Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 11, 2007

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $151.3000 (0.17%) ($150.7000 - $151.9500) on Mon. Jun. 11, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $151.3000(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    IWM(90%)    XLK(90%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-13%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $152.05
5 Day Moving Average   $151.35(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $152.34(-0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $152.05(-0.49%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2007	145.99	152.05	152.34	151.35			151.3(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-11	-31	102.54	58%	0.06	9.6	0.65%	0	-0.6	45	0
2	Jun_8_2007	145.9	152.04	152.4	151.91			151.04(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-12	-18	176.99	60%	0.06	21.4	0.65%	0	-0.8	44	0
3	Jun_7_2007	145.81	151.98	152.43	152.52			149.1(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.5	-13	-10000	-17	-0	232.54	57%	0.04	30	0.64%	0	-2.1	44	0
4	Jun_6_2007	145.75	152.11	152.81	153.37			151.84(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	5	-10000	-7	41	164.16	67%	0.06	60	0.59%	0	-0.2	53	0
5	Jun_5_2007	145.66	152.06	152.88	153.69			153.49(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	5	69	127.97	68%	0.05	74.4	0.6%	0	1.1	69	0

6	Jun_4_2007	145.58	151.93	152.78	153.44			154.1(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	10	73	78.08	68%	0.08	81.3	0.62%	0	1.8	73	0
7	Jun_1_2007	145.47	151.76	152.62	152.96			154.08(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	12	66	107.82	63%	0.08	82.4	0.64%	0	2.1	70	0
8	May_31_2007	145.35	151.57	152.33	152.36			153.32(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	4	55	115.78	68%	0.09	77.6	0.62%	0	1.7	73	0
9	May_30_2007	145.22	151.38	152.15	152.18			153.48(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	-10000	4	51	131.29	63%	0.08	74.6	0.63%	0	2.1	60	0
10	May_29_2007	145.1	151.14	151.86	151.97			152.24(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-1	40	84.03	61%	0.11	69.6	0.65%	0	1	58	0

11	May_25_2007	144.94	150.95	151.7	152.03			151.69(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	32	83.31	53%	0.07	65.4	0.82%	0	0.6	54	0
12	May_24_2007	144.84	150.85	151.63	152.22			151.06(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-1	38	187.86	53%	0.07	72.2	0.82%	0	0.2	52	0
13	May_23_2007	144.74	150.78	151.5	152.26			152.44(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	3	39	133.98	55%	0.06	81.5	0.82%	0	1.4	64	0
14	May_22_2007	144.66	150.63	151.37	152.1			152.42(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	6	43	82.28	55%	0.06	84.5	0.82%	0	1.4	68	0
15	May_21_2007	144.58	150.42	151.19	151.73			152.54(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	7	44	174.71	55%	0.08	80	0.82%	0	1.7	72	0

16	May_18_2007	144.46	150.19	151.02	151.32			152.62(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	6	45	99.19	55%	0.08	80.2	0.82%	0	2	74	0
17	May_17_2007	144.35	149.98	150.83	150.97			151.3(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	6	42	101.57	53%	0.06	85.2	0.82%	0	1.1	60	0
18	May_16_2007	144.26	149.79	150.73	150.63			151.6(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	1	35	114.67	53%	0.07	83.5	0.82%	0	1.4	60	0
19	May_15_2007	144.16	149.57	150.53	150.54			150.57(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-1	33	180.95	53%	0.05	92	0.82%	0	0.8	57	0
20	May_14_2007	144.09	149.41	150.36	150.58			150.53(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	-1	37	108.06	54%	0.07	95.7	0.82%	0	0.8	64	0

21	May_11_2007	143.99	149.22	150.15	150.66			150.86(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	-0	42	113.4	56%	0.07	92.5	0.82%	0	1	66	0
22	May_10_2007	143.89	148.95	150.01	150.67			149.58(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-3	46	153.68	54%	0.06	87.4	0.82%	0	0.4	57	0
23	May_9_2007	143.81	148.73	150.03	150.83			151.16(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	5	66	103.03	55%	0.06	81.6	0.81%	0	1.2	74	0
24	May_8_2007	143.72	148.38	149.85	150.5			150.75(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	7	68	81.57	55%	0.06	76.4	0.82%	0	1.1	72	0
25	May_7_2007	143.63	148.08	149.59	150.09			150.95(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	9	64	63.69	55%		75.5	0.82%	0	1.4	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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