Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 13, 2008

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $140.4800 (0.01%) ($139.7300 - $140.8900) on Tue. May. 13, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $140.4800(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    XLK(90%)    IWM(89%)    XLY(88%)    EWG(84%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $139.7(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $140.22(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $139.34(0.82%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.6
One Month Target Price   > $144.98
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $135.63

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -1.1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 3.2% away from the target price of 144.98.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2008	136.57	139.34	140.22	139.7			140.48(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	-10000	-4	10	159.14	57%	-0.07	67.6	1.29%	0	0.6	62	0
2	May_12_2008	136.66	139	140.09	140.02			140.46(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-1	20	150.91	57%	-0.06	54.3	1.3%	0	0.6	61	0
3	May_9_2008	136.74	138.65	140.01	140.09			138.9(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-6	24	152.59	57%	-0.06	43.8	1.29%	0	0.1	53	0
4	May_8_2008	136.82	138.4	140.1	140.61			139.16(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-4	38	178.32	57%	-0.05	43.1	1.3%	0	0.3	54	0
5	May_7_2008	136.89	138.25	140.04	141.01			139.52(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	3	53	199.27	57%	-0.05	45.7	1.3%	0	0.5	62	0

6	May_6_2008	136.96	138.06	139.89	140.75			142.05(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	7	54	179.34	61%	-0.02	41.8	1.28%	0	1.6	74	0
7	May_5_2008	136.99	137.79	139.47	140.16			140.83(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	57	118.51	56%	-0.05	38.6	1.28%	0	1.3	80	0
8	May_2_2008	137.06	137.58	139.23	139.92			141.51(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	20	-10000	4	69	181.59	56%	-0.06	47.6	1.33%	0	1.7	84	0
9	May_1_2008	137.14	137.33	138.91	139.54			141.12(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	24	-10000	6	79	187.28	58%	-0.06	59.3	1.34%	0	1.8	80	0
10	Apr_30_2008	137.22	137.1	138.49	138.98			138.26(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	1	73	208.4	58%	-0.07	68.4	1.33%	0	0.6	59	0

11	Apr_29_2008	137.32	137.02	138.37	138.87			139.08(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	3	76	125.51	58%	-0.1	76.3	1.34%	0	1.1	62	0
12	Apr_28_2008	137.46	136.88	137.83	138.64			139.63(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	2	62	105.62	60%	-0.09	70.2	1.34%	0	1.3	59	0
13	Apr_25_2008	137.58	136.51	137.18	138.43			139.6(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	3	47	190.79	57%	-0.08	57.7	1.35%	0	1.4	58	0
14	Apr_24_2008	137.69	136.11	136.56	138.2			138.32(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	3	34	229.38	57%	-0.08	54.3	1.36%	0	1	55	0
15	Apr_23_2008	137.8	135.84	136.32	137.95			137.72(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	2	26	193.31	60%	-0.07	56.8	1.36%	0	0.9	52	0

16	Apr_22_2008	137.89	135.61	136.11	137.77			137.94(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	10	24	162.17	60%	-0.07	55.3	1.39%	0	1.1	54	0
17	Apr_21_2008	137.99	135.45	135.97	136.83			138.55(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	12	9	118.59	60%	-0.08	59.7	1.4%	0	1.5	57	0
18	Apr_18_2008	138.1	135.24	135.77	135.71			138.48(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	-10000	11	3	218.53	60%	-0.07	58.4	1.41%	0	1.6	72	0
19	Apr_17_2008	138.19	134.92	135.57	134.69			137.05(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	2	-4	179.71	56%	-0.08	46.6	1.41%	0	1.1	71	0
20	Apr_16_2008	138.3	134.6	135.53	134.48			136.85(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	2	5	189.27	56%	-0.04	38.4	1.45%	0	1.1	64	0

21	Apr_15_2008	138.35	134.43	135.49	134.28			133.24(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10000	-8	7	172.39	50%	-0.07	39.4	1.41%	0	-0.6	53	0
22	Apr_14_2008	138.44	134.22	135.85	135			132.93(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	-8	25	160.52	50%	-0.08	42.6	1.44%	0	-0.5	45	0
23	Apr_11_2008	138.55	134.08	135.83	135.8			133.38(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-7	32	222.97	50%	-0.04	48.7	1.44%	0	-0.3	47	0
24	Apr_10_2008	138.61	134.01	135.71	136.5			136.02(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-2	47	192.97	53%	-0.04	57	1.42%	0	0.8	66	0
25	Apr_9_2008	138.67	133.78	135.41	136.71			135.83(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-2	58	195.61	53%		55.2	1.43%	0	0.8	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.