Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPXL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $23.0600 (6.56%) ($22.5100 - $23.1000) on Mon. Nov. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.93% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $23.0600(6.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -0.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-18%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.965% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.16(-25.59%)
5 Day Moving Average   $22.18(3.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.65(1.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.98(0.35%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 1.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2016	23.62	22.98	22.65	22.18			23.06(6.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-22	-10000	1	-89	6.53	45%	0.08	-72.2	1.93%	0	0.1	46	0
2	Nov_4_2016	23.6	23.03	22.7	22.15			21.64(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-13	-96	4.52	39%	0	-71.2	1.77%	0	-2.2	33	0
3	Nov_3_2016	23.6	23.15	22.89	22.41			21.73(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-14	-74	6	39%	0	-70.5	1.77%	0	-2.4	31	0
4	Nov_2_2016	23.6	23.27	23.06	22.7			22.03(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-13	-49	5.89	39%	0.04	-64.2	1.77%	0	-2.5	34	0
5	Nov_1_2016	23.59	23.37	23.22	22.96			22.45(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-11	-25	8.18	41%	0.04	-64.4	1.77%	0	-2.2	35	0

6	Oct_31_2016	23.58	23.44	23.32	23.18			22.92(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-7	-7	3.77	43%	0.04	-60.5	1.75%	0	-1.4	43	0
7	Oct_28_2016	23.57	23.5	23.33	23.33			22.94(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-5	-10	7.93	43%	0	-42.4	1.75%	0	-1.4	31	0
8	Oct_27_2016	23.57	23.57	23.33	23.43			23.16(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-2	-9	3.56	43%	0	-37.6	1.75%	0	-1.1	40	0
9	Oct_26_2016	23.57	23.6	23.36	23.48			23.35(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-18	4.63	43%	0.04	-42	1.75%	0	-0.6	39	0
10	Oct_25_2016	23.56	23.65	23.37	23.52			23.51(-0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-10000	2	-22	5.37	43%	0.04	-36.7	1.75%	0	-0.3	42	0

11	Oct_24_2016	23.55	23.65	23.34	23.48			23.71(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	7	-29	4.13	43%	0.04	-32	1.74%	0	0.1	49	0
12	Oct_21_2016	23.54	23.67	23.38	23.33			23.43(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	3	-42	3.82	43%	0.04	-38.4	1.75%	0	-0.6	40	0
13	Oct_20_2016	23.53	23.71	23.42	23.27			23.4(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	2	-54	4.3	43%	0.09	-31.1	1.75%	0	-0.7	37	0
14	Oct_19_2016	23.51	23.76	23.48	23.23			23.53(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	1	-54	2.15	43%	0.04	-24.9	1.76%	0	-0.5	48	0
15	Oct_18_2016	23.5	23.76	23.52	23.2			23.33(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	0	-63	5.96	43%	0	-14.5	1.76%	0	-1	38	0

16	Oct_17_2016	23.5	23.8	23.56	23.19			22.94(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-12	-73	4.49	43%	0.04	-11.1	1.75%	0	-1.9	39	0
17	Oct_14_2016	23.49	23.83	23.68	23.44			23.17(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-7	-48	5.94	43%	0.04	-2.3	1.74%	0	-1.6	47	0
18	Oct_13_2016	23.48	23.85	23.79	23.58			23.16(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-9	-37	5.97	43%	0.04	10.1	1.75%	0	-1.7	41	0
19	Oct_12_2016	23.47	23.88	23.86	23.76			23.39(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-6	-33	5.79	43%	0.09	9.7	1.75%	0	-1.2	39	0
20	Oct_11_2016	23.45	23.86	23.96	23.89			23.31(-3.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8	-10000	-4	-19	8.12	43%	0.13	-3.7	1.77%	0	-1.2	44	0

21	Oct_10_2016	23.42	23.85	24.04	23.98			24.19(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	2	-1	4.12	48%	0.17	-18.5	1.71%	0	0.8	58	0
22	Oct_7_2016	23.38	23.84	23.99	23.95			23.84(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-5	-3	5.42	55%	0.13	-26.4	1.79%	0	0	56	0
23	Oct_6_2016	23.35	23.81	24.03	24.05			24.09(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	4	19	2.6	55%	0.17	-31.8	1.79%	0	0.5	58	0
24	Oct_5_2016	23.31	23.83	24.07	23.97			24.02(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-4	23	3.94	55%	0.13	-29.3	1.8%	0	0.3	54	0
25	Oct_4_2016	23.28	23.88	24.08	24.05			23.75(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-3	45	5.21	55%		-21.2	1.81%	0	-0.2	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.