Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPXS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $451.5000 (5.29%) ($436.5000 - $451.9000) on Wed. May. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $451.5000(5.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(23%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(19%)    GDXJ(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $434.94(3.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $433.51(4.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $437.24(3.26%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.58%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.15%(100%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.05%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2017	470.51	437.24	433.51	434.94	434.25	436.33	451.5(5.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	282	30	333	127	0.24	37%	-0.15	-66.2	1.44%	0	1.4	62	INF
2	May_16_2017	471.23	437.76	431.82	430.58	431.49	428.8	428.8(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-143	-40	-158	-97	0.07	26%	-0.1	-67.7	1.26%	0	-0.8	36	INF
3	May_15_2017	471.68	439.44	432.5	431.24	432.39	432.17	428(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-83	0	-88	-67	0.07	25%	-0.21	-60.9	1.26%	0	-1	36	INF
4	May_12_2017	472.69	441	433.35	431.8	432.66	434.18	434.3(0.51%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	64	30	86	-2	0.06	24%	-0.2	-59.3	1.26%	0	-0.6	31	INF
5	May_11_2017	473.65	442.75	433.71	431.06	431.79	432.6	432.1(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	36	20	61	-38	0.09	24%	-0.2	-49.3	1.27%	0	-0.8	17	INF

6	May_10_2017	474.61	444.22	434.15	431.82	431.53	431.14	429.7(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-45	-10	-30	-88	0.06	23%	-0.2	-45.8	1.28%	0	-1.1	23	INF
7	May_9_2017	475.56	445.61	434.9	433.3	432.86	430.98	432.1(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-94	-30	-82	-129	0.08	22%	-0.2	-43.2	1.28%	0	-1	19	INF
8	May_8_2017	476.53	446.81	435.37	434	434.67	431.92	430.8(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-150	-40	-141	-175	0.07	22%	-0.22	-42.9	1.29%	0	-1.2	21	INF
9	May_5_2017	477.56	448.15	436.7	435.1	435.85	434.74	430.6(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-141	-10	-127	-181	0.09	22%	-0.21	-41.3	1.28%	0	-1.4	27	INF
10	May_4_2017	478.56	449.44	439.49	436.68	436.55	437.43	435.9(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	10	16	-128	0.09	22%	-0.21	-38.4	1.28%	0	-1.1	23	INF

11	May_3_2017	479.57	450.58	441.3	436.8	436.65	436.96	437.1(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	14	0	58	-118	0.1	21%	-0.18	-37.7	1.29%	0	-1.2	34	INF
12	May_2_2017	480.44	451.47	444.05	436.78	436.28	435.68	435.6(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-10	-24	-142	0.11	21%	-0.21	-40.2	1.31%	0	-1.4	38	INF
13	May_1_2017	481.43	452.5	446.8	436.96	436.21	436.34	436.3(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-0	-41	-143	0.11	21%	-0.2	-47.2	1.31%	0	-1.5	40	INF
14	Apr_28_2017	482.4	453.43	449.19	438.6	436.86	436.88	438.5(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-54	-10	-29	-128	0.04	24%	-0.22	-51.1	1.31%	0	-1.5	40	INF
15	Apr_27_2017	483.45	454.11	452.41	442.9	438.79	436.09	436.5(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-159	-70	-163	-145	0.05	24%	-0.23	-48.3	1.32%	0	-1.9	40	INF

16	Apr_26_2017	484.57	455.05	455.07	446.6	444.17	436.84	437(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-291	-130	-326	-187	0.1	24%	-0.28	-45.9	1.32%	0	-2.1	39	INF
17	Apr_25_2017	485.91	456.06	457.29	452.5	449.86	441.5	436.5(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-462	-150	-537	-237	0.08	23%	-0.29	-37.5	1.32%	0	-2.7	42	INF
18	Apr_24_2017	487.32	457.57	459.46	458	456.02	451.5	444.5(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-314	-80	-372	-140	0.1	23%	-0.29	-6.8	1.33%	0	-2.2	46	INF
19	Apr_21_2017	488.75	458.56	460.88	461.1	460.86	458.22	460(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-107	-40	-135	-24	0.06	25%	-0.26	23.1	1.28%	0	0.3	57	INF
20	Apr_20_2017	490.02	458.66	460.44	463.4	462.45	460.53	455(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-135	-40	-173	-20	0.08	25%	-0.26	50.4	1.28%	0	-0.7	56	INF

21	Apr_19_2017	491.29	458.97	460.83	464.8	464.67	463.5	466.5(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	-20	-17	58	0.06	26%	-0.22	75.4	1.25%	0	1.4	63	INF
22	Apr_18_2017	492.38	458.79	459.53	462.9	464.17	464.38	464(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-6	10	-23	44	0.07	26%	-0.23	79.1	1.26%	0	1	59	INF
23	Apr_17_2017	493.53	457.99	458.57	461.2	462.95	465.84	460(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	123	60	135	88	0.08	26%	-0.23	66.1	1.25%	0	0.4	44	INF
24	Apr_13_2017	494.65	457.34	457.9	460.5	460.55	463.96	471.5(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	209	50	239	117	0.13	28%	-0.21	51.4	1.23%	0	2.1	55	INF
25	Apr_12_2017	495.7	455.91	455.66	457.2	457.72	460.07	462(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	131	40	157	52	0.07	23%		32.2	1.19%	0	0.9	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.