Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $464.0000 (0.87%) ($460.0000 - $468.0050) on Tue. Apr. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $464.0000(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(23%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(19%)    GDXJ(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $462.9(0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $459.53(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $458.79(1.14%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(13%) Average negative next day return: -0.54%(88%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.55%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -0.66%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.72%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.84%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2017	492.38	458.79	459.53	462.9	464.17	464.38	464(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-6	10	-23	44	0.07	26%	-0.23	79.1	1.26%	0	1	59	0
2	Apr_17_2017	493.53	457.99	458.57	461.2	462.95	465.84	460(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	123	60	135	88	0.08	26%	-0.23	66.1	1.25%	0	0.4	44	0
3	Apr_13_2017	494.65	457.34	457.9	460.5	460.55	463.96	471.5(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	209	50	239	117	0.13	28%	-0.21	51.4	1.23%	0	2.1	55	0
4	Apr_12_2017	495.7	455.91	455.66	457.2	457.72	460.07	462(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	131	40	157	52	0.07	23%	-0.24	32.2	1.19%	0	0.9	47	0
5	Apr_11_2017	496.87	454.93	454.71	456.4	456.53	457.13	457(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	95	10	119	23	0.1	23%	-0.25	21	1.19%	0	0.3	44	0

6	Apr_10_2017	498.13	454.68	454.47	455.7	454.81	455.38	455.5(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	0	-29	-50	0.07	23%	-0.28	17.7	1.19%	0	0.1	38	0
7	Apr_7_2017	499.54	454.29	455.35	455.5	455.06	455.94	456.5(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	10	78	9	0.07	23%	-0.27	16.1	1.19%	0	0.3	60	0
8	Apr_6_2017	500.91	453.9	455.96	454.8	454.87	454.25	455(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10	34	4	0.08	23%	-0.29	16.8	1.2%	0	0.2	60	0
9	Apr_5_2017	502.38	453.78	456.66	453.8	453.78	454.18	458(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-40	10	-48	-17	0.12	23%	-0.28	18.1	1.2%	0	0.6	66	0
10	Apr_4_2017	503.8	453.57	456.9	452.8	453.63	455.5	453.5(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	83	30	93	53	0.08	22%	-0.32	26.5	1.19%	0	-0	64	0

11	Apr_3_2017	505.41	453.48	457.97	453.1	453.41	453.38	454.5(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	0	26	41	0.1	21%	-0.32	25.3	1.21%	0	0.2	53	0
12	Mar_31_2017	507.01	453.18	457.42	455.3	454.77	451.75	453(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-151	-50	-191	-32	0.05	21%	-0.31	30.8	1.23%	0	-0	56	0
13	Mar_30_2017	508.59	452.77	456.89	457.4	459.49	453.44	450(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-198	-80	-249	-44	0.05	21%	-0.33	32.5	1.24%	0	-0.4	53	0
14	Mar_29_2017	510.25	452.56	456.41	459.9	462.18	457.79	453(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-285	-50	-353	-79	0.04	21%	-0.36	31.8	1.25%	0	0.1	51	0
15	Mar_28_2017	512.09	451.81	455.44	461.5	463.74	465.54	455(-2.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-39	40	-64	35	0.11	26%	-0.37	26	1.25%	0	0.4	51	0

16	Mar_27_2017	514	451.77	455.17	463.4	464.44	466.56	465.5(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	269	40	295	192	0.16	27%	-0.44	33	1.26%	0	1.7	61	0
17	Mar_24_2017	516.28	451.01	453.27	459.79	460.28	461.94	463.5(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	91	30	91	89	0.15	27%	-0.43	14.7	1.26%	0	1.7	63	0
18	Mar_23_2017	518.53	450.44	451.68	456.29	456.34	462.31	462.5(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	233	90	263	142	0.13	27%	-0.42	-5.9	1.27%	0	1.7	65	0
19	Mar_22_2017	520.7	450.02	450.53	452.39	451.93	458.62	461(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	402	100	466	209	0.15	27%	-0.39	-28.8	1.27%	0	1.7	64	0
20	Mar_21_2017	522.76	449.72	449.71	448.49	446.53	450.37	464.5(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	230	50	265	123	0.14	27%	-0.36	-59.4	1.27%	0	2.4	72	0

21	Mar_20_2017	524.66	449.15	448.22	445.99	444.23	445.24	447.43(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	0	73	28	0.04	19%	-0.39	-99.2	1.17%	0	-0.3	44	0
22	Mar_17_2017	526.72	449.94	448.29	445.9	445.64	442.69	446(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-50	-55	-28	0.05	19%	-0.38	-100.7	1.16%	0	-0.6	46	0
23	Mar_16_2017	528.74	450.86	448.16	446.4	446.8	443.22	443(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-244	-50	-283	-126	0.06	19%	-0.37	-105.7	1.16%	0	-1.1	42	0
24	Mar_15_2017	530.72	451.93	448.41	448.3	448.52	448.59	441.5(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-127	0	-145	-71	0.1	19%	-0.37	-115.9	1.17%	0	-1.4	40	0
25	Mar_14_2017	532.69	453.41	448.12	450.9	450.81	450.38	452(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	-10	89	18	0.05	26%		-113.9	1.14%	0	-0.2	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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