Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPXS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $629.0000 (-0.32%) ($626.2500 - $634.5000) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.41% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $629.0000(-0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(25%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(17%)    IPO(8%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.205% (StdDev 2.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $633.25
5 Day Moving Average   $629(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $627.92(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $633.25(-0.67%)
To recent high   -22.3%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 2.68% (three month std-dev: 2.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.75%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.05%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.03%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2016	722.46	633.25	627.92	629	630.86	632.59	629(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	30	-28	-13	0.05	44%	-0.26	-91.8	2.41%	0	-0.3	44	0
2	Aug_3_2016	724.32	636.3	628.08	628.6	629.89	634.53	631(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	110	60	131	48	0.08	46%	-0.27	-82.3	2.42%	0	-0.3	48	0
3	Aug_2_2016	726.3	639.21	627.47	628	628.38	629.13	636.5(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	84	10	102	29	0.13	46%	-0.26	-81.3	2.45%	0	-0.1	43	0
4	Aug_1_2016	728.19	642.43	626.86	626.1	626.75	625.25	625.5(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-10	-62	-45	0.08	46%	-0.27	-98.8	2.45%	0	-0.7	33	0
5	Jul_29_2016	730.16	645.65	627.26	626.1	627.82	627.63	623(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-21	0	-16	-36	0.08	46%	-0.33	-104.2	2.47%	0	-0.8	24	0

6	Jul_28_2016	732.6	649.21	628.48	626.6	628.14	628.25	627(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	10	10	-36	0.05	46%	-0.33	-99.8	2.48%	0	-0.8	22	0
7	Jul_27_2016	734.99	653.95	629.05	627.4	627.61	628.25	628(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	10	-3	-60	0.07	46%	-0.34	-88	2.51%	0	-0.8	16	0
8	Jul_26_2016	737.53	660.43	630.48	626.8	627.92	628.02	627(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	10	22	-69	0.06	46%	-0.31	-68.6	2.51%	0	-0.8	16	0
9	Jul_25_2016	739.79	669.02	632.09	627.8	627.34	627.19	628(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-52	-0	-32	-110	0.06	46%	-0.31	-47.5	2.51%	0	-0.8	14	0
10	Jul_22_2016	742.07	675.72	634.89	628.1	628.93	627.81	623(-1.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	-10	-13	-115	0.06	46%	-0.32	-42.9	2.5%	0	-1	22	0

11	Jul_21_2016	744.48	679.47	638.95	630.6	630.27	627.5	631(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-82	-30	-62	-141	0.06	46%	-0.33	-46.3	2.5%	0	-0.9	23	0
12	Jul_20_2016	746.91	684.09	645	631	631.16	630.04	625(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-101	-10	-81	-159	0.09	46%	-0.35	-48.5	2.51%	0	-1.2	15	0
13	Jul_19_2016	749.52	689	651.73	634.7	632.54	633.04	632(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-0	-15	-148	0.07	46%	-0.43	-49.9	2.5%	0	-1.2	12	0
14	Jul_18_2016	752.77	693.78	658.99	637.1	634.77	632.28	629.5(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-77	-40	-41	-185	0.09	46%	-0.4	-51.1	2.5%	0	-1.3	9	0
15	Jul_15_2016	755.79	699.35	665.4	642.8	637.98	632.03	635.5(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-204	-90	-187	-256	0.09	46%	-0.38	-48.2	2.51%	0	-1.4	25	0

16	Jul_14_2016	758.7	704.31	671.59	648.7	644.31	637.25	633(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-274	-100	-271	-281	0.11	46%	-0.43	-44.2	2.51%	0	-1.6	44	0
17	Jul_13_2016	761.98	709.77	680.94	661.3	654.52	643.94	643.5(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-305	-140	-315	-276	0.1	44%	-0.43	-34.9	2.51%	0	-1.6	41	0
18	Jul_12_2016	765.29	714.57	692.84	671.5	667.49	651.37	644(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-425	-190	-465	-306	0.12	44%	-0.38	-26.6	2.53%	0	-1.8	42	0
19	Jul_11_2016	768.23	719.2	708.91	684.2	682.55	665.1	658(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-457	-190	-516	-280	0.13	44%	-0.42	-16.1	2.54%	0	-1.8	43	0
20	Jul_8_2016	771.46	722.35	719.9	691.2	694.72	683.6	665(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-348	-100	-394	-211	0.16	44%	-0.41	-11.5	2.54%	0	-1.8	42	0

21	Jul_7_2016	774.63	724.31	723.68	697.5	700.11	700	696(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-160	10	-172	-123	0.12	50%	-0.35	-8.2	2.49%	0	-1	47	0
22	Jul_6_2016	777.35	724.4	726.62	703.7	704.05	705.84	694.5(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-9	20	4	-46	0.18	50%	-0.42	-5.4	2.53%	0	-1	45	0
23	Jul_5_2016	780.59	724.86	729.6	718	711.79	700.22	707.5(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-236	-140	-270	-135	0.13	50%	-0.47	5.2	2.55%	0	-0.6	48	0
24	Jul_1_2016	784.24	724.76	731.58	738.5	729.49	702.25	693(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-629	-300	-742	-289	0.15	50%	-0.57	23.5	2.55%	0	-1.1	46	0
25	Jun_30_2016	788.73	725.98	736.45	753.3	756.05	723.36	696.5(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-669	-290	-799	-277	0.21	50%		37.4	2.54%	0	-1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.