Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $770.5000 (-0.13%) ($756.0000 - $786.0000) on Wed. May. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $770.5000(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(18%)    IPO(7%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $764.4(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $761.16(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $752.81(2.35%)
To recent high   -21%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 2.09%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -2.67%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 3.54%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.45%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2016	869.48	752.81	761.16	764.4	765.65	768.25	770.5(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	183	30	210	101	0.2	35%	-0.13	49.1	2.18%	0	1	57	0
2	May_17_2016	870.6	750.37	761.09	761.3	760.74	762.19	771.5(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	10	50	46	0.1	32%	-0.13	37.9	2.19%	0	1.2	62	0
3	May_16_2016	871.72	747.91	759.78	753.9	756.33	763.04	751.5(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	121	70	136	75	0.1	25%	-0.16	15.4	2.23%	0	0.2	57	0
4	May_13_2016	873.1	746.86	758.93	756	752.27	759.29	775(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	195	50	222	115	0.11	26%	-0.13	3.9	2.28%	0	1.7	62	0
5	May_12_2016	874.24	745.17	757.04	753.9	751.69	749.63	753.5(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-30	20	40	0.1	19%	-0.16	-9.9	2.26%	0	0.5	59	0

6	May_11_2016	875.67	744.54	756.45	757.7	757.12	745.25	755(2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-207	-110	-256	-59	0.08	19%	-0.16	-16.7	2.36%	0	0.7	59	0
7	May_10_2016	877.1	743.81	753.91	761.1	762.79	753.75	734.5(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-338	-80	-413	-113	0.09	14%	-0.2	-15.7	2.38%	0	-0.6	58	0
8	May_9_2016	878.82	745.29	754.01	766.1	769.76	768.98	762(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-20	10	-43	50	0.06	15%	-0.16	-11.8	2.35%	0	0.9	68	0
9	May_6_2016	880.24	746.2	751.43	761.7	768.76	771.83	764.5(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	112	60	114	106	0.1	15%	-0.16	-12.2	2.41%	0	0.9	65	0
10	May_5_2016	881.67	746.75	748.15	760.4	761.91	770.53	772.5(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	130	90	137	110	0.08	25%	-0.16	-7.8	2.43%	0	1.2	59	0

11	May_4_2016	883.04	747.14	743.9	755.1	759.33	765.69	772(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	308	80	350	181	0.12	25%	-0.16	-12	2.54%	0	1.2	60	0
12	May_3_2016	884.44	746.36	738.63	746	751.21	753.28	759.5(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	85	40	94	57	0.18	25%	-0.18	-24.7	2.53%	0	0.6	56	0
13	May_2_2016	886.05	747.43	734.77	740.3	744.28	752.98	740(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	107	100	127	47	0.16	29%	-0.21	-30	2.5%	0	-0.3	38	0
14	Apr_29_2016	887.94	748.57	733.66	739.4	740.16	749.13	758(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	272	90	326	109	0.2	25%	-0.19	-38.8	2.58%	0	0.4	35	0
15	Apr_28_2016	889.65	748.41	731.89	734.1	735.19	735.59	746(2.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	73	10	97	-1	0.12	25%	-0.22	-53.7	2.71%	0	-0.1	33	0

16	Apr_27_2016	891.57	749.59	731.18	731.2	733.97	731.2	726.5(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-55	-20	-48	-77	0.08	25%	-0.25	-62.6	2.69%	0	-1	21	0
17	Apr_26_2016	893.8	751.67	732.64	730	732.37	734.8	731(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	30	-5	-67	0.06	25%	-0.25	-68.1	2.73%	0	-0.9	40	0
18	Apr_25_2016	896.03	753.99	735.78	728.2	729.7	736.75	735.5(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	122	70	165	-7	0.07	25%	-0.25	-68.3	2.77%	0	-0.8	33	0
19	Apr_22_2016	898.26	757.05	740.4	726.9	725.89	729.94	731.5(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	76	30	110	-25	0.09	23%	-0.26	-67.6	2.83%	0	-1.1	42	0
20	Apr_21_2016	900.61	760.41	745.12	729.5	727.39	722.66	731.5(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-50	-36	-72	0.09	23%	-0.27	-62.3	2.92%	0	-1.2	45	0

21	Apr_20_2016	903.02	763.81	750.49	731.5	732.08	721.84	720.5(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-213	-100	-235	-146	0.11	23%	-0.29	-61.7	2.91%	0	-1.7	38	0
22	Apr_19_2016	905.67	767.12	754.79	735.7	737.31	732.13	722(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-217	-40	-241	-144	0.13	23%	-0.3	-70.7	2.96%	0	-2	40	0
23	Apr_18_2016	908.37	770.36	761.35	744.4	743.31	742.31	729(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-96	-10	-103	-75	0.11	23%	-0.29	-76.9	2.96%	0	-2	39	0
24	Apr_15_2016	911.05	773.36	765.19	755.9	752.19	742.5	744.5(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-111	-100	-123	-75	0.08	30%	-0.28	-78.2	2.97%	0	-1.6	36	0
25	Apr_14_2016	913.57	775.94	766.75	763.3	760.69	744.31	741.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.3	-330	-160	-381	-177	0.09	30%		-87.9	3.09%	0	-2	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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