Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $787.5000 (3.55%) ($770.9500 - $797.6600) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.33% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $787.5000(3.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(26%)    TLT(23%)    UUP(18%)    IPO(7%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.665% (StdDev 3.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $779.58(-1.01%)
Resistance Level   $791.44
5 Day Moving Average   $770.9(2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $776.55(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $791.44(-0.5%)
To recent high   -30.5%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 3.18% (three month std-dev: 3.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.01%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.61%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.64%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2016	925.89	791.44	776.55	770.9	775.26	778.33	787.5(3.55%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	15	40	24	-12	0.13	37%	-0.25	-83.3	3.33%	0	-0.2	47	INF
2	Apr_6_2016	928.19	794.83	777.45	767.7	772.41	778.63	760.5(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	84	70	107	15	0.11	34%	-0.31	-76.4	3.32%	0	-1.2	33	INF
3	Apr_5_2016	931.03	800.42	779.91	769	771.22	772.19	786.5(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	20	134	18	0.1	34%	-0.27	-68.3	3.32%	0	-0.4	34	INF
4	Apr_4_2016	933.53	803.37	779.46	767.2	766.57	766.19	763.5(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-128	-10	-137	-101	0.09	34%	-0.32	-80.2	3.32%	0	-1.2	26	INF
5	Apr_1_2016	936.51	807.77	781.81	774.3	774.3	770.25	756.5(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-26	-40	-17	-51	0.1	34%	-0.34	-84.8	3.35%	0	-1.5	24	INF

6	Mar_31_2016	939.72	812.97	785.85	783	780.95	766.94	771.5(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-233	-130	-260	-151	0.08	34%	-0.32	-88.6	3.37%	0	-1.2	19	INF
7	Mar_30_2016	942.78	817.81	789.68	788.7	790.66	778.34	767(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-279	-100	-313	-176	0.11	34%	-0.34	-94.4	3.4%	0	-1.5	17	INF
8	Mar_29_2016	946.04	823.45	795.46	792	798.18	794.95	777.5(-2.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-106	-0	-108	-100	0.13	34%	-0.34	-103.1	3.43%	0	-1.4	16	INF
9	Mar_28_2016	949.22	831.72	799.83	793.1	796.99	802.99	799(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	27	70	50	-41	0.11	34%	-0.3	-82.3	3.45%	0	-0.8	34	INF
10	Mar_24_2016	952.11	837.79	801.66	790.4	794.12	801.41	800(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	148	80	195	7	0.14	34%	-0.31	-78.9	3.48%	0	-0.8	34	INF

11	Mar_23_2016	955.09	843.66	807.26	789.4	788.95	790.99	800(2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	15	20	38	-56	0.18	34%	-0.32	-77.9	3.51%	0	-0.8	32	INF
12	Mar_22_2016	958.19	851.06	813.03	791.5	791.21	786.84	783.5(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-84	-40	-78	-102	0.14	34%	-0.37	-72.5	3.53%	0	-1.2	24	INF
13	Mar_21_2016	961.76	860.08	822.1	799.9	799.55	786.91	783(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-205	-110	-222	-152	0.09	34%	-0.39	-73.6	3.57%	0	-1.4	22	INF
14	Mar_18_2016	965.48	867.68	828.9	807.6	810.83	795.58	785.5(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-282	-120	-310	-196	0.13	34%	-0.4	-78.9	3.61%	0	-1.5	15	INF
15	Mar_17_2016	969.31	877.08	835.84	814.3	819.88	812.2	795(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-233	-50	-251	-178	0.13	34%	-0.39	-87.9	3.64%	0	-1.4	25	INF

16	Mar_16_2016	973.1	886.08	842.58	827.6	826.11	826.09	810.5(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-113	-10	-111	-119	0.15	34%	-0.37	-93.7	3.68%	0	-1.4	28	INF
17	Mar_15_2016	976.71	893.77	848.58	837.9	836.41	827.57	825.5(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-80	-53	-99	0.1	34%	-0.35	-95.2	3.71%	0	-1.2	25	INF
18	Mar_14_2016	980.15	902.91	854.01	848.1	844.6	826.13	821.5(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-317	-170	-349	-222	0.08	34%	-0.38	-99.7	3.75%	0	-1.4	23	INF
19	Mar_11_2016	983.84	914.74	866.37	853.5	855.94	845.25	819(-4.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-266	-80	-291	-191	0.17	34%	-0.4	-87.4	3.79%	0	-1.5	32	INF
20	Mar_10_2016	987.76	929.89	877.09	860	862.51	863.06	861.5(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-45	10	-30	-89	0.24	36%	-0.31	-64.9	3.77%	0	-0.9	32	INF

21	Mar_9_2016	990.84	941.03	882.82	859.6	860.38	866.63	862(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	25	50	54	-63	0.14	36%	-0.32	-56.4	3.82%	0	-1	32	INF
22	Mar_8_2016	994.06	952.18	891.6	861	861.23	861.95	876.5(3.3%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	49	10	82	-52	0.16	36%	-0.3	-50.4	3.86%	0	-0.9	36	INF
23	Mar_7_2016	997.08	962.67	900.18	861.7	863.6	854.14	848.5(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-186	-70	-192	-168	0.14	36%	-0.39	-43	3.87%	0	-1.3	25	INF
24	Mar_4_2016	1000.99	972.87	908.99	882.1	876.19	860.5	851.5(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-298	-150	-324	-221	0.15	36%	-0.4	-34.2	3.92%	0	-1.5	21	INF
25	Mar_3_2016	1005.03	980.56	921.38	897	896.47	873.06	859.5(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-310	-180	-335	-234	0.13	36%		-34.2	3.97%	0	-1.6	18	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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