Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $41.4600 (2.47%) ($40.9500 - $41.6800) on Thu. Nov. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $41.4600(2.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(92%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-20%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.13(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.34(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.05(1%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   21.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2017	37.51	41.05	41.34	41.13			41.46(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2	-10000	1	6	2.05	65%	0.19	47.1	1.15%	0	0.8	54	0
2	Nov_15_2017	37.44	41.05	41.3	41.11			40.46(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-7	-10000	-12	10	1.78	62%	0.16	50	1.12%	0	-1.1	57	0
3	Nov_14_2017	37.38	40.99	41.37	41.38			41.1(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-4	46	1.42	70%	0.19	65.4	1.1%	0	0.2	67	0
4	Nov_13_2017	37.31	40.95	41.36	41.48			41.37(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-2	56	1.05	70%	0.16	70.9	1.14%	0	0.8	60	0
5	Nov_10_2017	37.25	40.89	41.3	41.53			41.26(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-2	64	1.74	61%	0.19	76.3	1.14%	0	0.6	61	0

6	Nov_9_2017	37.18	40.82	41.29	41.57			41.34(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	-10000	2	67	2.35	61%	0.19	76.9	1.26%	0	0.9	55	0
7	Nov_8_2017	37.11	40.75	41.19	41.52			41.81(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	6	66	0.94	61%	0.19	75.5	1.25%	0	1.8	66	0
8	Nov_7_2017	37.04	40.65	41.02	41.37			41.6(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	5	55	1.34	61%	0.16	78.3	1.26%	0	1.6	65	0
9	Nov_6_2017	36.98	40.56	40.92	41.23			41.63(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	7	52	1.08	61%	0.19	79.4	1.26%	0	1.9	66	0
10	Nov_3_2017	36.91	40.45	40.8	41.05			41.46(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	3	44	1.46	61%	0.19	83.2	1.26%	0	1.9	66	0

11	Nov_2_2017	36.84	40.36	40.73	40.98			41.1(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	7	53	1.4	61%	0.19	101.7	1.26%	0	1.5	65	0
12	Nov_1_2017	36.77	40.3	40.65	40.8			41.07(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	8	48	1.33	61%	0.16	103.9	1.26%	0	1.5	66	0
13	Oct_31_2017	36.71	40.2	40.57	40.6			40.87(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	2	36	1.03	61%	0.19	103	1.26%	0	1.2	61	0
14	Oct_30_2017	36.64	40.11	40.5	40.56			40.73(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	2	38	1.21	61%	0.16	105.4	1.26%	0	1.1	62	0
15	Oct_27_2017	36.58	40.02	40.43	40.51			41.15(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	2	42	1.78	61%	0.19	100.6	1.25%	0	1.7	71	0

16	Oct_26_2017	36.51	39.87	40.31	40.45			40.2(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-1	41	1.95	57%	0.14	95.7	1.22%	0	0.4	59	0
17	Oct_25_2017	36.46	39.77	40.31	40.48			40.07(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-1	44	3.11	57%	0.16	86.9	1.22%	0	0.4	55	0
18	Oct_24_2017	36.4	39.66	40.27	40.51			40.65(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	4	60	1.37	60%	0.17	78	1.21%	0	1	74	0
19	Oct_23_2017	36.34	39.5	40.19	40.42			40.46(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	3	62	1.74	60%	0.17	69.2	1.21%	0	0.9	73	0
20	Oct_20_2017	36.28	39.35	40.09	40.34			40.88(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	24	-10000	8	70	1.93	60%	0.17	63.9	1.2%	0	1.4	84	0

21	Oct_19_2017	36.22	39.18	39.97	40.15			40.32(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	4	74	1.73	61%	0.19	60.4	1.19%	0	1.1	85	0
22	Oct_18_2017	36.15	39.04	39.92	40.05			40.26(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	-10000	3	89	0.89	61%	0.19	59.6	1.2%	0	1.2	86	0
23	Oct_17_2017	36.08	38.92	39.81	39.99			40.16(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10000	3	104	1	61%	0.11	62.2	1.2%	0	1.2	87	0
24	Oct_16_2017	36.04	38.79	39.7	39.92			40.08(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	-10000	5	121	1.33	61%	0.17	64.3	1.21%	0	1.3	88	0
25	Oct_13_2017	35.98	38.67	39.57	39.81			39.93(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	-10000	2	132	1.72	61%		66.4	1.21%	0	1.3	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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