Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $24.2000 (-1.63%) ($24.1700 - $24.5000) on Fri. Sep. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.52% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $24.2000(-1.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.26% (StdDev 2.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.94(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.68(2.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.08(0.5%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   26.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 2.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2016	23.06	24.08	23.68	23.94			24.2(-1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	6	-21	3.59	57%	0.13	-29.3	2.52%	0	0.2	46	0
2	Sep_22_2016	23.03	24.08	23.57	23.77			24.6(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-6	-10000	6	-43	4.32	57%	0.17	-38.6	2.55%	0	0.7	51	0
3	Sep_21_2016	22.99	24.1	23.56	23.58			24.15(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	8	-51	6.68	57%	0.13	-47.6	2.54%	0	0.1	48	0
4	Sep_20_2016	22.96	24.13	23.63	23.34			23.38(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	3	-65	3.5	56%	0.09	-53.1	2.51%	0	-1	40	0
5	Sep_19_2016	22.94	24.21	23.78	23.26			23.37(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-4	-70	6.42	56%	0.13	-58.9	2.52%	0	-1.2	39	0

6	Sep_16_2016	22.91	24.29	23.92	23.39			23.35(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	2	-59	4.32	56%	0.09	-55.9	2.53%	0	-1.3	43	0
7	Sep_15_2016	22.89	24.37	24.03	23.33			23.64(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-23	-10000	-8	-68	5.91	56%	0.04	-60.2	2.53%	0	-1.1	43	0
8	Sep_14_2016	22.88	24.43	24.11	23.56			22.94(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-10000	-14	-62	5.17	53%	0.04	-51.5	2.5%	0	-2.3	36	0
9	Sep_13_2016	22.87	24.53	24.3	23.98			22.99(-4.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-21	-10000	-13	-43	9.06	51%	0.09	-41.4	2.5%	0	-2.7	34	0
10	Sep_12_2016	22.85	24.64	24.49	24.38			24.03(4.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-5	-19	8.09	55%	0.09	-24	2.46%	0	-1.4	42	0

11	Sep_9_2016	22.83	24.68	24.53	24.53			23.03(-7.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.5	-12	-10000	-10	-17	8.13	49%	0.04	-15.5	2.43%	0	-3.8	28	0
12	Sep_8_2016	22.82	24.79	24.71	24.82			24.82(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10000	3	-0	3.18	56%	0.13	23.5	2.25%	0	0.2	45	0
13	Sep_7_2016	22.79	24.78	24.69	24.74			25.01(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	-0	-10000	2	-7	3.73	56%	0.09	24.7	2.25%	0	1.2	53	0
14	Sep_6_2016	22.77	24.76	24.68	24.67			25.01(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-2	-10000	1	-9	4.49	56%	0.22	36.4	2.25%	0	1.3	56	0
15	Sep_2_2016	22.72	24.76	24.66	24.63			24.78(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	3	-13	4.95	56%	0.13	42.5	2.24%	0	0.2	43	0

16	Sep_1_2016	22.69	24.75	24.67	24.56			24.46(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-1	-19	4.66	56%	0.13	32.6	2.24%	0	-1.3	43	0
17	Aug_31_2016	22.66	24.74	24.72	24.58			24.45(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-1	-18	4.13	56%	0.13	29.7	2.24%	0	-1.2	41	0
18	Aug_30_2016	22.63	24.73	24.76	24.62			24.66(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10000	-3	-14	4.77	56%	0.22	26.4	2.24%	0	-0.2	53	0
19	Aug_29_2016	22.58	24.69	24.77	24.69			24.79(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	-10000	-1	-10	2.39	56%	0.18	26.2	2.25%	0	0.3	51	0
20	Aug_26_2016	22.54	24.67	24.79	24.71			24.43(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4	-10000	-3	-7	7.18	56%	0.18	28.6	2.25%	0	-0.8	45	0

21	Aug_25_2016	22.5	24.68	24.84	24.8			24.57(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-10000	-3	-1	2.61	56%	0.13	37.3	2.25%	0	-0.4	47	0
22	Aug_24_2016	22.47	24.67	24.84	24.88			24.66(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-1	13	2.97	59%	0.22	44.8	2.26%	0	-0	61	0
23	Aug_23_2016	22.42	24.65	24.88	24.91			25(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	2	21	2.22	59%	0.18	44.8	2.29%	0	1.1	69	0
24	Aug_22_2016	22.38	24.61	24.86	24.85			24.87(-0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-2	24	3.16	59%	0.13	43.3	2.29%	0	0.8	71	0
25	Aug_19_2016	22.35	24.58	24.85	24.9			24.88(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	0	32	2.48	59%		50	2.3%	0	0.9	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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