Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $607.5000 (-0.82%) ($607.5000 - $613.2500) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.29% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $607.5000(-0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(25%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(18%)    IPO(8%)    IBUY(6%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.145% (StdDev 2.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $619.7
5 Day Moving Average   $610.6(-0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $612.33(-0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $619.7(-1.97%)
To recent high   -25%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 2.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.17%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.7%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.98%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -2.95%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.61%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.87%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2016	705.41	619.7	612.33	610.6	611.02	612.78	607.5(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	20	-35	-52	0.04	41%	-0.23	-58.6	2.29%	0	-1.4	41	0
2	Aug_17_2016	707.02	620.89	614.38	611	611.59	614	612.5(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	89	30	115	9	0.08	44%	-0.24	-62.1	2.29%	0	-1	41	0
3	Aug_16_2016	708.69	621.55	616.09	612.3	610.62	609.25	615.5(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-20	-11	-37	0.07	41%	-0.26	-68.2	2.32%	0	-0.7	42	0
4	Aug_15_2016	710.54	622.36	618.01	612	611.59	609.19	605.5(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-82	-30	-87	-65	0.06	41%	-0.15	-76.5	2.34%	0	-2.1	35	0
5	Aug_12_2016	711.61	623.62	620.09	613.9	613.53	611.99	612(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-20	-48	-46	0.08	44%	-0.27	-92.6	2.37%	0	-1.5	38	0

6	Aug_11_2016	713.53	624.81	621.27	614.3	613.93	613.99	609.5(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	-0	-50	-47	0.07	47%	-0.27	-114.7	2.37%	0	-2.1	41	0
7	Aug_10_2016	715.47	626.03	623.12	618.2	615.64	615.06	619(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-20	-21	-28	0.06	44%	-0.23	-137.6	2.39%	0	-1	41	0
8	Aug_9_2016	717.15	627.21	624.03	620.6	619.05	613.88	614(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-106	-70	-121	-62	0.06	44%	-0.24	-149.2	2.42%	0	-1.7	43	0
9	Aug_8_2016	718.88	628.7	625.42	625.1	624.4	616.22	615(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-197	-100	-230	-98	0.04	44%	-0.24	-141.7	2.42%	0	-1.4	39	0
10	Aug_5_2016	720.62	630.78	626.83	627.2	629.37	624.22	614(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-165	-50	-194	-79	0.11	44%	-0.25	-127.1	2.42%	0	-1.5	41	0

11	Aug_4_2016	722.46	633.25	627.92	629	630.86	632.59	629(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	30	-28	-13	0.05	44%	-0.26	-91.8	2.41%	0	-0.3	44	0
12	Aug_3_2016	724.32	636.3	628.08	628.6	629.89	634.53	631(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	110	60	131	48	0.08	46%	-0.27	-82.3	2.42%	0	-0.3	48	0
13	Aug_2_2016	726.3	639.21	627.47	628	628.38	629.13	636.5(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	84	10	102	29	0.13	46%	-0.26	-81.3	2.45%	0	-0.1	43	0
14	Aug_1_2016	728.19	642.43	626.86	626.1	626.75	625.25	625.5(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-10	-62	-45	0.08	46%	-0.27	-98.8	2.45%	0	-0.7	33	0
15	Jul_29_2016	730.16	645.65	627.26	626.1	627.82	627.63	623(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-21	0	-16	-36	0.08	46%	-0.33	-104.2	2.47%	0	-0.8	24	0

16	Jul_28_2016	732.6	649.21	628.48	626.6	628.14	628.25	627(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	10	10	-36	0.05	46%	-0.33	-99.8	2.48%	0	-0.8	22	0
17	Jul_27_2016	734.99	653.95	629.05	627.4	627.61	628.25	628(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	10	-3	-60	0.07	46%	-0.34	-88	2.51%	0	-0.8	16	0
18	Jul_26_2016	737.53	660.43	630.48	626.8	627.92	628.02	627(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	10	22	-69	0.06	46%	-0.31	-68.6	2.51%	0	-0.8	16	0
19	Jul_25_2016	739.79	669.02	632.09	627.8	627.34	627.19	628(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-52	-0	-32	-110	0.06	46%	-0.31	-47.5	2.51%	0	-0.8	14	0
20	Jul_22_2016	742.07	675.72	634.89	628.1	628.93	627.81	623(-1.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	-10	-13	-115	0.06	46%	-0.32	-42.9	2.5%	0	-1	22	0

21	Jul_21_2016	744.48	679.47	638.95	630.6	630.27	627.5	631(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-82	-30	-62	-141	0.06	46%	-0.33	-46.3	2.5%	0	-0.9	23	0
22	Jul_20_2016	746.91	684.09	645	631	631.16	630.04	625(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-101	-10	-81	-159	0.09	46%	-0.35	-48.5	2.51%	0	-1.2	15	0
23	Jul_19_2016	749.52	689	651.73	634.7	632.54	633.04	632(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-0	-15	-148	0.07	46%	-0.43	-49.9	2.5%	0	-1.2	12	0
24	Jul_18_2016	752.77	693.78	658.99	637.1	634.77	632.28	629.5(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-77	-40	-41	-185	0.09	46%	-0.4	-51.1	2.5%	0	-1.3	9	0
25	Jul_15_2016	755.79	699.35	665.4	642.8	637.98	632.03	635.5(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-204	-90	-187	-256	0.09	46%		-48.2	2.51%	0	-1.4	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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