Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $772.5000 (0.06%) ($761.5000 - $778.7500) on Thu. May. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $772.5000(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    TLT(23%)    UUP(18%)    IPO(7%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $760.4(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $748.15(3.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $746.75(3.45%)
To recent high   -31.8%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.19%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.38%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 13.68%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2016	881.67	746.75	748.15	760.4	761.91	770.53	772.5(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	130	90	137	110	0.08	25%	-0.16	-7.8	2.43%	0	1.2	59	0
2	May_4_2016	883.04	747.14	743.9	755.1	759.33	765.69	772(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	308	80	350	181	0.12	25%	-0.16	-12	2.54%	0	1.2	60	0
3	May_3_2016	884.44	746.36	738.63	746	751.21	753.28	759.5(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	85	40	94	57	0.18	25%	-0.18	-24.7	2.53%	0	0.6	56	0
4	May_2_2016	886.05	747.43	734.77	740.3	744.28	752.98	740(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	107	100	127	47	0.16	29%	-0.21	-30	2.5%	0	-0.3	38	0
5	Apr_29_2016	887.94	748.57	733.66	739.4	740.16	749.13	758(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	272	90	326	109	0.2	25%	-0.19	-38.8	2.58%	0	0.4	35	0

6	Apr_28_2016	889.65	748.41	731.89	734.1	735.19	735.59	746(2.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	73	10	97	-1	0.12	25%	-0.22	-53.7	2.71%	0	-0.1	33	0
7	Apr_27_2016	891.57	749.59	731.18	731.2	733.97	731.2	726.5(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-55	-20	-48	-77	0.08	25%	-0.25	-62.6	2.69%	0	-1	21	0
8	Apr_26_2016	893.8	751.67	732.64	730	732.37	734.8	731(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	30	-5	-67	0.06	25%	-0.25	-68.1	2.73%	0	-0.9	40	0
9	Apr_25_2016	896.03	753.99	735.78	728.2	729.7	736.75	735.5(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	122	70	165	-7	0.07	25%	-0.25	-68.3	2.77%	0	-0.8	33	0
10	Apr_22_2016	898.26	757.05	740.4	726.9	725.89	729.94	731.5(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	76	30	110	-25	0.09	23%	-0.26	-67.6	2.83%	0	-1.1	42	0

11	Apr_21_2016	900.61	760.41	745.12	729.5	727.39	722.66	731.5(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-50	-36	-72	0.09	23%	-0.27	-62.3	2.92%	0	-1.2	45	0
12	Apr_20_2016	903.02	763.81	750.49	731.5	732.08	721.84	720.5(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-213	-100	-235	-146	0.11	23%	-0.29	-61.7	2.91%	0	-1.7	38	0
13	Apr_19_2016	905.67	767.12	754.79	735.7	737.31	732.13	722(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-217	-40	-241	-144	0.13	23%	-0.3	-70.7	2.96%	0	-2	40	0
14	Apr_18_2016	908.37	770.36	761.35	744.4	743.31	742.31	729(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-96	-10	-103	-75	0.11	23%	-0.29	-76.9	2.96%	0	-2	39	0
15	Apr_15_2016	911.05	773.36	765.19	755.9	752.19	742.5	744.5(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-111	-100	-123	-75	0.08	30%	-0.28	-78.2	2.97%	0	-1.6	36	0

16	Apr_14_2016	913.57	775.94	766.75	763.3	760.69	744.31	741.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.3	-330	-160	-381	-177	0.09	30%	-0.29	-87.9	3.09%	0	-2	35	0
17	Apr_13_2016	916.22	779.42	770.01	772.5	769.81	761.88	741.5(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-284	-80	-329	-150	0.16	37%	-0.3	-89.8	3.14%	0	-2.3	35	0
18	Apr_12_2016	918.95	783.61	772.94	776.3	778.57	777.06	765.5(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-0	-9	-20	0.13	37%	-0.26	-95.9	3.28%	0	-1.1	46	0
19	Apr_11_2016	921.38	786.32	774.18	780.5	778.04	777.75	786.5(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	-10	-44	-30	0.13	37%	-0.24	-90.6	3.28%	0	0	51	0
20	Apr_8_2016	923.56	787.78	775.03	775.9	779.35	780.08	781.5(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	20	68	11	0.1	37%	-0.25	-99.2	3.3%	0	-0.3	49	0

21	Apr_7_2016	925.89	791.44	776.55	770.9	775.26	778.33	787.5(3.55%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	15	40	24	-12	0.13	37%	-0.25	-83.3	3.33%	0	-0.2	47	0
22	Apr_6_2016	928.19	794.83	777.45	767.7	772.41	778.63	760.5(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	84	70	107	15	0.11	34%	-0.31	-76.4	3.32%	0	-1.2	33	0
23	Apr_5_2016	931.03	800.42	779.91	769	771.22	772.19	786.5(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	20	134	18	0.1	34%	-0.27	-68.3	3.32%	0	-0.4	34	0
24	Apr_4_2016	933.53	803.37	779.46	767.2	766.57	766.19	763.5(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-128	-10	-137	-101	0.09	34%	-0.32	-80.2	3.32%	0	-1.2	26	0
25	Apr_1_2016	936.51	807.77	781.81	774.3	774.3	770.25	756.5(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-26	-40	-17	-51	0.1	34%		-84.8	3.35%	0	-1.5	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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