Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $730.0000 (-0.95%) ($728.0000 - $760.1200) on Thu. Jun. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $730.0000(-0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(18%)    IPO(7%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $728.7(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $714.8(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $723.41(0.91%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -11.16%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -22.02%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -23.66%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2016	818.56	723.41	714.8	728.7	732.79	736.52	730(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	203	50	226	133	0.17	55%	-0.4	-32.7	1.76%	0	0.3	52	0
2	Jun_15_2016	821.87	725.16	712.24	721.6	725.41	733.38	737(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	244	90	282	129	0.14	55%	-0.35	-35.6	1.77%	0	0.5	55	0
3	Jun_14_2016	824.76	726.58	709.47	712.4	716.81	729.06	734(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	435	140	517	188	0.14	55%	-0.41	-36.7	1.77%	0	0.3	45	0
4	Jun_13_2016	828.12	727.3	707.26	705.1	706.34	717.44	729.5(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	396	120	483	133	0.15	55%	-0.36	-45.3	1.77%	0	0.1	32	0
5	Jun_10_2016	831.08	729.33	705.33	699.4	699.84	704.56	713(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	221	50	288	21	0.12	45%	-0.45	-46.7	1.84%	0	-0.5	26	0

6	Jun_9_2016	834.87	731.34	705.98	699.3	697.69	695.25	694.5(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-93	-30	-73	-151	0.1	41%	-0.5	-49.9	1.8%	0	-1.2	13	0
7	Jun_8_2016	839.03	734.47	708.76	701.5	702.1	695.12	691(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-225	-70	-224	-227	0.07	41%	-0.45	-52.5	1.81%	0	-1.5	17	0
8	Jun_7_2016	842.82	736.92	713.45	705.8	706.88	700.13	697.5(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-317	-60	-332	-270	0.08	41%	-0.18	-56.7	1.86%	0	-1.5	18	0
9	Jun_6_2016	844.32	740.25	720.16	709.4	712.25	709.07	701(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-175	-20	-169	-192	0.08	41%	-0.44	-52.4	1.86%	0	-1.5	33	0
10	Jun_3_2016	848.08	743.54	726.42	711.9	714.88	713.63	712.5(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-82	0	-60	-149	0.11	41%	-0.35	-52	1.85%	0	-1.3	29	0

11	Jun_2_2016	851.08	746.58	732.79	713.8	715.41	715.44	705.5(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-78	10	-59	-136	0.07	41%	-0.42	-46.6	1.85%	0	-1.7	37	0
12	Jun_1_2016	854.67	750.03	739.28	717.2	717.61	716.12	712.5(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10	-13	-105	0.09	34%	-0.32	-37.3	1.85%	0	-1.7	38	0
13	May_31_2016	857.44	752.55	745.22	722.4	719.19	715.37	715.5(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-227	-50	-245	-172	0.08	41%	-0.35	-27.9	1.88%	0	-1.8	47	0
14	May_27_2016	860.44	754.07	749.15	732.9	727.36	719.1	713.5(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-255	-100	-285	-164	0.06	34%	-0.18	-14.9	2.08%	0	-2.2	40	0
15	May_26_2016	861.97	756.51	755.5	743.3	739.67	723	722(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-411	-170	-476	-216	0.07	34%	-0.17	7.8	2.1%	0	-2.1	41	0

16	May_25_2016	863.45	757.97	759.09	754.8	750.93	735.62	722.5(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-610	-160	-715	-294	0.12	34%	-0.17	32.7	2.1%	0	-2.2	39	0
17	May_24_2016	864.95	758.54	762.84	764.4	765.6	756.34	738.5(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-280	-80	-331	-126	0.13	36%	-0.16	54.2	2.13%	0	-1.3	42	0
18	May_23_2016	866.31	758.43	763.01	771	772.02	766.25	768(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-164	-50	-196	-66	0.06	40%	-0.12	69.5	2.08%	0	0.6	53	0
19	May_20_2016	867.38	756.86	762.35	767.7	771.55	774.85	765.5(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	40	-48	-7	0.11	35%	-0.13	62.9	2.18%	0	0.5	59	0
20	May_19_2016	868.5	755.23	762.18	769.6	769.99	777.79	779.5(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	245	70	283	132	0.17	35%	-0.11	61.1	2.19%	0	1.5	56	0

21	May_18_2016	869.48	752.81	761.16	764.4	765.65	768.25	770.5(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	183	30	210	101	0.2	35%	-0.13	49.1	2.18%	0	1	57	0
22	May_17_2016	870.6	750.37	761.09	761.3	760.74	762.19	771.5(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	10	50	46	0.1	32%	-0.13	37.9	2.19%	0	1.2	62	0
23	May_16_2016	871.72	747.91	759.78	753.9	756.33	763.04	751.5(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	121	70	136	75	0.1	25%	-0.16	15.4	2.23%	0	0.2	57	0
24	May_13_2016	873.1	746.86	758.93	756	752.27	759.29	775(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	195	50	222	115	0.11	26%	-0.13	3.9	2.28%	0	1.7	62	0
25	May_12_2016	874.24	745.17	757.04	753.9	751.69	749.63	753.5(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-30	20	40	0.1	19%		-9.9	2.26%	0	0.5	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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