Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $23.7100 (1.2%) ($23.6000 - $23.8700) on Mon. Oct. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $23.7100(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-18%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.48(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.34(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.67(0.17%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 1.69% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_24_2016	23.55		23.34	23.48			23.71(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	7	-29	4.13	43%	0.04	-32	1.74%	0	0.1	49	0
2	Oct_21_2016	23.54	23.67	23.38	23.33			23.43(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	3	-42	3.82	43%	0.04	-38.4	1.75%	0	-0.6	40	0
3	Oct_20_2016	23.53	23.71	23.42	23.27			23.4(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	2	-54	4.3	43%	0.09	-31.1	1.75%	0	-0.7	37	0
4	Oct_19_2016	23.51	23.76	23.48	23.23			23.53(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	1	-54	2.15	43%	0.04	-24.9	1.76%	0	-0.5	48	0
5	Oct_18_2016	23.5	23.76	23.52	23.2			23.33(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	0	-63	5.96	43%	0	-14.5	1.76%	0	-1	38	0

6	Oct_17_2016	23.5	23.8	23.56	23.19			22.94(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-12	-73	4.49	43%	0.04	-11.1	1.75%	0	-1.9	39	0
7	Oct_14_2016	23.49	23.83	23.68	23.44			23.17(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-7	-48	5.94	43%	0.04	-2.3	1.74%	0	-1.6	47	0
8	Oct_13_2016	23.48	23.85	23.79	23.58			23.16(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-9	-37	5.97	43%	0.04	10.1	1.75%	0	-1.7	41	0
9	Oct_12_2016	23.47	23.88	23.86	23.76			23.39(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-6	-33	5.79	43%	0.09	9.7	1.75%	0	-1.2	39	0
10	Oct_11_2016	23.45	23.86	23.96	23.89			23.31(-3.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8	-10000	-4	-19	8.12	43%	0.13	-3.7	1.77%	0	-1.2	44	0

11	Oct_10_2016	23.42	23.85	24.04	23.98			24.19(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	2	-1	4.12	48%	0.17	-18.5	1.71%	0	0.8	58	0
12	Oct_7_2016	23.38	23.84	23.99	23.95			23.84(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-5	-3	5.42	55%	0.13	-26.4	1.79%	0	0	56	0
13	Oct_6_2016	23.35	23.81	24.03	24.05			24.09(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	4	19	2.6	55%	0.17	-31.8	1.79%	0	0.5	58	0
14	Oct_5_2016	23.31	23.83	24.07	23.97			24.02(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-4	23	3.94	55%	0.13	-29.3	1.8%	0	0.3	54	0
15	Oct_4_2016	23.28	23.88	24.08	24.05			23.75(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-3	45	5.21	55%	0.13	-21.2	1.81%	0	-0.2	59	0

16	Oct_3_2016	23.25	23.93	24.06	24.12			24.07(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	4	59	3.85	55%	0.17	-17.1	1.82%	0	0.2	61	0
17	Sep_30_2016	23.21	23.93	24	24.03			24.3(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	1	44	5.39	59%	0.13	-17.8	1.81%	0	0.5	52	0
18	Sep_29_2016	23.18	23.97	24	24.01			23.73(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-8	43	8.04	62%	0.13	-19.6	1.85%	0	-0.4	57	0
19	Sep_28_2016	23.15	24	23.9	24.18			24.42(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	2	45	4.88	70%	0.13	-13.6	1.92%	0	0.6	47	0
20	Sep_27_2016	23.12	24.01	23.75	24.13			24.06(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	6	18	3.96	63%	0.13	-18	2.01%	0	0.1	44	0

21	Sep_26_2016	23.09	24.04	23.65	23.99			23.63(-2.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-2	-10000	2	-15	6.63	63%	0.13	-23.7	2.13%	0	-0.6	41	0
22	Sep_23_2016	23.06	24.08	23.68	23.94			24.2(-1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	6	-21	3.59	57%	0.13	-29.3	2.52%	0	0.2	46	0
23	Sep_22_2016	23.03	24.08	23.57	23.77			24.6(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-6	-10000	6	-43	4.32	57%	0.17	-38.6	2.55%	0	0.7	51	0
24	Sep_21_2016	22.99	24.1	23.56	23.58			24.15(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	8	-51	6.68	57%	0.13	-47.6	2.54%	0	0.1	48	0
25	Sep_20_2016	22.96	24.13	23.63	23.34			23.38(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	3	-65	3.5	56%		-53.1	2.51%	0	-1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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