Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 17, 2006

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $128.6600 (-0.04%) ($128.0200 - $129.3100) on Mon. Apr. 17, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $128.6600(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    IWM(90%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $129.77
5 Day Moving Average   $128.93(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $129.59(-0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $129.77(-0.86%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2006	128.01	129.77	129.59	128.93			128.66(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-4	-40	64.17	49%	0.01	-52.8	0.58%	0	-1.6	40	0
2	Apr_13_2006	128	129.88	129.72	129.1			128.71(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-11	-39	51.08	49%	0.02	-32.7	0.58%	0	-1.7	39	0
3	Apr_12_2006	127.98	129.99	129.84	129.53			128.88(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-10000	-11	-22	43.05	49%	0.02	8	0.58%	0	-1.7	41	0
4	Apr_11_2006	127.95	130.09	129.96	129.96			128.64(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-9	-10000	-10	-6	72.81	49%	0.02	48.9	0.58%	0	-2.5	38	0
5	Apr_10_2006	127.92	130.17	130.05	129.96			129.74(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-1.1	3	-10000	0	13	41.54	52%	0.03	86.4	0.57%	0	-0.8	52	0

6	Apr_7_2006	127.88	130.14	130.08	130.34			129.54(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-2	10	80.19	52%	0.05	82	0.57%	0	-0.9	44	0
7	Apr_6_2006	127.82	130.1	130.15	130.4			130.87(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	6	13	57.91	57%	0.05	63.6	0.56%	0	0.9	50	0
8	Apr_5_2006	127.75	129.94	130.06	130.19			131.01(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	-10000	5	-4	50.61	57%	0.06	44.3	0.57%	0	1.2	47	0
9	Apr_4_2006	127.67	129.8	129.99	129.99			130.56(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	7	-15	54.81	57%	0.05	32.9	0.57%	0	0.8	47	0
10	Apr_3_2006	127.6	129.68	129.89	129.72			129.73(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-10000	-2	-36	61.63	60%	0.05	22.4	0.56%	0	0.1	47	0

11	Mar_31_2006	127.53	129.61	129.95	129.78			129.83(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-2	-22	62.93	60%	0.05	18.2	0.6%	0	0.2	59	0
12	Mar_30_2006	127.47	129.55	130.02	129.86			129.8(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-2	-5	70.57	60%	0.06	18.2	0.61%	0	0.3	61	0
13	Mar_29_2006	127.39	129.53	130.14	129.92			130.03(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-2	23	61.54	60%	0.06	20.8	0.61%	0	0.5	69	0
14	Mar_28_2006	127.31	129.5	130.21	129.99			129.22(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-2	44	82.09	58%	0.06	22.8	0.61%	0	-0.3	58	0
15	Mar_27_2006	127.23	129.46	130.32	130.06			130.02(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-10000	-2	63	32.53	57%	0.06	24.1	0.61%	0	0.5	65	0

16	Mar_24_2006	127.15	129.42	130.22	130.14			130.21(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-10000	-2	72	43.22	57%	0.06	29.5	0.62%	0	0.8	64	0
17	Mar_23_2006	127.07	129.38	130.07	130.22			130.11(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-5	73	46.84	57%	0.07	33.8	0.63%	0	0.7	58	0
18	Mar_22_2006	126.98	129.32	129.82	130.41			130.38(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10000	-2	72	51.61	57%	0.08	43.4	0.62%	0	1.1	55	0
19	Mar_21_2006	126.88	129.26	129.62	130.48			129.59(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	15	-10000	-3	69	87.42	57%	0.08	55.4	0.62%	0	0.3	51	0
20	Mar_20_2006	126.78	129.21	129.47	130.6			130.41(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	8	78	45.56	59%	0.09	67.1	0.62%	0	1.2	64	0

21	Mar_17_2006	126.67	129.12	129.25	130.28			130.62(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	10	58	47.29	59%	0.1	71.2	0.62%	0	1.6	55	0
22	Mar_16_2006	126.54	129.04	129.05	129.88			131.03(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	-10000	18	41	67.09	56%	0.09	79.4	0.62%	0	2.3	57	0
23	Mar_15_2006	126.42	128.89	128.85	129.15			130.76(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	13	-10000	13	11	53.42	56%	0.1	73.3	0.63%	0	2.4	58	0
24	Mar_14_2006	126.3	128.74	128.69	128.64			130.18(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	6	-10000	11	-11	69.88	56%	0.08	78.8	0.63%	0	2.1	54	0
25	Mar_13_2006	126.2	128.55	128.48	128.2			128.83(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	3	-35	45.74	55%		54.2	0.62%	0	0.4	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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