Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $19.7000 (-0.4%) ($19.4900 - $19.8700) on Mon. Mar. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.7% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $19.7000(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-18%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.85% (StdDev 3.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.15(2.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.05(3.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.16(8.48%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   34.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 5.56% (three month std-dev: 3.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2016	19.37	18.16	19.05	19.15			19.7(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	3	77	5.59	49%	-0.15	100.9	3.7%	0	1.5	76	0
2	Mar_11_2016	19.4	17.96	18.81	19.05			19.78(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	4	71	10.01	47%	-0.05	90	3.71%	0	1.7	68	0
3	Mar_10_2016	19.41	17.71	18.6	18.92			18.88(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	-0	72	14.48	45%	-0.05	69.8	3.73%	0	1	68	0
4	Mar_9_2016	19.42	17.54	18.49	18.93			18.84(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	1	83	6.21	45%	-0.1	61.2	3.73%	0	1	68	0
5	Mar_8_2016	19.44	17.36	18.34	18.93			18.55(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	0	85	8.1	45%	-0.1	55	3.73%	0	0.9	64	0

6	Mar_7_2016	19.46	17.2	18.19	18.91			19.18(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	12	98	7.95	45%	-0.05	45.9	3.72%	0	1.5	75	0
7	Mar_4_2016	19.47	17.03	18.03	18.51			19.15(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	-10000	9	96	9.29	47%	-0.05	34.2	3.73%	0	1.6	79	0
8	Mar_3_2016	19.48	16.91	17.8	18.22			18.95(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	6	100	6.95	46%	-0.05	32.7	3.8%	0	1.7	82	0
9	Mar_2_2016	19.49	16.79	17.59	18			18.74(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-10000	9	107	7.8	45%	-0.05	33.1	3.83%	0	1.8	74	0
10	Mar_1_2016	19.5	16.66	17.42	17.69			18.51(7.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	9	109	10.16	46%	-0.05	27.6	3.85%	0	1.9	73	0

11	Feb_29_2016	19.51	16.66	17.2	17.38			17.22(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10000	-2	105	8.31	43%	-0.15	28.6	3.71%	0	0.7	68	0
12	Feb_26_2016	19.54	16.6	17.05	17.46			17.7(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	5	113	11.12	43%	-0.15	35	3.7%	0	1.2	64	0
13	Feb_25_2016	19.57	16.53	16.76	17.3			17.81(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	6	86	8.6	43%	-0.05	34.6	3.73%	0	1.4	55	0
14	Feb_24_2016	19.58	16.43	16.51	17.12			17.19(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	0	62	12.22	43%	-0.1	33.7	3.7%	0	0.9	52	0
15	Feb_23_2016	19.6	16.4	16.32	17.11			16.99(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	4	52	9.44	43%	-0.1	37	3.69%	0	0.7	53	0

16	Feb_22_2016	19.62	16.34	16.14	16.98			17.62(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	13	29	6.66	43%	-0.05	32.1	3.67%	0	1.6	49	0
17	Feb_19_2016	19.63	16.29	15.96	16.57			16.91(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	-10000	15	-8	8.19	42%	0	16.7	3.63%	0	0.8	44	0
18	Feb_18_2016	19.63	16.22	15.93	16.12			16.91(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	12	-30	7.64	43%	-0.05	-3.2	3.63%	0	0.9	55	0
19	Feb_17_2016	19.64	16.15	15.9	15.79			17.13(4.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-1	-10000	13	-41	12.12	43%	0.05	-27.6	3.68%	0	1.3	58	0
20	Feb_16_2016	19.63	16.1	15.82	15.41			16.33(5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-11	-10000	8	-66	8.84	43%	0.1	-49.7	3.62%	0	0.3	49	0

21	Feb_12_2016	19.61	16.08	15.91	15.2			15.55(5.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	-10000	-3	-70	11.36	40%	-0.1	-64.5	3.6%	0	-0.7	49	0
22	Feb_11_2016	19.63	16.16	16.1	15.28			14.68(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-16	-66	22.6	38%	-0.15	-64.7	3.54%	0	-2	38	0
23	Feb_10_2016	19.66	16.25	16.27	15.72			15.24(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-11	-35	13.28	39%	-0.15	-73.5	3.52%	0	-1.5	50	0
24	Feb_9_2016	19.69	16.37	16.37	16.03			15.26(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	-10000	-9	-12	15.03	39%	-0.2	-74.4	3.52%	0	-1.6	52	0
25	Feb_8_2016	19.73	16.47	16.51	16.28			15.28(-4.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-10	-10000	-15	5	17.97	39%		-85	3.53%	0	-1.8	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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