Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $712.5000 (0.99%) ($707.5250 - $726.0000) on Fri. Jun. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $712.5000(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(18%)    IPO(7%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $743.54
5 Day Moving Average   $711.9(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $726.42(-1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $743.54(-4.17%)
To recent high   -18.7%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 3.29% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(57%) Average negative next day return: -2.13%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 3.03%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -5.61%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 4.09%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.16%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2016	848.08	743.54	726.42	711.9	714.88	713.63	712.5(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-82	0	-60	-149	0.11	41%	-0.35	-52	1.85%	0	-1.3	29	INF
2	Jun_2_2016	851.08	746.58	732.79	713.8	715.41	715.44	705.5(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-78	10	-59	-136	0.07	41%	-0.42	-46.6	1.85%	0	-1.7	37	INF
3	Jun_1_2016	854.67	750.03	739.28	717.2	717.61	716.12	712.5(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10	-13	-105	0.09	34%	-0.32	-37.3	1.85%	0	-1.7	38	INF
4	May_31_2016	857.44	752.55	745.22	722.4	719.19	715.37	715.5(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-227	-50	-245	-172	0.08	41%	-0.35	-27.9	1.88%	0	-1.8	47	INF
5	May_27_2016	860.44	754.07	749.15	732.9	727.36	719.1	713.5(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-255	-100	-285	-164	0.06	34%	-0.18	-14.9	2.08%	0	-2.2	40	INF

6	May_26_2016	861.97	756.51	755.5	743.3	739.67	723	722(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-411	-170	-476	-216	0.07	34%	-0.17	7.8	2.1%	0	-2.1	41	INF
7	May_25_2016	863.45	757.97	759.09	754.8	750.93	735.62	722.5(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-610	-160	-715	-294	0.12	34%	-0.17	32.7	2.1%	0	-2.2	39	INF
8	May_24_2016	864.95	758.54	762.84	764.4	765.6	756.34	738.5(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-280	-80	-331	-126	0.13	36%	-0.16	54.2	2.13%	0	-1.3	42	INF
9	May_23_2016	866.31	758.43	763.01	771	772.02	766.25	768(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-164	-50	-196	-66	0.06	40%	-0.12	69.5	2.08%	0	0.6	53	INF
10	May_20_2016	867.38	756.86	762.35	767.7	771.55	774.85	765.5(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	40	-48	-7	0.11	35%	-0.13	62.9	2.18%	0	0.5	59	INF

11	May_19_2016	868.5	755.23	762.18	769.6	769.99	777.79	779.5(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	245	70	283	132	0.17	35%	-0.11	61.1	2.19%	0	1.5	56	INF
12	May_18_2016	869.48	752.81	761.16	764.4	765.65	768.25	770.5(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	183	30	210	101	0.2	35%	-0.13	49.1	2.18%	0	1	57	INF
13	May_17_2016	870.6	750.37	761.09	761.3	760.74	762.19	771.5(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	10	50	46	0.1	32%	-0.13	37.9	2.19%	0	1.2	62	INF
14	May_16_2016	871.72	747.91	759.78	753.9	756.33	763.04	751.5(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	121	70	136	75	0.1	25%	-0.16	15.4	2.23%	0	0.2	57	INF
15	May_13_2016	873.1	746.86	758.93	756	752.27	759.29	775(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	195	50	222	115	0.11	26%	-0.13	3.9	2.28%	0	1.7	62	INF

16	May_12_2016	874.24	745.17	757.04	753.9	751.69	749.63	753.5(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-30	20	40	0.1	19%	-0.16	-9.9	2.26%	0	0.5	59	INF
17	May_11_2016	875.67	744.54	756.45	757.7	757.12	745.25	755(2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-207	-110	-256	-59	0.08	19%	-0.16	-16.7	2.36%	0	0.7	59	INF
18	May_10_2016	877.1	743.81	753.91	761.1	762.79	753.75	734.5(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-338	-80	-413	-113	0.09	14%	-0.2	-15.7	2.38%	0	-0.6	58	INF
19	May_9_2016	878.82	745.29	754.01	766.1	769.76	768.98	762(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-20	10	-43	50	0.06	15%	-0.16	-11.8	2.35%	0	0.9	68	INF
20	May_6_2016	880.24	746.2	751.43	761.7	768.76	771.83	764.5(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	112	60	114	106	0.1	15%	-0.16	-12.2	2.41%	0	0.9	65	INF

21	May_5_2016	881.67	746.75	748.15	760.4	761.91	770.53	772.5(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	130	90	137	110	0.08	25%	-0.16	-7.8	2.43%	0	1.2	59	INF
22	May_4_2016	883.04	747.14	743.9	755.1	759.33	765.69	772(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	308	80	350	181	0.12	25%	-0.16	-12	2.54%	0	1.2	60	INF
23	May_3_2016	884.44	746.36	738.63	746	751.21	753.28	759.5(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	85	40	94	57	0.18	25%	-0.18	-24.7	2.53%	0	0.6	56	INF
24	May_2_2016	886.05	747.43	734.77	740.3	744.28	752.98	740(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	107	100	127	47	0.16	29%	-0.21	-30	2.5%	0	-0.3	38	INF
25	Apr_29_2016	887.94	748.57	733.66	739.4	740.16	749.13	758(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	272	90	326	109	0.2	25%		-38.8	2.58%	0	0.4	35	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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