Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $635.5000 (-0.24%) ($629.5000 - $641.3500) on Wed. Oct. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $635.5000(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(24%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(18%)    IPO(6%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $625.7(1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $623.77(1.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $624.86(1.7%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.5%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.13%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.25%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2016	653.58	624.86	623.77	625.7	625.15	632.76	635.5(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	335	80	387	178	0.08	62%	-0.16	-26.1	1.74%	0	0.9	60	0
2	Oct_11_2016	654.63	625.53	621.26	622.5	621.26	621.84	637(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	148	0	171	77	0.15	62%	-0.2	-14.4	1.76%	0	0.9	55	0
3	Oct_10_2016	655.97	626.15	619.42	620.6	618.62	617.54	614.5(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-116	-20	-134	-60	0.07	57%	-0.23	-2.4	1.7%	0	-0.9	41	0
4	Oct_7_2016	657.51	626.77	621.1	621.4	620.9	620.68	624.5(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-0	40	7	0.11	50%	-0.24	4.1	1.78%	0	-0.2	43	0
5	Oct_6_2016	659.09	628.1	620.4	619.3	620.38	619.71	617(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-0	-25	-37	0.07	50%	-0.24	11	1.77%	0	-0.8	41	0

6	Oct_5_2016	660.66	627.92	620.4	621.4	619.25	621.13	619.5(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	10	-2	-35	0.08	50%	-0.23	11.4	1.78%	0	-0.6	45	0
7	Oct_4_2016	662.21	627.39	619.62	619.6	619.67	621.06	627.5(1.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	98	20	131	-3	0.11	50%	-0.19	4.9	1.8%	0	0	41	0
8	Oct_3_2016	663.47	626.43	620.61	618.2	618.11	617.37	618.5(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-73	-10	-66	-93	0.08	50%	-0.24	0.8	1.8%	0	-0.5	37	0
9	Sep_30_2016	665.07	626.18	622.74	620.9	620.29	618.28	614(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-75	-30	-73	-82	0.14	44%	-0.21	2.7	1.8%	0	-0.8	48	0
10	Sep_29_2016	666.49	626.57	625.37	621.6	623.67	618.85	627.5(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-65	-40	-60	-80	0.14	41%	-0.2	4.7	1.85%	0	0.1	43	0

11	Sep_28_2016	667.8	626.24	625.96	617.6	622.03	622.31	610.5(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-125	20	-131	-108	0.08	32%	-0.19	-0.8	1.91%	0	-1	53	0
12	Sep_27_2016	669.06	626.62	630.15	619.4	619.89	628.5	620.5(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	131	100	163	36	0.08	40%	-0.22	4.8	2%	0	-0.4	56	0
13	Sep_26_2016	670.51	626.3	633.34	623.4	619.83	621.75	632(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	186	0	218	88	0.08	40%	-0.2	12.1	2.13%	0	0.4	59	0
14	Sep_23_2016	671.86	625.74	632.8	625.3	621.58	611.28	617.5(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-172	-130	-205	-72	0.09	45%	-0.23	18.4	2.51%	0	-0.5	54	0
15	Sep_22_2016	673.44	625.83	636.4	630	627.18	617.9	607.5(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-318	-120	-383	-122	0.12	45%	-0.25	29.7	2.54%	0	-1.1	49	0

16	Sep_21_2016	675.12	626.38	637.27	635.4	635.7	631.88	619.5(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-116	-40	-148	-19	0.13	45%	-0.21	41.4	2.53%	0	-0.4	52	0
17	Sep_20_2016	676.55	625.89	636.4	642.1	639.86	636.47	640.5(-0.16%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-79	-50	-109	10	0.06	47%	-0.15	49.8	2.5%	0	0.9	60	0
18	Sep_19_2016	677.56	624.38	633.19	644.7	643.58	639.53	641.5(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-71	-50	-100	18	0.07	47%	-0.18	57	2.51%	0	1.1	61	0
19	Sep_16_2016	678.75	622.8	630.24	641.5	646.09	643.25	641(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-67	-10	-93	12	0.08	47%	-0.16	52.6	2.51%	0	1.2	57	0
20	Sep_15_2016	679.82	621.09	628.05	644	646.28	647.63	634.5(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	30	-2	56	0.14	47%	-0.14	58.2	2.51%	0	0.9	56	0

21	Sep_14_2016	680.76	619.95	626.62	639.1	644.78	648.94	653(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	196	70	216	135	0.14	49%	-0.12	48.6	2.49%	0	2.2	63	0
22	Sep_13_2016	681.56	617.9	622.6	629.6	634.5	644.94	653.5(4.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	193	140	217	119	0.21	51%	-0.12	36.8	2.49%	0	2.7	66	0
23	Sep_12_2016	682.39	615.36	618.17	620.1	624.66	640.63	625.5(-4.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	384	200	448	192	0.25	47%	-0.16	17.2	2.44%	0	1	57	0
24	Sep_9_2016	683.47	614.64	617.6	617.2	616.19	624.06	653.5(7.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.6	351	80	410	174	0.25	53%	-0.12	8.5	2.41%	0	3.8	70	0
25	Sep_8_2016	684.27	612.23	613.56	610.4	609.57	608.69	610(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10	-36	-16	0.07	46%		-39.7	2.24%	0	-0.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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