Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 7, 2004

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $112.2200 (0.29%) ($111.7500 - $112.5700) on Wed. Jul. 7, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $112.2200(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(83%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $113.65
5 Day Moving Average   $112.89(-0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $113.43(-1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.65(-1.26%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.64% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2004	112.95	113.65	113.43	112.89			112.22(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-8	-35	30.05	35%	-0.04	-14.1	0.75%	0	-2	39	0
2	Jul_6_2004	112.99	113.77	113.6	113.23			111.89(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-11	-10000	-7	-24	38.71	35%	-0.03	11.3	0.74%	0	-2.7	37	0
3	Jul_2_2004	113.02	113.84	113.75	113.54			112.88(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	-10000	-5	-11	34.62	38%	-0.03	28.3	0.74%	0	-1.6	50	0
4	Jul_1_2004	113.05	113.82	113.84	113.74			112.94(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7	-10000	-7	-8	57.78	38%	-0.03	31.7	0.74%	0	-1.3	42	0
5	Jun_30_2004	113.08	113.84	113.94	114.03			114.53(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	1	-10000	-1	5	52.61	41%	-0.01	54.2	0.72%	0	1	55	0

6	Jun_29_2004	113.09	113.75	113.88	114.07			113.92(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-10000	1	3	28.43	45%	0	70.5	0.72%	0	0.2	43	0
7	Jun_28_2004	113.09	113.7	113.89	114.04			113.45(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	1	-3	41.29	45%	-0.01	88.7	0.74%	0	-0.4	42	0
8	Jun_25_2004	113.1	113.67	113.88	113.99			113.84(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-10000	1	-4	32.87	48%	0	104.7	0.73%	0	0.2	56	0
9	Jun_24_2004	113.1	113.6	113.92	113.95			114.39(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	3	10	39.41	48%	0.02	119.7	0.75%	0	1.1	64	0
10	Jun_23_2004	113.08	113.48	113.86	113.84			114.75(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5	-10000	3	10	35.77	48%	0.01	122.9	0.75%	0	1.6	58	0

11	Jun_22_2004	113.07	113.26	113.85	113.69			113.77(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-1	17	37.34	43%	0	122.2	0.74%	0	0.6	56	0
12	Jun_21_2004	113.07	113.08	113.94	113.69			113.2(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	-10000	0	30	24.74	43%	0	93.7	0.76%	0	0.1	53	0
13	Jun_18_2004	113.07	112.92	113.93	113.74			113.63(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-3	29	31.81	40%	0	76.7	0.79%	0	0.5	55	0
14	Jun_17_2004	113.07	112.71	113.8	113.74			113.83(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	0	36	28.48	43%	0	66.9	0.79%	0	0.7	60	0
15	Jun_16_2004	113.07	112.51	113.74	113.88			114(-0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-4	42	26.64	43%	0	60.8	0.8%	0	0.9	63	0

16	Jun_15_2004	113.07	112.28	113.61	114.05			114.02(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-10000	-3	65	37.45	41%	-0.02	61.5	0.8%	0	1	70	0
17	Jun_14_2004	113.09	112.08	113.5	114.18			113.22(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	-10000	1	91	34.64	41%	-0.03	61.2	0.81%	0	0.6	70	0
18	Jun_10_2004	113.12	111.92	113.47	114.14			114.35(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	36	-10000	10	112	21.72	41%	-0.01	56	0.83%	0	1.3	77	0
19	Jun_9_2004	113.13	111.72	113.26	113.68			113.79(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	3	110	36.81	41%	-0.01	46	0.85%	0	1.2	77	0
20	Jun_8_2004	113.14	111.51	113.08	113.55			114.86(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	38	-10000	9	123	32.85	41%	0.02	38.8	0.85%	0	1.9	81	0

21	Jun_7_2004	113.12	111.2	112.62	113.12			114.7(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	35	-10000	8	116	31.68	41%	0.01	26	0.86%	0	2.1	82	0
22	Jun_4_2004	113.11	110.95	112.13	112.75			112.98(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	0	103	32.76	38%	-0.01	19.7	0.84%	0	1.4	68	0
23	Jun_3_2004	113.12	110.88	111.81	112.73			112.09(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-10000	-1	104	38.73	38%	-0.02	19.7	0.83%	0	0.9	65	0
24	Jun_2_2004	113.14	110.89	111.55	112.76			113.13(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	5	102	39.78	39%	0.01	19.8	0.83%	0	1.5	68	0
25	Jun_1_2004	113.13	110.82	111.2	112.51			112.71(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	11	97	41.07	41%		8.8	0.83%	0	1.4	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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