-0.8	43	0
10	Jun_13_2008	136.33	138.45	136.82	135.42			136.15(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-0	-68	244.73	53%	0.01	-55.1	1.25%	0	-0.9	47	0

11	Jun_12_2008	136.32	138.77	137.22	135.45			134.45(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-15	-73	252.79	52%	0.01	-48.1	1.24%	0	-1.7	37	0
12	Jun_11_2008	136.31	139.1	137.78	136.71			133.94(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-10000	-10	-45	284.06	56%	0.02	-35.3	1.25%	0	-2.2	35	0
13	Jun_10_2008	136.28	139.45	138.35	137.53			135.94(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-5	-35	260.23	57%	0	-33.6	1.31%	0	-1.7	33	0
14	Jun_9_2008	136.28	139.69	138.65	137.96			136.62(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-5	-40	228.26	57%	0.03	-31.6	1.32%	0	-1.7	32	0
15	Jun_6_2008	136.24	139.83	138.79	138.42			136.29(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-10000	-9	-49	384.28	54%	0.02	-33.9	1.32%	0	-2	32	0

16	Jun_5_2008	136.21	140	139.14	139.23			140.78(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	2	-41	237.87	59%	0.03	-29.1	1.29%	0	0.5	42	0
17	Jun_4_2008	136.17	139.93	138.98	139.07			138.02(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-3	-51	246.73	56%	0	-29.4	1.27%	0	-1.2	40	0
18	Jun_3_2008	136.17	140.13	139.35	139.33			138.09(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-1	-42	272.05	56%	-0.02	-15.7	1.27%	0	-1.3	42	0
19	Jun_2_2008	136.2	140.28	139.83	139.44			138.9(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	3	-31	181.07	56%	-0.01	-10.7	1.27%	0	-1	45	0
20	May_30_2008	136.22	140.41	140.19	139.19			140.35(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	2	-26	117.36	56%	-0.01	-9.7	1.27%	0	-0	57	0

21	May_29_2008	136.23	140.45	140.38	139.02			140(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	1	-20	173.93	52%	0	-4.9	1.28%	0	-0.3	55	0
22	May_28_2008	136.23	140.45	140.46	138.92			139.3(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-6	-21	181.29	52%	0	-4.6	1.31%	0	-0.7	51	0
23	May_27_2008	136.23	140.38	140.6	139.44			138.66(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-10	-18	168.32	52%	-0.05	8.3	1.32%	0	-1.1	38	0
24	May_23_2008	136.3	140.44	140.8	140.32			137.64(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-9	-10000	-11	-3	181.44	52%	-0.06	28.8	1.3%	0	-1.9	40	0
25	May_22_2008	136.38	140.56	140.99	141.32			139.51(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-2	-10000	-6	10	170.82	55%		54	1.3%	0	-0.7	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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