Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $25.5300 (0.67%) ($25.2400 - $25.6100) on Tue. Nov. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $25.5300(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.07(1.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.71(3.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.73(7.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 4.72% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2016	23.96	23.73	24.71	25.07			25.53(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	-10000	6	171	4.91	53%	0.04	39.4	2%	0	1.6	84	0
2	Nov_21_2016	23.95	23.62	24.5	24.91			25.36(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	51	-10000	9	177	2.59	53%	0.17	38.9	2%	0	1.7	76	0
3	Nov_18_2016	23.91	23.53	24.27	24.68			24.82(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	6	167	2.64	51%	0.13	39.3	1.98%	0	1.3	67	0
4	Nov_17_2016	23.88	23.45	23.97	24.54			24.99(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	6	146	3.22	51%	0.13	39	1.98%	0	1.7	68	0
5	Nov_16_2016	23.85	23.37	23.66	24.4			24.64(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	4	122	2.62	51%	0.21	39.3	1.98%	0	1.5	63	0

6	Nov_15_2016	23.8	23.3	23.4	24.3			24.74(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	11	104	5.88	51%	0.25	39.4	1.99%	0	1.8	61	0
7	Nov_14_2016	23.74	23.22	23.16	24.03			24.19(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	10	73	4.45	48%	0.17	32.8	1.97%	0	1.3	55	0
8	Nov_11_2016	23.7	23.16	23.02	23.8			24.15(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	22	52	5.27	48%	0.04	17.2	1.97%	0	1.4	52	0
9	Nov_10_2016	23.69	23.1	22.89	23.3			24.29(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	23	10	8.04	48%	0.13	-7.3	1.98%	0	1.8	56	0
10	Nov_9_2016	23.66	23.04	22.75	22.79			24.13(3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	6	-10000	19	-33	10.29	48%	0.08	-37.7	1.98%	0	1.8	55	0

11	Nov_8_2016	23.64	22.99	22.75	22.37			23.38(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-11	-10000	9	-72	6.89	45%	0.08	-65.7	1.93%	0	0.7	47	0
12	Nov_7_2016	23.62	22.98	22.65	22.18			23.06(6.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-22	-10000	1	-89	6.53	45%	0.08	-72.2	1.93%	0	0.1	46	0
13	Nov_4_2016	23.6	23.03	22.7	22.15			21.64(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-13	-96	4.52	39%	0	-71.2	1.77%	0	-2.2	33	0
14	Nov_3_2016	23.6	23.15	22.89	22.41			21.73(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-14	-74	6	39%	0	-70.5	1.77%	0	-2.4	31	0
15	Nov_2_2016	23.6	23.27	23.06	22.7			22.03(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-13	-49	5.89	39%	0.04	-64.2	1.77%	0	-2.5	34	0

16	Nov_1_2016	23.59	23.37	23.22	22.96			22.45(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-11	-25	8.18	41%	0.04	-64.4	1.77%	0	-2.2	35	0
17	Oct_31_2016	23.58	23.44	23.32	23.18			22.92(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-7	-7	3.77	43%	0.04	-60.5	1.75%	0	-1.4	43	0
18	Oct_28_2016	23.57	23.5	23.33	23.33			22.94(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-5	-10	7.93	43%	0	-42.4	1.75%	0	-1.4	31	0
19	Oct_27_2016	23.57	23.57	23.33	23.43			23.16(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-2	-9	3.56	43%	0	-37.6	1.75%	0	-1.1	40	0
20	Oct_26_2016	23.57	23.6	23.36	23.48			23.35(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-18	4.63	43%	0.04	-42	1.75%	0	-0.6	39	0

21	Oct_25_2016	23.56	23.65	23.37	23.52			23.51(-0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-10000	2	-22	5.37	43%	0.04	-36.7	1.75%	0	-0.3	42	0
22	Oct_24_2016	23.55	23.65	23.34	23.48			23.71(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	7	-29	4.13	43%	0.04	-32	1.74%	0	0.1	49	0
23	Oct_21_2016	23.54	23.67	23.38	23.33			23.43(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	3	-42	3.82	43%	0.04	-38.4	1.75%	0	-0.6	40	0
24	Oct_20_2016	23.53	23.71	23.42	23.27			23.4(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	2	-54	4.3	43%	0.09	-31.1	1.75%	0	-0.7	37	0
25	Oct_19_2016	23.51	23.76	23.48	23.23			23.53(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	1	-54	2.15	43%		-24.9	1.76%	0	-0.5	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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