Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $36.4400 (0.75%) ($36.3300 - $36.6100) on Tue. Jul. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $36.4400(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(92%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-19%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.28(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.88(1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.08(3.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2017	33.15	35.08	35.88	36.28			36.44(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	7	146	1.27	59%	0.15	47.1	1.25%	0	1.5	72	0
2	Jul_24_2017	33.1	34.99	35.67	36.12			36.17(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	5	135	0.85	63%	0.09	42.4	1.27%	0	1.4	72	0
3	Jul_21_2017	33.07	34.92	35.49	36.01			36.22(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	5	127	1.03	63%	0.12	42.7	1.32%	0	1.6	74	0
4	Jul_20_2017	33.03	34.83	35.29	35.89			36.29(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	9	125	0.99	65%	0.12	42.3	1.33%	0	1.9	76	0
5	Jul_19_2017	32.99	34.74	35.02	35.67			36.26(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	11	96	1.07	65%	0.12	38.4	1.35%	0	2.3	61	0

6	Jul_18_2017	32.95	34.66	34.84	35.42			35.68(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	12	87	1.21	63%	0.12	31.5	1.35%	0	1.8	65	0
7	Jul_17_2017	32.91	34.63	34.69	35.14			35.62(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	24	-10000	11	61	0.75	66%	0.12	26.9	1.35%	0	1.8	55	0
8	Jul_14_2017	32.87	34.57	34.54	34.87			35.62(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	12	35	1.94	66%	0.12	15.5	1.38%	0	2.1	55	0
9	Jul_13_2017	32.83	34.52	34.36	34.59			35.18(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	13	8	0.99	63%	0.12	-0.8	1.39%	0	1.5	54	0
10	Jul_12_2017	32.79	34.49	34.31	34.27			35.01(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-1	-10000	4	-16	1.68	61%	0.09	-20.7	1.42%	0	1.3	52	0

11	Jul_11_2017	32.76	34.48	34.21	34.17			34.25(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-0	-33	1.44	59%	0.06	-21.6	1.4%	0	-0.6	45	0
12	Jul_10_2017	32.74	34.49	34.26	34.18			34.3(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	1	-40	0.82	59%	0.09	-24.8	1.41%	0	-0.5	39	0
13	Jul_7_2017	32.71	34.5	34.3	34.15			34.2(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-10000	2	-40	1.1	59%	0.09	-31	1.41%	0	-0.8	48	0
14	Jul_6_2017	32.68	34.52	34.34	34.1			33.61(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-21	-10000	-11	-49	1.44	57%	0.09	-33.6	1.39%	0	-2.4	43	0
15	Jul_5_2017	32.65	34.52	34.45	34.35			34.51(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	4	-29	0.94	61%	0.21	-5.4	1.35%	0	-0.2	48	0

16	Jul_3_2017	32.58	34.57	34.47	34.25			34.28(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-4	-41	1.31	61%	0.12	-5.4	1.35%	0	-0.9	44	0
17	Jun_30_2017	32.54	34.59	34.58	34.35			34.13(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-6	-24	1.72	61%	0.15	15.6	1.34%	0	-1.5	49	0
18	Jun_29_2017	32.49	34.62	34.63	34.48			33.96(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-8	-10000	-6	-14	3.03	61%	0.15	43.7	1.34%	0	-2.2	47	0
19	Jun_28_2017	32.44	34.65	34.7	34.61			34.85(2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	1	-2	1.76	67%	0.19	67.4	1.3%	0	0.6	53	0
20	Jun_27_2017	32.38	34.59	34.69	34.58			34.01(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-7	-10000	-7	-5	3.22	65%	0.19	63.6	1.29%	0	-1.5	44	0

21	Jun_26_2017	32.32	34.58	34.78	34.73			34.79(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	-5	14	1.47	69%	0.19	86.9	1.26%	0	0.6	58	0
22	Jun_23_2017	32.26	34.54	34.75	34.85			34.78(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	2	23	1.37	69%	0.19	106.9	1.26%	0	0.6	52	0
23	Jun_22_2017	32.2	34.49	34.75	34.8			34.62(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-10000	0	16	0.5	69%	0.22	118.4	1.26%	0	0.3	48	0
24	Jun_21_2017	32.13	34.43	34.72	34.79			34.7(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-1	17	0.78	62%	0.19	120.7	1.26%	0	0.5	55	0
25	Jun_20_2017	32.07	34.35	34.7	34.81			34.75(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-1	28	1.04	62%		106.6	1.35%	0	0.7	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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