Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 20, 2005

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $113.8000 (-1.4%) ($113.5500 - $115.6300) on Wed. Apr. 20, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $113.8000(-1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Resistance Level   $117
5 Day Moving Average   $114.73(-0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.39(-2.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117(-2.74%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2005	119.1	117	116.39	114.73			113.8(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-10000	-18	-137	114.84	37%	-0.03	-63.1	0.68%	0	-2.1	33	0
2	Apr_19_2005	119.14	117.17	116.88	115.43			115.41(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-10000	-17	-110	68.4	38%	-0.02	-69.9	0.66%	0	-1.3	37	0
3	Apr_18_2005	119.16	117.31	117.16	116.08			114.5(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-32	-10000	-19	-72	100.32	39%	-0.03	-69.4	0.67%	0	-2.2	44	0
4	Apr_15_2005	119.2	117.52	117.51	116.8			114.15(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-24	-10000	-19	-40	134.07	39%	-0.05	-70.2	0.68%	0	-3	39	0
5	Apr_14_2005	119.26	117.79	117.88	117.57			115.77(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-15	-10000	-18	-6	99.64	41%	-0.02	-74.7	0.66%	0	-2.3	46	0

6	Apr_13_2005	119.28	117.97	118.12	118.27			117.3(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	4	-10000	-7	36	66.06	42%	-0.01	-70.1	0.65%	0	-0.8	54	0
7	Apr_12_2005	119.29	118.1	118.22	118.53			118.7(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	3	62	86.57	44%	0	-65.8	0.64%	0	0.7	63	0
8	Apr_11_2005	119.29	118.2	118.01	118.42			118.09(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	3	49	45.86	43%	0.01	-62.8	0.63%	0	-0.1	50	0
9	Apr_8_2005	119.28	118.31	117.94	118.33			118(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	3	36	64.3	43%	-0.01	-69.6	0.64%	0	-0.3	46	0
10	Apr_7_2005	119.29	118.46	117.86	118.22			119.24(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	7	17	47.23	45%	0.01	-64.3	0.63%	0	0.6	46	0

11	Apr_6_2005	119.28	118.53	117.63	117.96			118.6(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	2	-12	53.31	45%	0.01	-66.4	0.63%	0	0	44	0
12	Apr_5_2005	119.27	118.69	117.45	117.88			118.19(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	9	-36	50.08	43%	-0.01	-56.7	0.63%	0	-0.3	36	0
13	Apr_4_2005	119.28	118.9	117.43	117.55			117.63(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	-10000	2	-77	71.61	41%	-0.01	-51.6	0.63%	0	-0.7	28	0
14	Apr_1_2005	119.29	119.15	117.5	117.48			117.43(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-22	-10000	2	-92	97.4	41%	0	-46.2	0.65%	0	-0.9	33	0
15	Mar_31_2005	119.29	119.34	117.68	117.42			117.96(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	-10000	5	-109	65.05	41%	0.01	-45.2	0.65%	0	-0.7	31	0

16	Mar_30_2005	119.28	119.5	117.78	117.23			118.18(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-28	-10000	6	-131	62.9	41%	0.01	-44.6	0.65%	0	-0.7	34	0
17	Mar_29_2005	119.27	119.65	117.95	116.98			116.53(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-50	-10000	-8	-174	73.05	37%	-0.01	-42.9	0.62%	0	-1.6	18	0
18	Mar_28_2005	119.28	119.87	118.39	117.29			117.31(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	-10000	-7	-174	46.94	38%	0.03	-40.8	0.62%	0	-1.4	19	0
19	Mar_24_2005	119.25	120.08	118.7	117.54			117.14(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-55	-10000	-12	-185	52.02	38%	0.02	-37.7	0.62%	0	-1.7	18	0
20	Mar_23_2005	119.23	120.26	119.1	117.98			117(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-10000	-11	-168	71.95	38%	0.03	-36	0.62%	0	-2	31	0

21	Mar_22_2005	119.19	120.4	119.51	118.4			116.9(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-53	-10000	-18	-156	93.33	38%	0.03	-36.8	0.62%	0	-2.3	31	0
22	Mar_21_2005	119.16	120.52	120.06	119.05			118.1(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-10000	-17	-124	61.43	42%	0.04	-35.5	0.61%	0	-1.8	34	0
23	Mar_18_2005	119.11	120.65	120.52	119.66			118.54(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-10000	-10	-81	61.89	42%	0.05	-26.3	0.61%	0	-1.8	41	0
24	Mar_17_2005	119.05	120.75	120.95	120.03			119.36(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-10	-56	62.74	42%	0.06	-17.6	0.61%	0	-1.3	40	0
25	Mar_16_2005	118.98	120.84	121.15	120.41			119.12(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-10	-32	76.73	42%		-1.1	0.63%	0	-1.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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