Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $636.5000 (1.76%) ($626.0000 - $645.5000) on Tue. Aug. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $636.5000(1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(25%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(17%)    IPO(8%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

Resistance Level   $639.21
5 Day Moving Average   $628(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $627.47(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $639.21(-0.42%)
To recent high   -21.4%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 3.95% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2016	726.3	639.21	627.47	628	628.38	629.13	636.5(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	84	10	102	29	0.13	46%	-0.26	-81.3	2.45%	0	-0.1	43	0
2	Aug_1_2016	728.19	642.43	626.86	626.1	626.75	625.25	625.5(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-10	-62	-45	0.08	46%	-0.27	-98.8	2.45%	0	-0.7	33	0
3	Jul_29_2016	730.16	645.65	627.26	626.1	627.82	627.63	623(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-21	0	-16	-36	0.08	46%	-0.33	-104.2	2.47%	0	-0.8	24	0
4	Jul_28_2016	732.6	649.21	628.48	626.6	628.14	628.25	627(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	10	10	-36	0.05	46%	-0.33	-99.8	2.48%	0	-0.8	22	0
5	Jul_27_2016	734.99	653.95	629.05	627.4	627.61	628.25	628(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	10	-3	-60	0.07	46%	-0.34	-88	2.51%	0	-0.8	16	0

6	Jul_26_2016	737.53	660.43	630.48	626.8	627.92	628.02	627(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	10	22	-69	0.06	46%	-0.31	-68.6	2.51%	0	-0.8	16	0
7	Jul_25_2016	739.79	669.02	632.09	627.8	627.34	627.19	628(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-52	-0	-32	-110	0.06	46%	-0.31	-47.5	2.51%	0	-0.8	14	0
8	Jul_22_2016	742.07	675.72	634.89	628.1	628.93	627.81	623(-1.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	-10	-13	-115	0.06	46%	-0.32	-42.9	2.5%	0	-1	22	0
9	Jul_21_2016	744.48	679.47	638.95	630.6	630.27	627.5	631(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-82	-30	-62	-141	0.06	46%	-0.33	-46.3	2.5%	0	-0.9	23	0
10	Jul_20_2016	746.91	684.09	645	631	631.16	630.04	625(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-101	-10	-81	-159	0.09	46%	-0.35	-48.5	2.51%	0	-1.2	15	0

11	Jul_19_2016	749.52	689	651.73	634.7	632.54	633.04	632(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-0	-15	-148	0.07	46%	-0.43	-49.9	2.5%	0	-1.2	12	0
12	Jul_18_2016	752.77	693.78	658.99	637.1	634.77	632.28	629.5(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-77	-40	-41	-185	0.09	46%	-0.4	-51.1	2.5%	0	-1.3	9	0
13	Jul_15_2016	755.79	699.35	665.4	642.8	637.98	632.03	635.5(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-204	-90	-187	-256	0.09	46%	-0.38	-48.2	2.51%	0	-1.4	25	0
14	Jul_14_2016	758.7	704.31	671.59	648.7	644.31	637.25	633(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-274	-100	-271	-281	0.11	46%	-0.43	-44.2	2.51%	0	-1.6	44	0
15	Jul_13_2016	761.98	709.77	680.94	661.3	654.52	643.94	643.5(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-305	-140	-315	-276	0.1	44%	-0.43	-34.9	2.51%	0	-1.6	41	0

16	Jul_12_2016	765.29	714.57	692.84	671.5	667.49	651.37	644(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-425	-190	-465	-306	0.12	44%	-0.38	-26.6	2.53%	0	-1.8	42	0
17	Jul_11_2016	768.23	719.2	708.91	684.2	682.55	665.1	658(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-457	-190	-516	-280	0.13	44%	-0.42	-16.1	2.54%	0	-1.8	43	0
18	Jul_8_2016	771.46	722.35	719.9	691.2	694.72	683.6	665(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-348	-100	-394	-211	0.16	44%	-0.41	-11.5	2.54%	0	-1.8	42	0
19	Jul_7_2016	774.63	724.31	723.68	697.5	700.11	700	696(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-160	10	-172	-123	0.12	50%	-0.35	-8.2	2.49%	0	-1	47	0
20	Jul_6_2016	777.35	724.4	726.62	703.7	704.05	705.84	694.5(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-9	20	4	-46	0.18	50%	-0.42	-5.4	2.53%	0	-1	45	0

21	Jul_5_2016	780.59	724.86	729.6	718	711.79	700.22	707.5(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-236	-140	-270	-135	0.13	50%	-0.47	5.2	2.55%	0	-0.6	48	0
22	Jul_1_2016	784.24	724.76	731.58	738.5	729.49	702.25	693(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-629	-300	-742	-289	0.15	50%	-0.57	23.5	2.55%	0	-1.1	46	0
23	Jun_30_2016	788.73	725.98	736.45	753.3	756.05	723.36	696.5(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-669	-290	-799	-277	0.21	50%	-0.51	37.4	2.54%	0	-1	50	0
24	Jun_29_2016	792.77	726.69	740.34	752.6	768.16	756.73	727(-5.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-439	-40	-532	-160	0.18	53%	-0.47	35.1	2.49%	0	0	59	0
25	Jun_28_2016	796.48	726.03	741.51	751.5	759.01	788.75	766(-5.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	342	300	382	220	0.21	57%		30.1	2.44%	0	1.4	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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