Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $640.0000 (1.03%) ($627.0000 - $640.5000) on Thu. Oct. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $640.0000(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(24%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(17%)    IPO(6%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $632.4(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $634.84(0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $630.3(1.54%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.1%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.08%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.48%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.21%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.56%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.39%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2016	645.94	630.3	634.84	632.4	630.51	634.63	640(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	55	40	64	29	0.07	59%	-0.08	29	1.74%	0	1.1	59	INF
2	Oct_26_2016	646.46	629.63	634.82	631.1	631.38	631.95	633.5(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	147	10	169	79	0.09	59%	-0.1	33.1	1.74%	0	0.4	61	INF
3	Oct_25_2016	647.11	628.55	635.04	630.5	630.94	626.39	630.5(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-118	-50	-144	-40	0.06	59%	-0.11	26.9	1.74%	0	0.2	58	INF
4	Oct_24_2016	647.82	628.08	635.73	631.6	631.8	630.81	625.5(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-149	-10	-183	-47	0.08	59%	-0.14	21.2	1.74%	0	-0.3	50	INF
5	Oct_21_2016	648.7	628.4	634.96	636	634.14	635.5	632.5(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	49	10	46	57	0.06	59%	-0.11	29.4	1.74%	0	0.4	59	INF

6	Oct_20_2016	649.43	627.67	634.3	637.6	635.86	635.5	633.5(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-40	-6	47	0.09	59%	-0.12	22	1.74%	0	0.5	61	INF
7	Oct_19_2016	650.23	626.44	632.82	639.1	636.06	632.78	630.5(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-191	-50	-239	-46	0.07	59%	-0.13	14.5	1.75%	0	0.4	52	INF
8	Oct_18_2016	651.09	625.9	631.87	640.1	639.64	638.94	636(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10	-20	51	0.08	59%	-0.02	3.4	1.75%	0	0.9	62	INF
9	Oct_17_2016	651.24	625.98	631	640.3	640.1	639.35	647.5(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	-10	44	82	0.07	62%	-0.1	-1.6	1.74%	0	1.9	60	INF
10	Oct_14_2016	651.92	625.47	628.01	633.7	636.55	640.35	640.5(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	79	60	81	71	0.09	62%	-0.13	-11.9	1.73%	0	1.4	52	INF

11	Oct_13_2016	652.75	625.33	625.34	630.5	631.35	640.86	641(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	304	110	349	167	0.17	62%	-0.13	-25.7	1.74%	0	1.5	58	INF
12	Oct_12_2016	653.58	624.86	623.77	625.7	625.15	632.76	635.5(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	335	80	387	178	0.08	62%	-0.16	-26.1	1.74%	0	0.9	60	INF
13	Oct_11_2016	654.63	625.53	621.26	622.5	621.26	621.84	637(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	148	0	171	77	0.15	62%	-0.2	-14.4	1.76%	0	0.9	55	INF
14	Oct_10_2016	655.97	626.15	619.42	620.6	618.62	617.54	614.5(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-116	-20	-134	-60	0.07	57%	-0.23	-2.4	1.7%	0	-0.9	41	INF
15	Oct_7_2016	657.51	626.77	621.1	621.4	620.9	620.68	624.5(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-0	40	7	0.11	50%	-0.24	4.1	1.78%	0	-0.2	43	INF

16	Oct_6_2016	659.09	628.1	620.4	619.3	620.38	619.71	617(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-0	-25	-37	0.07	50%	-0.24	11	1.77%	0	-0.8	41	INF
17	Oct_5_2016	660.66	627.92	620.4	621.4	619.25	621.13	619.5(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	10	-2	-35	0.08	50%	-0.23	11.4	1.78%	0	-0.6	45	INF
18	Oct_4_2016	662.21	627.39	619.62	619.6	619.67	621.06	627.5(1.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	98	20	131	-3	0.11	50%	-0.19	4.9	1.8%	0	0	41	INF
19	Oct_3_2016	663.47	626.43	620.61	618.2	618.11	617.37	618.5(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-73	-10	-66	-93	0.08	50%	-0.24	0.8	1.8%	0	-0.5	37	INF
20	Sep_30_2016	665.07	626.18	622.74	620.9	620.29	618.28	614(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-75	-30	-73	-82	0.14	44%	-0.21	2.7	1.8%	0	-0.8	48	INF

21	Sep_29_2016	666.49	626.57	625.37	621.6	623.67	618.85	627.5(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-65	-40	-60	-80	0.14	41%	-0.2	4.7	1.85%	0	0.1	43	INF
22	Sep_28_2016	667.8	626.24	625.96	617.6	622.03	622.31	610.5(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-125	20	-131	-108	0.08	32%	-0.19	-0.8	1.91%	0	-1	53	INF
23	Sep_27_2016	669.06	626.62	630.15	619.4	619.89	628.5	620.5(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	131	100	163	36	0.08	40%	-0.22	4.8	2%	0	-0.4	56	INF
24	Sep_26_2016	670.51	626.3	633.34	623.4	619.83	621.75	632(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	186	0	218	88	0.08	40%	-0.2	12.1	2.13%	0	0.4	59	INF
25	Sep_23_2016	671.86	625.74	632.8	625.3	621.58	611.28	617.5(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-172	-130	-205	-72	0.09	45%		18.4	2.51%	0	-0.5	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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