Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 7, 2006

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $125.4800 (-0.88%) ($125.4000 - $126.6600) on Tue. Feb. 7, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $125.4800(-0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    IWM(90%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $127.52
5 Day Moving Average   $126.73(-0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $127.18(-1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $127.52(-1.6%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2006	124.18	127.52	127.18	126.73			125.48(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-11	-20	71.23	52%	0.02	-25.6	0.59%	0	-1.9	40	0
2	Feb_6_2006	124.16	127.69	127.18	127.13			126.6(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-10	-15	45.52	55%	0.02	2.5	0.57%	0	-1.1	42	0
3	Feb_3_2006	124.13	127.78	127.18	127.5			126.27(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-10000	-12	-15	86.04	55%	0.02	26.9	0.57%	0	-1.5	38	0
4	Feb_2_2006	124.1	127.85	127.31	127.95			126.9(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-10000	-3	-12	83.63	58%	0.03	50	0.57%	0	-1	40	0
5	Feb_1_2006	124.06	127.88	127.45	128.05			128.39(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	-10000	10	-11	63.57	63%	0.04	63.9	0.56%	0	0.6	43	0

6	Jan_31_2006	124.01	127.8	127.37	127.7			127.5(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	5	-38	73.15	61%	0.02	52.7	0.56%	0	-0.3	41	0
7	Jan_30_2006	123.98	127.67	127.37	127.51			128.44(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	11	-49	33.71	64%	0.03	35.5	0.55%	0	0.8	46	0
8	Jan_27_2006	123.94	127.51	127.37	127.11			128.54(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-6	-10000	14	-64	65.79	63%	0.04	16.8	0.57%	0	0.9	50	0
9	Jan_26_2006	123.89	127.38	127.44	126.59			127.36(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-25	-10000	-5	-85	71.37	61%	0.03	4.9	0.58%	0	-0	51	0
10	Jan_25_2006	123.85	127.29	127.62	126.78			126.66(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-6	-64	87.8	61%	0.02	7.5	0.58%	0	-0.5	48	0

11	Jan_24_2006	123.82	127.3	127.85	127.01			126.55(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-10	-40	53.02	65%	0.02	13.5	0.58%	0	-0.5	52	0
12	Jan_23_2006	123.79	127.32	128.08	127.37			126.42(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-10000	-11	5	67.1	65%	0.03	17.7	0.61%	0	-0.6	65	0
13	Jan_20_2006	123.75	127.31	128.3	127.82			125.97(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	-10000	-14	47	115.32	58%	0.03	21.4	0.61%	0	-0.9	58	0
14	Jan_19_2006	123.71	127.32	128.47	128.39			128.31(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-5	88	78.08	68%	0.05	28.2	0.61%	0	0.7	67	0
15	Jan_18_2006	123.65	127.19	128.39	128.59			127.82(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-5	106	75.49	64%	0.06	30.4	0.64%	0	0.4	67	0

16	Jan_17_2006	123.58	127.12	128.3	128.8			128.33(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-10000	-2	116	52.19	64%	0.08	34.2	0.65%	0	0.8	59	0
17	Jan_13_2006	123.48	127.06	127.95	128.89			128.68(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	1	109	44.86	66%	0.06	41.1	0.66%	0	1.1	61	0
18	Jan_12_2006	123.41	127	127.62	128.84			128.8(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	-10000	7	106	40.52	64%	0.06	48.1	0.66%	0	1.3	65	0
19	Jan_11_2006	123.33	126.92	127.32	128.56			129.31(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	9	97	49.61	64%	0.06	46.2	0.66%	0	1.8	69	0
20	Jan_10_2006	123.26	126.76	126.93	128.16			128.9(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	10	80	44.97	61%	0.06	41.5	0.67%	0	1.8	68	0

21	Jan_9_2006	123.19	126.62	126.69	127.72			128.77(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	20	70	43.54	61%	0.05	32.9	0.68%	0	2	62	0
22	Jan_6_2006	123.13	126.48	126.45	126.87			128.44(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	19	-10000	15	31	62.89	61%	0.06	9.3	0.68%	0	2.1	52	0
23	Jan_5_2006	123.06	126.35	126.19	126.22			127.38(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	4	-10000	8	-8	47.31	56%	0.04	-7.6	0.67%	0	1.2	45	0
24	Jan_4_2006	123.01	126.31	126.03	125.89			127.3(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-1	-10000	8	-29	52.24	53%	0.04	-15.6	0.7%	0	1.2	48	0
25	Jan_3_2006	122.96	126.27	125.85	125.52			126.7(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.5	-14	-10000	-1	-52	73.4	53%		-27.4	0.71%	0	0.6	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.