Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $22.0600 (1.71%) ($21.2600 - $22.1100) on Wed. Jul. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.52% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $22.0600(1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-18%)    IPO(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.26% (StdDev 2.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.8(1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.29(3.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.54(2.41%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 4.13% (three month std-dev: 2.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2016	20.68	21.54	21.29	21.8			22.06(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	15	26	8.42	46%	0.29	-12.8	2.52%	0	0.6	55	0
2	Jul_5_2016	20.62	21.56	21.29	21.4			21.69(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	20	7	5.65	46%	0.29	-22	2.54%	0	0.1	52	0
3	Jul_1_2016	20.56	21.56	21.25	20.88			22.12(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	-10000	15	-26	5.93	46%	0.39	-35.9	2.54%	0	0.6	53	0
4	Jun_30_2016	20.48	21.59	21.15	20.49			21.99(3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.6	-20	-10000	-5	-66	8.54	46%	0.34	-45.9	2.53%	0	0.4	49	0
5	Jun_29_2016	20.41	21.6	21.1	20.62			21.15(5.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-22	-10000	-5	-72	11.79	43%	0.29	-40.1	2.49%	0	-0.5	41	0

6	Jun_28_2016	20.35	21.66	21.11	20.74			20.06(5.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-14	-86	13.39	38%	0.2	-33.8	2.42%	0	-1.7	33	0
7	Jun_27_2016	20.31	21.76	21.26	21.1			19.07(-5.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-36	-10000	-21	-82	13.07	31%	0.2	-17.8	2.33%	0	-3.1	27	0
8	Jun_24_2016	20.27	21.93	21.53	21.63			20.18(-10.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-21	-10000	-9	-56	14.5	35%	0.15	8.6	2.25%	0	-2.9	32	0
9	Jun_23_2016	20.24	22.03	21.74	21.85			22.62(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-3	-10000	11	-45	4.85	46%	0.3	40.7	1.79%	0	1.3	54	0
10	Jun_22_2016	20.18	21.99	21.73	21.64			21.76(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	4	-63	3.95	39%	0.25	42.5	1.74%	0	-0.5	41	0

11	Jun_21_2016	20.13	21.97	21.82	21.56			21.89(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	5	-62	3.28	39%	0.25	45	1.74%	0	-0.2	46	0
12	Jun_20_2016	20.08	21.92	21.89	21.47			21.69(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	2	-65	5.21	39%	0.2	30.1	1.74%	0	-0.4	46	0
13	Jun_17_2016	20.04	21.88	21.97	21.44			21.3(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-9	-68	7.28	35%	0.25	27.4	1.73%	0	-1	39	0
14	Jun_16_2016	19.99	21.84	22.06	21.6			21.56(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-13	-52	8.2	35%	0.3	26.4	1.74%	0	-0.4	47	0
15	Jun_15_2016	19.93	21.8	22.14	21.84			21.34(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10000	-15	-26	7	35%	0.25	30.7	1.75%	0	-0.6	45	0

16	Jun_14_2016	19.88	21.77	22.24	22.13			21.44(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-10000	-12	10	6.34	35%	0.25	33.9	1.75%	0	-0.4	54	0
17	Jun_13_2016	19.83	21.76	22.31	22.37			21.57(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-9	53	5.59	35%	0.25	43.9	1.74%	0	-0.2	67	0
18	Jun_10_2016	19.78	21.71	22.38	22.55			22.1(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-10000	-1	91	6.92	47%	0.36	46.8	1.81%	0	0.5	74	0
19	Jun_9_2016	19.71	21.66	22.37	22.57			22.74(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	4	122	3.86	52%	0.36	49.9	1.76%	0	1.3	88	0
20	Jun_8_2016	19.64	21.58	22.28	22.5			22.82(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	7	138	3.12	52%	0.36	53	1.77%	0	1.6	83	0

21	Jun_7_2016	19.57	21.51	22.14	22.37			22.6(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10000	5	138	3.07	52%	0.15	56.9	1.82%	0	1.5	82	0
22	Jun_6_2016	19.54	21.42	21.95	22.26			22.51(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	4	125	4.92	52%	0.36	51.1	1.82%	0	1.6	67	0
23	Jun_3_2016	19.47	21.34	21.78	22.18			22.18(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	3	125	6.86	52%	0.26	50.2	1.82%	0	1.3	71	0
24	Jun_2_2016	19.42	21.26	21.6	22.13			22.37(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	5	113	3.24	52%	0.31	44.2	1.82%	0	1.7	63	0
25	Jun_1_2016	19.36	21.17	21.42	22.02			22.17(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	7	100	3.29	62%		32.6	1.82%	0	1.7	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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