Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $446.4000 (-1.13%) ($440.7000 - $453.7000) on Thu. May. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $446.4000(-1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(23%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(19%)    GDXJ(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $437.8(1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $434.72(2.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $436.96(2.16%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 1.95% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 6.8%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.1%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 8.37%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.6%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.74%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2017	469.61	436.96	434.72	437.8	437.7	446.6	446.4(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	377	140	441	186	0.22	37%	-0.19	-67.2	1.43%	0	1.1	56	INF
2	May_17_2017	470.51	437.24	433.51	434.94	434.25	436.33	451.5(5.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	282	30	333	127	0.24	37%	-0.15	-66.2	1.44%	0	1.4	62	INF
3	May_16_2017	471.23	437.76	431.82	430.58	431.49	428.8	428.8(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-143	-40	-158	-97	0.07	26%	-0.1	-67.7	1.26%	0	-0.8	36	INF
4	May_15_2017	471.68	439.44	432.5	431.24	432.39	432.17	428(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-83	0	-88	-67	0.07	25%	-0.21	-60.9	1.26%	0	-1	36	INF
5	May_12_2017	472.69	441	433.35	431.8	432.66	434.18	434.3(0.51%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	64	30	86	-2	0.06	24%	-0.2	-59.3	1.26%	0	-0.6	31	INF

6	May_11_2017	473.65	442.75	433.71	431.06	431.79	432.6	432.1(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	36	20	61	-38	0.09	24%	-0.2	-49.3	1.27%	0	-0.8	17	INF
7	May_10_2017	474.61	444.22	434.15	431.82	431.53	431.14	429.7(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-45	-10	-30	-88	0.06	23%	-0.2	-45.8	1.28%	0	-1.1	23	INF
8	May_9_2017	475.56	445.61	434.9	433.3	432.86	430.98	432.1(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-94	-30	-82	-129	0.08	22%	-0.2	-43.2	1.28%	0	-1	19	INF
9	May_8_2017	476.53	446.81	435.37	434	434.67	431.92	430.8(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-150	-40	-141	-175	0.07	22%	-0.22	-42.9	1.29%	0	-1.2	21	INF
10	May_5_2017	477.56	448.15	436.7	435.1	435.85	434.74	430.6(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-141	-10	-127	-181	0.09	22%	-0.21	-41.3	1.28%	0	-1.4	27	INF

11	May_4_2017	478.56	449.44	439.49	436.68	436.55	437.43	435.9(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	10	16	-128	0.09	22%	-0.21	-38.4	1.28%	0	-1.1	23	INF
12	May_3_2017	479.57	450.58	441.3	436.8	436.65	436.96	437.1(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	14	0	58	-118	0.1	21%	-0.18	-37.7	1.29%	0	-1.2	34	INF
13	May_2_2017	480.44	451.47	444.05	436.78	436.28	435.68	435.6(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-10	-24	-142	0.11	21%	-0.21	-40.2	1.31%	0	-1.4	38	INF
14	May_1_2017	481.43	452.5	446.8	436.96	436.21	436.34	436.3(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-0	-41	-143	0.11	21%	-0.2	-47.2	1.31%	0	-1.5	40	INF
15	Apr_28_2017	482.4	453.43	449.19	438.6	436.86	436.88	438.5(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-54	-10	-29	-128	0.04	24%	-0.22	-51.1	1.31%	0	-1.5	40	INF

16	Apr_27_2017	483.45	454.11	452.41	442.9	438.79	436.09	436.5(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-159	-70	-163	-145	0.05	24%	-0.23	-48.3	1.32%	0	-1.9	40	INF
17	Apr_26_2017	484.57	455.05	455.07	446.6	444.17	436.84	437(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-291	-130	-326	-187	0.1	24%	-0.28	-45.9	1.32%	0	-2.1	39	INF
18	Apr_25_2017	485.91	456.06	457.29	452.5	449.86	441.5	436.5(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-462	-150	-537	-237	0.08	23%	-0.29	-37.5	1.32%	0	-2.7	42	INF
19	Apr_24_2017	487.32	457.57	459.46	458	456.02	451.5	444.5(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-314	-80	-372	-140	0.1	23%	-0.29	-6.8	1.33%	0	-2.2	46	INF
20	Apr_21_2017	488.75	458.56	460.88	461.1	460.86	458.22	460(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-107	-40	-135	-24	0.06	25%	-0.26	23.1	1.28%	0	0.3	57	INF

21	Apr_20_2017	490.02	458.66	460.44	463.4	462.45	460.53	455(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-135	-40	-173	-20	0.08	25%	-0.26	50.4	1.28%	0	-0.7	56	INF
22	Apr_19_2017	491.29	458.97	460.83	464.8	464.67	463.5	466.5(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	-20	-17	58	0.06	26%	-0.22	75.4	1.25%	0	1.4	63	INF
23	Apr_18_2017	492.38	458.79	459.53	462.9	464.17	464.38	464(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-6	10	-23	44	0.07	26%	-0.23	79.1	1.26%	0	1	59	INF
24	Apr_17_2017	493.53	457.99	458.57	461.2	462.95	465.84	460(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	123	60	135	88	0.08	26%	-0.23	66.1	1.25%	0	0.4	44	INF
25	Apr_13_2017	494.65	457.34	457.9	460.5	460.55	463.96	471.5(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	209	50	239	117	0.13	28%		51.4	1.23%	0	2.1	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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