Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 8, 2007

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $140.7400 (0.85%) ($140.0700 - $141.1600) on Thu. Mar. 8, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $140.7400(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    IWM(90%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-13%)    GLD(5%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $136.3(-3.15%)
Resistance Level   $142.84
5 Day Moving Average   $139.2(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $140.64(0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.84(-1.47%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2007	141.34	142.84	140.64	139.2			140.74(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-45	-10000	1	-184	117.26	52%	0.04	-51.5	0.75%	0	-0.7	33	0
2	Mar_7_2007	141.29	143.06	141.1	139.16			139.56(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	-10000	-5	-192	115.25	50%	0.02	-50.5	0.74%	0	-1.2	29	0
3	Mar_6_2007	141.26	143.34	141.72	139.43			139.7(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-44	-10000	1	-178	143.45	50%	0.02	-46.9	0.74%	0	-1.3	35	0
4	Mar_5_2007	141.23	143.61	142.34	139.39			137.35(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-71	-10000	-31	-189	144.65	46%	0.01	-45.4	0.71%	0	-2.4	32	0
5	Mar_2_2007	141.22	144.02	143.21	140.96			138.67(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-10000	-27	-133	162.61	50%	0.01	-29.9	0.7%	0	-2.4	33	0

6	Mar_1_2007	141.2	144.34	143.95	142.28			140.51(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-38	-10000	-22	-87	212.85	54%	0.04	-11	0.68%	0	-2.1	34	0
7	Feb_28_2007	141.14	144.53	144.49	143.35			140.93(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-10000	-20	-49	177.57	57%	0.04	5.4	0.69%	0	-2.2	34	0
8	Feb_27_2007	141.08	144.66	144.91	144.36			139.5(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.3	-24	-10000	-26	-19	274.95	50%	0.03	25.7	0.68%	0	-3.5	29	0
9	Feb_26_2007	141.04	144.83	145.39	145.67			145.17(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-3	38	70.1	64%	0.08	69.9	0.48%	0	0.3	53	0
10	Feb_23_2007	140.93	144.69	145.28	145.78			145.3(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-3	37	71.99	64%	0.08	61.4	0.49%	0	0.5	55	0

11	Feb_22_2007	140.82	144.54	145.25	145.88			145.87(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10000	1	47	79.08	64%	0.08	59.6	0.49%	0	1	62	0
12	Feb_21_2007	140.71	144.44	145.18	145.83			145.98(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	7	59	63.99	64%	0.1	63.2	0.49%	0	1.2	69	0
13	Feb_20_2007	140.57	144.28	145.06	145.57			146.04(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	15	67	56.92	64%	0.14	57.5	0.49%	0	1.4	74	0
14	Feb_16_2007	140.37	144.1	144.93	145.05			145.73(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	10	64	39.84	64%	0.09	44.7	0.48%	0	1.3	77	0
15	Feb_15_2007	140.24	143.95	144.83	144.69			145.8(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	20	-10000	4	67	38.73	64%	0.09	41	0.48%	0	1.5	76	0

16	Feb_14_2007	140.12	143.78	144.7	144.54			145.61(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	3	79	66.06	66%	0.09	43	0.48%	0	1.6	74	0
17	Feb_13_2007	139.99	143.65	144.52	144.46			144.66(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	17	-10000	-1	72	64.11	64%	0.09	53.4	0.49%	0	1	54	0
18	Feb_12_2007	139.86	143.56	144.34	144.5			143.45(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-8	74	65.66	62%	0.09	63	0.48%	0	-0.1	56	0
19	Feb_9_2007	139.74	143.55	144.24	144.78			143.94(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	19	-10000	-5	91	79.09	60%	0.09	83.6	0.47%	0	0.4	61	0
20	Feb_8_2007	139.61	143.46	144.08	144.96			145.02(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	3	99	70.65	63%	0.09	88	0.47%	0	1.4	64	0

21	Feb_7_2007	139.48	143.29	143.81	144.87			145.21(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	9	98	55.7	63%	0.1	86.8	0.47%	0	1.8	67	0
22	Feb_6_2007	139.34	143.08	143.67	144.58			144.89(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	12	94	57.08	66%	0.09	77.6	0.47%	0	1.7	61	0
23	Feb_5_2007	139.21	142.9	143.45	144.16			144.85(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	16	73	45.75	66%	0.09	65.3	0.49%	0	1.8	61	0
24	Feb_2_2007	139.08	142.68	143.19	143.6			144.81(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	15	39	49.61	66%	0.1	42.1	0.49%	0	2	58	0
25	Feb_1_2007	138.94	142.52	142.98	143.07			144.61(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15	-10000	13	19	69.32	63%		31.9	0.49%	0	2.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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