Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 17, 2018

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $50.6600 (2.78%) ($49.4000 - $50.9100) on Wed. Jan. 17, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $50.6600(2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(92%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-21%)    BLOK(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.29(2.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.31(4.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.56(8.81%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 4.45% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_17_2018	41.55	46.56	48.31	49.29			50.66(2.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	74	-10000	17	245	2.52	77%	0.41	64.3	1.27%	0	2	86	0
2	Jan_16_2018	41.38	46.23	47.76	48.77			49.29(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	65	-10000	10	230	5.17	75%	0.51	62.4	1.24%	0	1.6	82	0
3	Jan_12_2018	41.17	45.92	47.28	48.46			49.82(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	69	-10000	17	223	2.58	75%	0.39	60.7	1.21%	0	2.2	86	0
4	Jan_11_2018	41.01	45.6	46.76	47.98			48.87(2.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	63	-10000	16	205	1.93	74%	0.34	58.7	1.2%	0	2.1	85	0
5	Jan_10_2018	40.87	45.41	46.32	47.52			47.79(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	-10000	13	183	2.43	72%	0.32	62.1	1.18%	0	1.7	80	0

6	Jan_9_2018	40.74	45.27	45.99	47.16			48.07(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	-10000	21	161	1.6	72%	0.34	64.4	1.17%	0	2.1	73	0
7	Jan_8_2018	40.6	45.08	45.63	46.59			47.74(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	52	-10000	25	133	1.99	72%	0.35	63.3	1.17%	0	2.4	76	0
8	Jan_5_2018	40.46	44.89	45.3	45.91			47.45(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	42	-10000	21	104	1.93	73%	0.32	54.1	1.18%	0	2.7	80	0
9	Jan_4_2018	40.33	44.69	44.98	45.36			46.57(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	31	-10000	16	77	2.63	72%	0.27	49.4	1.17%	0	2.5	70	0
10	Jan_3_2018	40.22	44.53	44.76	44.95			45.99(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	-10000	12	41	2.15	71%	0.25	40.3	1.17%	0	2.3	52	0

11	Jan_2_2018	40.12	44.43	44.66	44.64			45.19(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	4	19	1.83	71%	0.38	45	1.15%	0	1.3	49	0
12	Dec_29_2017	39.97	44.38	44.56	44.53			44.33(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-2	4	2.49	69%	0.25	59	1.14%	0	-0.1	48	0
13	Dec_28_2017	39.87	44.39	44.46	44.59			44.74(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	2	2	2.21	69%	0.23	84.4	1.14%	0	0.6	56	0
14	Dec_27_2017	39.78	44.32	44.37	44.59			44.52(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1	-10000	0	-2	1.12	69%	0.2	86.3	1.14%	0	0.3	58	0
15	Dec_26_2017	39.7	44.27	44.44	44.53			44.44(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	-5	15	0.81	69%	0.28	100.7	1.14%	0	0.3	57	0

16	Dec_22_2017	39.59	44.17	44.51	44.67			44.6(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	3	40	1.34	69%	0.23	85.1	1.13%	0	0.5	54	0
17	Dec_21_2017	39.5	44.06	44.52	44.6			44.65(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	12	45	2.04	69%	0.2	86.9	1.13%	0	0.7	53	0
18	Dec_20_2017	39.42	43.94	44.46	44.31			44.42(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	5	19	1.79	69%	0.2	77.6	1.14%	0	0.5	50	0
19	Dec_19_2017	39.34	43.83	44.38	44.18			44.52(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-3	-10000	-7	8	3.15	69%	0.23	73.9	1.14%	0	0.7	58	0
20	Dec_18_2017	39.25	43.67	44.3	44.18			45.14(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	0	24	1.63	72%	0.23	70.7	1.12%	0	1.3	61	0

21	Dec_15_2017	39.16	43.48	44.3	44.35			44.27(2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-4	45	2.13	70%	0.2	67.5	1.1%	0	0.7	65	0
22	Dec_14_2017	39.08	43.34	44.18	44.44			43.21(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	14	-10000	-7	76	1.3	67%	0.18	67.7	1.07%	0	-0.1	60	0
23	Dec_13_2017	39.01	43.22	44.31	44.6			43.74(-3.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	32	-10000	1	124	6.5	71%	0.18	60.2	1.05%	0	0.4	66	0
24	Dec_12_2017	38.94	43.09	44.29	44.57			45.39(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	54	-10000	17	165	1.53	82%	0.23	56.1	0.93%	0	1.6	80	0
25	Dec_11_2017	38.85	42.89	44.1	44.21			45.14(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	49	-10000	10	166	1.1	84%		50.9	0.93%	0	1.6	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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