Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $25.1000 (0.97%) ($25.0000 - $25.2200) on Mon. Aug. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.34% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $25.1000(0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-18%)    IPO(-8%)    IBUY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.17% (StdDev 2.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.86(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.62(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.47(2.57%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   31.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 2.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2016	22.18	24.47	24.62	24.86			25.1(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	3	30	2	59%	0.14	72.4	2.34%	0	2	64	0
2	Aug_12_2016	22.15	24.43	24.54	24.78			24.86(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	0	26	3.08	56%	0.23	89.6	2.37%	0	1.5	61	0
3	Aug_11_2016	22.1	24.38	24.5	24.77			24.94(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	5	27	3.7	54%	0.18	109.9	2.37%	0	2.1	57	0
4	Aug_10_2016	22.06	24.34	24.43	24.62			24.6(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	3	19	2.48	56%	0.18	131.5	2.39%	0	1	59	0
5	Aug_9_2016	22.02	24.3	24.4	24.52			24.78(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	6	13	2.49	56%	0.23	146.1	2.42%	0	1.7	55	0

6	Aug_8_2016	21.97	24.25	24.34	24.34			24.74(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	3	-10000	3	4	1.89	56%	0.18	139	2.42%	0	1.5	60	0
7	Aug_5_2016	21.93	24.18	24.29	24.26			24.78(2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	2	-1	3.71	56%	0.18	123.6	2.42%	0	1.5	58	0
8	Aug_4_2016	21.89	24.09	24.29	24.2			24.18(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1	-10000	-1	-1	3.21	55%	0.23	92.4	2.41%	0	0.2	54	0
9	Aug_3_2016	21.84	23.99	24.26	24.23			24.11(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-1	0	4.23	53%	0.18	83.2	2.42%	0	0.2	51	0
10	Aug_2_2016	21.8	23.9	24.29	24.25			23.9(-1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-10000	-3	8	4.8	53%	0.23	82.3	2.44%	0	0	55	0

11	Aug_1_2016	21.75	23.8	24.32	24.33			24.35(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	0	17	3.55	53%	0.18	98.9	2.44%	0	0.6	64	0
12	Jul_29_2016	21.71	23.69	24.31	24.32			24.45(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	-0	26	3.33	53%	0.28	103.4	2.46%	0	0.8	74	0
13	Jul_28_2016	21.65	23.57	24.27	24.33			24.32(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	1	37	3.04	53%	0.23	97.3	2.47%	0	0.8	75	0
14	Jul_27_2016	21.6	23.42	24.25	24.3			24.24(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-1	54	4.44	53%	0.28	84.5	2.5%	0	0.8	83	0
15	Jul_26_2016	21.54	23.23	24.2	24.34			24.31(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	20	-10000	1	75	3.25	53%	0.28	66.2	2.5%	0	0.9	82	0

16	Jul_25_2016	21.48	22.98	24.15	24.3			24.29(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-10000	0	94	4.18	53%	0.23	47	2.5%	0	0.9	84	0
17	Jul_22_2016	21.43	22.78	24.05	24.29			24.48(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	-10000	3	108	2.5	53%	0.23	41.8	2.5%	0	1.1	77	0
18	Jul_21_2016	21.38	22.68	23.91	24.2			24.16(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	0	115	2.95	53%	0.28	45.2	2.49%	0	1	77	0
19	Jul_20_2016	21.32	22.55	23.71	24.19			24.45(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	5	128	2.96	53%	0.28	47.8	2.5%	0	1.3	85	0
20	Jul_19_2016	21.26	22.41	23.48	24.05			24.13(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	3	144	5.68	53%	0.33	49.1	2.49%	0	1.2	88	0

21	Jul_18_2016	21.19	22.29	23.24	23.97			24.23(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	-10000	6	173	3.14	53%	0.33	50.7	2.49%	0	1.4	91	0
22	Jul_15_2016	21.12	22.13	23.03	23.78			24.02(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	-10000	7	186	3.57	53%	0.28	46.3	2.5%	0	1.4	75	0
23	Jul_14_2016	21.06	22	22.82	23.58			24.13(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	-10000	15	175	3.82	53%	0.33	40.6	2.5%	0	1.7	56	0
24	Jul_13_2016	20.99	21.85	22.53	23.15			23.75(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	12	144	3.98	53%	0.33	27.8	2.5%	0	1.7	59	0
25	Jul_12_2016	20.92	21.73	22.17	22.81			23.74(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	15	108	3.89	53%		16.1	2.52%	0	1.9	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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