Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 5, 2018

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $305.4000 (12.4%) ($270.9300 - $308.1000) on Mon. Feb. 5, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $305.4000(12.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 4.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(22%)    VIXM(22%)    UUP(20%)    GDXJ(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    QQQ(-92%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $268.3(13.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $259.13(17.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $262.47(16.36%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   26.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 5.38% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.11%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.6%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.74%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180305

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2018	317.14	262.47	259.13	268.3	266.28	278.13	305.4(12.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	491	290	562	279	1.38	43%	-0.21	-29.9	2.24%	0	3	65	-2.9
2	Feb_2_2018	317.82	260.82	253.33	256.64	256.99	260.36	271.7(6.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	259	100	316	89	0.69	30%	-0.33	-74.5	1.57%	0	1	52	-2.2
3	Feb_1_2018	318.87	261.27	251.75	250.74	251.91	254.42	255.2(0.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	46	80	91	-88	0.47	21%	-0.38	-87.2	1.31%	0	-0.5	33	-0.5
4	Jan_31_2018	320.08	262.81	252.29	249.88	249.48	253.62	254.4(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	119	110	186	-84	0.55	21%	-0.38	-85.5	1.3%	0	-0.6	28	-1.6
5	Jan_30_2018	321.3	264.65	252.83	249.2	248.62	249.41	254.8(3.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	105	20	180	-119	0.58	21%	-0.39	-81	1.3%	0	-0.7	30	-1.9

6	Jan_29_2018	322.56	266.77	254.03	248.42	247.81	245.33	247.1(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-180	-80	-146	-283	0.42	16%	-0.45	-81.6	1.24%	0	-1.4	20	-2.1
7	Jan_26_2018	324.03	269.22	255.86	249.5	249.38	247.83	242.2(-3.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-220	-40	-187	-317	0.27	11%	-0.46	-75.6	1.22%	0	-1.7	12	136.8
8	Jan_25_2018	325.53	272.03	258.76	252.8	252.01	250.29	250.9(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-152	-60	-106	-289	0.31	15%	-0.43	-71.7	1.16%	0	-1.4	12	137.4
9	Jan_24_2018	326.94	274.42	261.29	255.02	254.43	250.94	251(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-233	-100	-203	-321	0.39	15%	-0.44	-66.7	1.18%	0	-1.5	11	-1.4
10	Jan_23_2018	328.39	276.77	263.74	257	257.25	253.73	250.9(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-298	-90	-276	-362	0.23	15%	-0.25	-65.3	1.18%	0	-1.7	10	0.1

11	Jan_22_2018	329.2	279.13	266.42	260.52	260.22	257.93	252.5(-2.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-225	-70	-191	-327	0.23	15%	-0.41	-66.8	1.2%	0	-1.8	9	0.9
12	Jan_19_2018	330.56	281.51	269.13	263.16	262.48	260.76	258.7(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-183	-50	-139	-315	0.25	15%	-0.4	-68.1	1.18%	0	-1.6	15	1
13	Jan_18_2018	331.88	283.55	271.68	265.6	264.43	262.51	262(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-204	-60	-163	-326	0.29	15%	-0.41	-68.9	1.18%	0	-1.6	16	0
14	Jan_17_2018	333.23	285.27	274.24	268.58	267.27	264.2	260.9(-2.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-236	-100	-203	-335	0.31	15%	-0.43	-69.9	1.17%	0	-1.9	14	0
15	Jan_16_2018	334.66	287.32	277.46	271.52	270.87	266.36	268.5(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-280	-120	-257	-347	0.35	17%	-0.6	-73.3	1.13%	0	-1.6	18	0

16	Jan_12_2018	336.67	289.32	280.47	273.3	273.48	270.35	265.7(-1.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-327	-80	-317	-356	0.23	17%	-0.41	-76.9	1.11%	0	-2.1	14	0
17	Jan_11_2018	338.06	291.33	283.59	275.96	276.16	275.39	270.9(-2.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-160	-20	-126	-263	0.21	17%	-0.39	-80.9	1.09%	0	-2	15	0
18	Jan_10_2018	339.38	293.05	286.34	278.66	278.06	276.6	276.9(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-114	-40	-77	-223	0.15	19%	-0.36	-86.5	1.07%	0	-1.7	19	0
19	Jan_9_2018	340.59	294.52	288.53	280.86	279.77	276.92	275.6(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-253	-80	-249	-265	0.23	19%	-0.4	-89.3	1.07%	0	-2.1	25	0
20	Jan_8_2018	341.95	296.22	290.8	284.4	283.49	279.51	277.4(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-282	-110	-291	-253	0.15	19%	-0.39	-90	1.07%	0	-2.3	22	0

21	Jan_5_2018	343.3	298.07	292.88	288.84	287.69	282.61	279(-1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-339	-140	-366	-257	0.17	18%	-0.38	-83.2	1.07%	0	-2.6	19	0
22	Jan_4_2018	344.61	299.96	294.97	292.36	291.86	287.46	284.4(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-320	-110	-351	-226	0.27	19%	-0.31	-78.6	1.07%	0	-2.3	29	0
23	Jan_3_2018	345.67	301.59	296.47	295.12	294.9	292.78	287.9(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-215	-50	-233	-162	0.14	19%	-0.3	-69	1.06%	0	-2	31	0
24	Jan_2_2018	346.72	302.88	297.31	297.28	296.86	296.26	293.3(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-20	-68	-93	0.13	21%	-0.45	-70	1.05%	0	-1.4	34	0
25	Dec_29_2017	348.27	303.84	298.05	298.12	297.78	297.03	299.6(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-20	-21	-82	0.16	22%		-75.9	1.03%	0	-0.6	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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