Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 27, 2022

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $21.6500 (1.6%) ($20.1200 - $21.9150) on Thu. Jan. 27, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.82% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $21.6500(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 11.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(50%)    UUP(31%)    VXX(11%)    TBT(8%)    EDOC(-6%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-98%)    IWF(-97%)    QQQ(-95%)    IVE(-95%)    DIA(-95%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.41% (StdDev 2.82%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.04(2.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.77(9.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.31(18.24%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   34.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 10.1% (three month std-dev: 2.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.52%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.44%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.48%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -2%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.21%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.94%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2022	19.13	18.31	19.77	21.04	21.03	20.96	21.65(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	74	-20	15	250	26.74	55%	0.05	69.4	2.82%	1.2	1.8	85	-1.8
2	Jan_26_2022	19.12	18.03	19.29	20.61	20.78	21.07	21.31(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	73	120	21	229	29.08	55%	0.05	63.1	2.82%	0.3	1.9	84	-2
3	Jan_25_2022	19.11	17.76	18.84	20.13	20.31	21.1	21.16(3.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	83	300	38	219	34.81	55%	0.1	52	2.82%	-0.3	2.2	87	-2.1
4	Jan_24_2022	19.09	17.5	18.45	19.57	19.61	20.5	20.4(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	87	320	47	207	50.28	54%	0.05	40.7	2.79%	0.7	2.1	85	-3.1
5	Jan_21_2022	19.08	17.31	18.12	18.97	18.94	19.53	20.67(5.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	80	210	47	180	35.46	54%	0	29.2	2.79%	1.9	2.7	83	-3

6	Jan_20_2022	19.08	17.11	17.74	18.32	18.32	18.72	19.52(3.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	63	150	35	147	18.64	51%	-0.05	18.9	2.69%	3.5	2.5	81	-2.2
7	Jan_19_2022	19.09	17	17.48	17.77	17.84	18.34	18.91(3.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	53	210	31	119	15.56	48%	-0.05	1.6	2.66%	1.4	2.5	79	-1.6
8	Jan_18_2022	19.1	16.97	17.19	17.36	17.4	17.92	18.35(5.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	38	220	22	87	16.9	46%	-0.16	-8.2	2.65%	1.2	2.2	76	-1.1
9	Jan_14_2022	19.13	16.97	16.96	17.16	17.16	17.34	17.41(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	70	10	71	17.99	39%	-0.21	-8.8	2.55%	0.9	0.6	71	0.3
10	Jan_13_2022	19.17	16.95	16.86	17.14	17.17	16.88	17.42(4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-110	1	59	15.75	39%	-0.16	-10.4	2.62%	1.5	0.7	56	0.3

11	Jan_12_2022	19.2	16.93	16.74	17.07	17.21	16.97	16.75(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-70	-13	39	12.33	36%	-0.26	-14.6	2.56%	-1	-0.3	43	1
12	Jan_11_2022	19.25	16.99	16.69	17.12	17.29	17.45	16.87(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	90	9	33	13.85	36%	-0.21	-8.7	2.56%	-1.4	-0.2	38	0.8
13	Jan_10_2022	19.29	17.03	16.62	16.97	17.13	17.44	17.37(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	15	150	22	-6	20.28	38%	-0.21	-20.2	2.56%	0.6	0.5	33	1
14	Jan_7_2022	19.33	17.01	16.49	16.72	16.73	17.14	17.27(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	170	17	-53	14.14	36%	-0.26	-42	2.56%	0.8	0.3	40	0.7
15	Jan_6_2022	19.38	17.03	16.44	16.54	16.49	16.83	17.08(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	140	20	-75	15.26	36%	-0.26	-54.9	2.57%	1.3	0.1	45	0.7

16	Jan_5_2022	19.43	17.04	16.43	16.38	16.3	16.32	17.03(5.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	-10	13	-91	13.74	35%	-0.21	-74.4	2.57%	3.2	-0	50	0.9
17	Jan_4_2022	19.47	17.06	16.48	16.2	16.2	16.15	16.12(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-20	-3	-120	8.24	34%	-0.26	-88.9	2.48%	-1.1	-1.2	34	1.4
18	Jan_3_2022	19.52	17.18	16.72	16.21	16.22	16.28	16.09(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-25	30	1	-102	6.49	34%	-0.31	-82.8	2.54%	-0.6	-1.4	39	1.4
19	Dec_31_2021	19.58	17.33	16.93	16.22	16.2	16.24	16.38(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	10	-4	-92	7.7	33%	-0.25	-73	2.55%	0.8	-1.1	46	1.3
20	Dec_30_2021	19.63	17.45	17.05	16.32	16.23	16.16	16.27(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-50	-10	-89	5	35%	-0.25	-64.3	2.58%	0.1	-1.3	41	1.4

21	Dec_29_2021	19.68	17.62	17.14	16.5	16.42	16.15	16.14(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-130	-21	-83	6.72	35%	-0.3	-46.5	2.62%	-1.3	-1.5	43	1.4
22	Dec_28_2021	19.74	17.77	17.33	16.82	16.75	16.29	16.18(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-200	-35	-60	6.82	39%	-0.25	-33.3	2.62%	-0.9	-1.7	43	1.4
23	Dec_27_2021	19.79	17.87	17.48	17.32	17.23	16.68	16.15(-4.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-240	-32	-34	9.55	39%	-0.4	-19.1	2.75%	-1.4	-2	36	1.3
24	Dec_23_2021	19.87	18	17.61	17.72	17.83	17.2	16.86(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-230	-20	-26	8.71	39%	-0.25	-0.2	2.73%	-1.2	-1.4	35	1.4
25	Dec_22_2021	19.92	18.05	17.69	17.87	18.1	17.77	17.18(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-90	-11	-26	7.51	38%		5.3	2.75%	-1.3	-1.2	41	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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