Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $653.5000 (4.48%) ($636.5000 - $658.5000) on Tue. Sep. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.49% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $653.5000(4.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(25%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(18%)    BOTZ(14%)    IPO(8%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.245% (StdDev 2.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $629.6(3.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $622.6(4.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $617.9(5.76%)
To recent high   -19.3%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 2.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.84%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.15%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.52%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.21%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.15%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2016	681.56	617.9	622.6	629.6	634.5	644.94	653.5(4.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	193	140	217	119	0.21	51%	-0.12	36.8	2.49%	0	2.7	66	0
2	Sep_12_2016	682.39	615.36	618.17	620.1	624.66	640.63	625.5(-4.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	384	200	448	192	0.25	47%	-0.16	17.2	2.44%	0	1	57	0
3	Sep_9_2016	683.47	614.64	617.6	617.2	616.19	624.06	653.5(7.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.6	351	80	410	174	0.25	53%	-0.12	8.5	2.41%	0	3.8	70	0
4	Sep_8_2016	684.27	612.23	613.56	610.4	609.57	608.69	610(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10	-36	-16	0.07	46%	-0.16	-39.7	2.24%	0	-0.5	54	0
5	Sep_7_2016	685.4	612.66	614.14	612.5	612.64	608.31	605.5(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-80	-50	-95	-33	0.06	46%	-0.17	-37	2.24%	0	-1.4	45	0

6	Sep_6_2016	686.59	613.12	614.47	614.4	615.96	610.44	606(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-140	-60	-166	-60	0.08	46%	-0.26	-50	2.24%	0	-1.5	43	0
7	Sep_2_2016	688.41	613.6	615.06	615.6	617.33	616.98	611(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-95	0	-115	-35	0.1	46%	-0.19	-58.6	2.23%	0	-0.6	56	0
8	Sep_1_2016	689.73	613.76	615.1	617.6	618.21	621.47	619.5(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	88	40	99	55	0.09	46%	-0.18	-44.8	2.23%	0	1.1	55	0
9	Aug_31_2016	690.96	614.12	613.92	617.2	617.2	617.69	620.5(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	10	72	43	0.09	46%	-0.21	-38.5	2.23%	0	1	58	0
10	Aug_30_2016	692.43	614.52	613.92	616.2	616.54	614.96	615(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-20	-31	-3	0.05	46%	-0.25	-33.9	2.22%	0	0.1	46	0

11	Aug_29_2016	694.16	615.48	613.05	614.6	616.09	616.71	612(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	10	2	7	0.07	46%	-0.25	-32.8	2.24%	0	-0.4	49	0
12	Aug_26_2016	695.87	616.13	612.48	614.3	613.61	618.13	621(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	70	50	82	35	0.18	46%	-0.24	-35.6	2.24%	0	0.6	53	0
13	Aug_25_2016	697.56	616.17	611.48	612.2	612.13	615.46	617.5(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	139	40	165	62	0.09	44%	-0.21	-41.9	2.24%	0	0.2	52	0
14	Aug_24_2016	699	616.58	610.63	610.2	610.63	609.09	615.5(1.4%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	10	-20	16	-10	0.08	41%	-0.25	-48.9	2.25%	0	-0.1	39	0
15	Aug_23_2016	700.73	617.16	610.83	609.6	609.95	608.8	607(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-99	-10	-110	-66	0.07	41%	-0.22	-49.3	2.28%	0	-1.1	32	0

16	Aug_22_2016	702.31	618.17	611.55	611.3	612.48	612.18	610.5(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	14	0	24	-18	0.07	41%	-0.21	-47.2	2.28%	0	-0.9	30	0
17	Aug_19_2016	703.78	619.04	611.98	610.3	612.55	611.1	610.5(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10	-17	-41	0.05	41%	-0.23	-52.5	2.29%	0	-1	41	0
18	Aug_18_2016	705.41	619.7	612.33	610.6	611.02	612.78	607.5(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	20	-35	-52	0.04	41%	-0.23	-58.6	2.29%	0	-1.4	41	0
19	Aug_17_2016	707.02	620.89	614.38	611	611.59	614	612.5(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	89	30	115	9	0.08	44%	-0.24	-62.1	2.29%	0	-1	41	0
20	Aug_16_2016	708.69	621.55	616.09	612.3	610.62	609.25	615.5(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-20	-11	-37	0.07	41%	-0.26	-68.2	2.32%	0	-0.7	42	0

21	Aug_15_2016	710.54	622.36	618.01	612	611.59	609.19	605.5(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-82	-30	-87	-65	0.06	41%	-0.15	-76.5	2.34%	0	-2.1	35	0
22	Aug_12_2016	711.61	623.62	620.09	613.9	613.53	611.99	612(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-20	-48	-46	0.08	44%	-0.27	-92.6	2.37%	0	-1.5	38	0
23	Aug_11_2016	713.53	624.81	621.27	614.3	613.93	613.99	609.5(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	-0	-50	-47	0.07	47%	-0.27	-114.7	2.37%	0	-2.1	41	0
24	Aug_10_2016	715.47	626.03	623.12	618.2	615.64	615.06	619(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-20	-21	-28	0.06	44%	-0.23	-137.6	2.39%	0	-1	41	0
25	Aug_9_2016	717.15	627.21	624.03	620.6	619.05	613.88	614(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-106	-70	-121	-62	0.06	44%		-149.2	2.42%	0	-1.7	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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