Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 17, 2018

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $302.2000 (5.85%) ($285.2520 - $308.7000) on Mon. Dec. 17, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.72% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $302.2000(5.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VXX(24%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(21%)    DIA(14%)    VIXM(14%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    QQQ(-92%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.86% (StdDev 3.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $280.48(7.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $270.85(11.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $265.74(13.72%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   43.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 6.04% (three month std-dev: 3.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 4%(74%) Average negative next day return: -2.97%(26%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 10.32%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -2.63%(47%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 10.26%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.15%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2018	239.55	265.74	270.85	280.48	278.2	288.97	302.2(5.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	233	250	248	189	0.83	60%	0.28	48	3.72%	0	2.3	62	-1.9
2	Dec_14_2018	238.88	263.07	264.77	274.92	271.55	275.29	285.5(5.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	113	60	118	99	0.78	59%	0.22	50.4	3.66%	0	1.6	51	-1.4
3	Dec_13_2018	238.35	261.66	260.87	272.96	270.74	267.43	270.7(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-110	5	33	0.83	56%	0.17	59.6	3.6%	0	0.7	48	-0.8
4	Dec_12_2018	237.94	260.83	258.42	270.26	270.16	267.81	269.9(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-67	-60	-80	-29	0.72	56%	0.14	57.8	3.61%	0	0.7	47	-1.2
5	Dec_11_2018	237.61	259.98	257.63	267.4	270.06	274.06	274.1(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	130	89	31	0.83	56%	0.15	52.8	3.61%	0	1.1	56	-1.5

6	Dec_10_2018	237.26	258.26	256.59	259.3	264.08	272.5	274.4(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	161	280	197	54	1.02	56%	0.14	30.1	3.61%	0	1.3	61	-1.8
7	Dec_7_2018	236.93	256.21	256.69	252.94	252.82	266.05	275.7(7.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	163	360	201	49	1.12	56%	0.15	9.2	3.61%	0	1.5	60	-2.4
8	Dec_6_2018	236.58	254.01	256.15	247.3	247.47	255.67	257.2(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	220	230	272	64	1.2	54%	0.07	-12.4	3.51%	0	0.2	50	-1.3
9	Dec_4_2018	236.41	253.51	257.91	245.06	243.02	239.59	255.6(9.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-25	-120	-17	-48	1.01	54%	0.06	-22.9	3.48%	0	0.2	52	-0.8
10	Dec_3_2018	236.28	253.32	258.4	246.78	245.05	239.26	233.6(-3.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-182	-190	-204	-115	0.44	50%	-0.03	-28.7	3.28%	0	-1.4	43	1.7

11	Nov_30_2018	236.36	254.53	260.41	253.4	253.67	246.45	242.6(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-121	-200	-142	-58	0.39	52%	0	-23.6	3.25%	0	-0.9	56	1.1
12	Nov_29_2018	236.36	255.04	261.63	260.86	259.78	250.84	247.5(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-194	-250	-240	-54	0.43	51%	-0	-12.1	3.24%	0	-0.6	62	0.7
13	Nov_28_2018	236.37	255.65	263.03	266.22	267.64	260.89	246(-6.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-129	-160	-176	14	0.66	51%	0.01	-6.8	3.25%	0	-0.8	62	1
14	Nov_27_2018	236.35	256.72	264.17	272.38	272.15	268.72	264.2(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-60	-90	-106	80	0.46	53%	0.08	11.2	3.12%	0	0.6	59	0.6
15	Nov_26_2018	236.17	257.37	263.16	271.6	273.9	274.39	266.7(-4.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	47	40	19	130	0.53	53%	0.06	18.9	3.14%	0	0.7	57	0.4

16	Nov_23_2018	236.04	257.67	260.58	268.2	270.72	275.59	279.9(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	123	150	115	147	0.26	54%	0.09	21.3	3.08%	0	1.6	60	-0.7
17	Nov_21_2018	235.83	256.6	255.88	262.56	263.99	273.41	274.3(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	156	270	164	131	0.51	54%	0.03	15.8	3.05%	0	1.3	61	-0.4
18	Nov_20_2018	235.75	256.53	251.59	259.6	260.63	265.85	276.8(6.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	217	150	245	131	0.91	54%	0.06	24.5	3.05%	0	1.5	56	-1.1
19	Nov_19_2018	235.61	255.28	248.34	255.14	255.67	254.56	260.3(4.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-20	2	0	0.73	51%	-0.02	22.8	2.96%	0	0.4	45	-0.2
20	Nov_16_2018	235.65	254.76	247.3	253.7	254.41	255.41	249.7(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	40	-5	-31	0.75	48%	-0.07	18.7	2.92%	0	-0.4	34	0.5

21	Nov_15_2018	235.81	254.68	247.79	251.58	253.16	256.77	251.7(-3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	88	120	119	-5	1.08	49%	-0.08	13.6	2.94%	0	-0.2	37	-0.2
22	Nov_14_2018	236	254.43	247.65	247.76	248.15	253.41	259.5(1.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	98	150	138	-23	0.84	50%	-0.02	1	2.92%	0	0.4	49	-0.5
23	Nov_13_2018	236.04	253.32	247.37	242.14	242.7	249.55	254.5(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	106	200	159	-52	0.77	50%	-0.05	-12.6	2.92%	0	0.1	40	-0.2
24	Nov_12_2018	236.15	252.46	248.41	240.64	238.76	242.89	253.1(5.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	69	100	115	-69	0.71	50%	-0.01	-11.3	2.93%	0	0	51	-0.2
25	Nov_9_2018	236.17	252.4	250.8	240.38	239.31	235.85	239.1(2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-110	-27	-110	0.57	48%		-1.6	2.85%	0	-1	49	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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