Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $631.0000 (0.96%) ($623.0000 - $635.5000) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $631.0000(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(25%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(17%)    IPO(8%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $679.47
5 Day Moving Average   $630.6(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $638.95(-1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $679.47(-7.13%)
To recent high   -22.1%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 7.62% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.9%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.92%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.48%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -7%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.56%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.66%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2016	744.48	679.47	638.95	630.6	630.27	627.5	631(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-82	-30	-62	-141	0.06	46%	-0.33	-46.3	2.5%	0	-0.9	23	INF
2	Jul_20_2016	746.91	684.09	645	631	631.16	630.04	625(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-101	-10	-81	-159	0.09	46%	-0.35	-48.5	2.51%	0	-1.2	15	INF
3	Jul_19_2016	749.52	689	651.73	634.7	632.54	633.04	632(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-0	-15	-148	0.07	46%	-0.43	-49.9	2.5%	0	-1.2	12	INF
4	Jul_18_2016	752.77	693.78	658.99	637.1	634.77	632.28	629.5(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-77	-40	-41	-185	0.09	46%	-0.4	-51.1	2.5%	0	-1.3	9	INF
5	Jul_15_2016	755.79	699.35	665.4	642.8	637.98	632.03	635.5(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-204	-90	-187	-256	0.09	46%	-0.38	-48.2	2.51%	0	-1.4	25	INF

6	Jul_14_2016	758.7	704.31	671.59	648.7	644.31	637.25	633(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-274	-100	-271	-281	0.11	46%	-0.43	-44.2	2.51%	0	-1.6	44	INF
7	Jul_13_2016	761.98	709.77	680.94	661.3	654.52	643.94	643.5(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-305	-140	-315	-276	0.1	44%	-0.43	-34.9	2.51%	0	-1.6	41	INF
8	Jul_12_2016	765.29	714.57	692.84	671.5	667.49	651.37	644(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-425	-190	-465	-306	0.12	44%	-0.38	-26.6	2.53%	0	-1.8	42	INF
9	Jul_11_2016	768.23	719.2	708.91	684.2	682.55	665.1	658(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-457	-190	-516	-280	0.13	44%	-0.42	-16.1	2.54%	0	-1.8	43	INF
10	Jul_8_2016	771.46	722.35	719.9	691.2	694.72	683.6	665(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-348	-100	-394	-211	0.16	44%	-0.41	-11.5	2.54%	0	-1.8	42	INF

11	Jul_7_2016	774.63	724.31	723.68	697.5	700.11	700	696(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-160	10	-172	-123	0.12	50%	-0.35	-8.2	2.49%	0	-1	47	INF
12	Jul_6_2016	777.35	724.4	726.62	703.7	704.05	705.84	694.5(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-9	20	4	-46	0.18	50%	-0.42	-5.4	2.53%	0	-1	45	INF
13	Jul_5_2016	780.59	724.86	729.6	718	711.79	700.22	707.5(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-236	-140	-270	-135	0.13	50%	-0.47	5.2	2.55%	0	-0.6	48	INF
14	Jul_1_2016	784.24	724.76	731.58	738.5	729.49	702.25	693(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-629	-300	-742	-289	0.15	50%	-0.57	23.5	2.55%	0	-1.1	46	INF
15	Jun_30_2016	788.73	725.98	736.45	753.3	756.05	723.36	696.5(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-669	-290	-799	-277	0.21	50%	-0.51	37.4	2.54%	0	-1	50	INF

16	Jun_29_2016	792.77	726.69	740.34	752.6	768.16	756.73	727(-5.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-439	-40	-532	-160	0.18	53%	-0.47	35.1	2.49%	0	0	59	INF
17	Jun_28_2016	796.48	726.03	741.51	751.5	759.01	788.75	766(-5.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	342	300	382	220	0.21	57%	-0.42	30.1	2.44%	0	1.4	66	INF
18	Jun_27_2016	799.8	723.31	738.07	742.2	744.02	779.58	810(5.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	1169	340	1356	608	0.34	62%	-0.3	12.8	2.34%	0	3.2	74	INF
19	Jun_24_2016	802.21	718.03	729.22	725	723.71	729.27	767(10.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	528	50	608	287	0.43	58%	-0.29	-20.2	2.25%	0	2.7	68	INF
20	Jun_23_2016	804.51	715.47	723.53	719.1	713.36	708.47	693(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-358	-70	-433	-133	0.13	47%	-0.39	-55.3	1.8%	0	-1.6	45	INF

21	Jun_22_2016	807.63	717.03	724.34	726.5	722.52	718.16	721.5(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-81	-60	-112	13	0.09	52%	-0.37	-59.9	1.76%	0	0.3	58	INF
22	Jun_21_2016	810.61	717.74	721.65	729.6	728.66	718.25	719.5(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-242	-100	-302	-62	0.1	52%	-0.31	-61.6	1.76%	0	0.1	53	INF
23	Jun_20_2016	813.09	719.89	719.7	732.5	731.7	726.88	724(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-347	-50	-426	-110	0.11	52%	-0.3	-41	1.76%	0	0.2	54	INF
24	Jun_17_2016	815.5	721.7	717.51	733.6	736.23	739.08	737.5(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	134	40	140	115	0.1	55%	-0.37	-37	1.75%	0	0.8	60	INF
25	Jun_16_2016	818.56	723.41	714.8	728.7	732.79	736.52	730(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	203	50	226	133	0.17	55%		-32.7	1.76%	0	0.3	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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