Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 28, 2006

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $131.2100 (1.22%) ($130.7100 - $131.7500) on Fri. Apr. 28, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $131.2100(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-12%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $130.5(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $130.52(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $130.15(0.81%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.2
One Month Target Price   > $132.65
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $128.87

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.1% away from the target price of 132.65.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2006	128.43	130.15	130.52	130.5			131.21(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	0	54	55.86	58%	0.05	19.1	0.57%	0	1.2	61	0
2	Apr_27_2006	128.37	130.07	130.28	130.49			129.63(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-10000	-8	37	124.61	57%	0.02	18.5	0.55%	0	-0.5	41	0
3	Apr_26_2006	128.34	130.09	130.23	130.79			130.4(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-3	37	67.27	59%	0.03	26.2	0.56%	0	0.4	44	0
4	Apr_25_2006	128.3	130.04	130.06	130.9			130.37(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-2	29	84.36	59%	0.03	27.3	0.56%	0	0.4	48	0
5	Apr_24_2006	128.26	130.02	130	130.97			130.91(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	12	39	52.55	59%	0.03	29.2	0.56%	0	1	58	0

6	Apr_21_2006	128.22	129.98	129.86	130.52			131.15(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	14	17	72.36	59%	0.04	12.5	0.56%	0	1.4	58	0
7	Apr_20_2006	128.17	129.92	129.8	130.03			131.13(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	10	-10000	13	2	86.02	53%	0.05	-10	0.56%	0	1.6	58	0
8	Apr_19_2006	128.11	129.87	129.76	129.58			130.95(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	6	-10000	12	-11	87.28	53%	0.04	-29.8	0.61%	0	1.5	55	0
9	Apr_18_2006	128.06	129.8	129.7	129.12			130.7(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.3	-3	-10000	5	-25	92.68	53%	0.04	-53.7	0.61%	0	1.3	59	0
10	Apr_17_2006	128.01	129.77	129.59	128.93			128.66(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-4	-40	64.17	49%	0.01	-52.8	0.58%	0	-1.6	40	0

11	Apr_13_2006	128	129.88	129.72	129.1			128.71(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-11	-39	51.08	49%	0.02	-32.7	0.58%	0	-1.7	39	0
12	Apr_12_2006	127.98	129.99	129.84	129.53			128.88(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-10000	-11	-22	43.05	49%	0.02	8	0.58%	0	-1.7	41	0
13	Apr_11_2006	127.95	130.09	129.96	129.96			128.64(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-9	-10000	-10	-6	72.81	49%	0.02	48.9	0.58%	0	-2.5	38	0
14	Apr_10_2006	127.92	130.17	130.05	129.96			129.74(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-1.1	3	-10000	0	13	41.54	52%	0.03	86.4	0.57%	0	-0.8	52	0
15	Apr_7_2006	127.88	130.14	130.08	130.34			129.54(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-2	10	80.19	52%	0.05	82	0.57%	0	-0.9	44	0

16	Apr_6_2006	127.82	130.1	130.15	130.4			130.87(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	6	13	57.91	57%	0.05	63.6	0.56%	0	0.9	50	0
17	Apr_5_2006	127.75	129.94	130.06	130.19			131.01(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	-10000	5	-4	50.61	57%	0.06	44.3	0.57%	0	1.2	47	0
18	Apr_4_2006	127.67	129.8	129.99	129.99			130.56(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	7	-15	54.81	57%	0.05	32.9	0.57%	0	0.8	47	0
19	Apr_3_2006	127.6	129.68	129.89	129.72			129.73(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-10000	-2	-36	61.63	60%	0.05	22.4	0.56%	0	0.1	47	0
20	Mar_31_2006	127.53	129.61	129.95	129.78			129.83(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-2	-22	62.93	60%	0.05	18.2	0.6%	0	0.2	59	0

21	Mar_30_2006	127.47	129.55	130.02	129.86			129.8(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-2	-5	70.57	60%	0.06	18.2	0.61%	0	0.3	61	0
22	Mar_29_2006	127.39	129.53	130.14	129.92			130.03(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-2	23	61.54	60%	0.06	20.8	0.61%	0	0.5	69	0
23	Mar_28_2006	127.31	129.5	130.21	129.99			129.22(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-2	44	82.09	58%	0.06	22.8	0.61%	0	-0.3	58	0
24	Mar_27_2006	127.23	129.46	130.32	130.06			130.02(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-10000	-2	63	32.53	57%	0.06	24.1	0.61%	0	0.5	65	0
25	Mar_24_2006	127.15	129.42	130.22	130.14			130.21(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-10000	-2	72	43.22	57%		29.5	0.62%	0	0.8	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.