Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $24.1300 (3.21%) ($22.7900 - $24.3700) on Wed. Nov. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $24.1300(3.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-18%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.79(5.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.75(6.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.04(4.73%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2016	23.66	23.04	22.75	22.79			24.13(3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	6	-10000	19	-33	10.29	48%	0.08	-37.7	1.98%	0	1.8	55	0
2	Nov_8_2016	23.64	22.99	22.75	22.37			23.38(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-11	-10000	9	-72	6.89	45%	0.08	-65.7	1.93%	0	0.7	47	0
3	Nov_7_2016	23.62	22.98	22.65	22.18			23.06(6.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-22	-10000	1	-89	6.53	45%	0.08	-72.2	1.93%	0	0.1	46	0
4	Nov_4_2016	23.6	23.03	22.7	22.15			21.64(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-13	-96	4.52	39%	0	-71.2	1.77%	0	-2.2	33	0
5	Nov_3_2016	23.6	23.15	22.89	22.41			21.73(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-14	-74	6	39%	0	-70.5	1.77%	0	-2.4	31	0

6	Nov_2_2016	23.6	23.27	23.06	22.7			22.03(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-13	-49	5.89	39%	0.04	-64.2	1.77%	0	-2.5	34	0
7	Nov_1_2016	23.59	23.37	23.22	22.96			22.45(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-11	-25	8.18	41%	0.04	-64.4	1.77%	0	-2.2	35	0
8	Oct_31_2016	23.58	23.44	23.32	23.18			22.92(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-7	-7	3.77	43%	0.04	-60.5	1.75%	0	-1.4	43	0
9	Oct_28_2016	23.57	23.5	23.33	23.33			22.94(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-5	-10	7.93	43%	0	-42.4	1.75%	0	-1.4	31	0
10	Oct_27_2016	23.57	23.57	23.33	23.43			23.16(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-2	-9	3.56	43%	0	-37.6	1.75%	0	-1.1	40	0

11	Oct_26_2016	23.57	23.6	23.36	23.48			23.35(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-18	4.63	43%	0.04	-42	1.75%	0	-0.6	39	0
12	Oct_25_2016	23.56	23.65	23.37	23.52			23.51(-0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-10000	2	-22	5.37	43%	0.04	-36.7	1.75%	0	-0.3	42	0
13	Oct_24_2016	23.55	23.65	23.34	23.48			23.71(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	7	-29	4.13	43%	0.04	-32	1.74%	0	0.1	49	0
14	Oct_21_2016	23.54	23.67	23.38	23.33			23.43(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	3	-42	3.82	43%	0.04	-38.4	1.75%	0	-0.6	40	0
15	Oct_20_2016	23.53	23.71	23.42	23.27			23.4(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	2	-54	4.3	43%	0.09	-31.1	1.75%	0	-0.7	37	0

16	Oct_19_2016	23.51	23.76	23.48	23.23			23.53(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	1	-54	2.15	43%	0.04	-24.9	1.76%	0	-0.5	48	0
17	Oct_18_2016	23.5	23.76	23.52	23.2			23.33(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	0	-63	5.96	43%	0	-14.5	1.76%	0	-1	38	0
18	Oct_17_2016	23.5	23.8	23.56	23.19			22.94(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-12	-73	4.49	43%	0.04	-11.1	1.75%	0	-1.9	39	0
19	Oct_14_2016	23.49	23.83	23.68	23.44			23.17(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-7	-48	5.94	43%	0.04	-2.3	1.74%	0	-1.6	47	0
20	Oct_13_2016	23.48	23.85	23.79	23.58			23.16(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-9	-37	5.97	43%	0.04	10.1	1.75%	0	-1.7	41	0

21	Oct_12_2016	23.47	23.88	23.86	23.76			23.39(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-6	-33	5.79	43%	0.09	9.7	1.75%	0	-1.2	39	0
22	Oct_11_2016	23.45	23.86	23.96	23.89			23.31(-3.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8	-10000	-4	-19	8.12	43%	0.13	-3.7	1.77%	0	-1.2	44	0
23	Oct_10_2016	23.42	23.85	24.04	23.98			24.19(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	2	-1	4.12	48%	0.17	-18.5	1.71%	0	0.8	58	0
24	Oct_7_2016	23.38	23.84	23.99	23.95			23.84(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-5	-3	5.42	55%	0.13	-26.4	1.79%	0	0	56	0
25	Oct_6_2016	23.35	23.81	24.03	24.05			24.09(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	4	19	2.6	55%		-31.8	1.79%	0	0.5	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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