Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $22.2600 (0.45%) ($21.6500 - $22.4200) on Tue. Nov. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.52% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $22.2600(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    VT(92%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-16%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.76% (StdDev 3.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.15(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.62(2.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.97(1.32%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   37.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 3.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2015	20.84	21.97	21.62	22.15			22.26(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-10000	6	-0	5.23	58%	0	34.5	3.52%	0	0.4	45	0
2	Nov_23_2015	20.84	21.93	21.58	21.91			22.16(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	5	-15	4.59	58%	0.05	31.8	3.84%	0	0.4	42	0
3	Nov_20_2015	20.83	21.9	21.55	21.71			22.28(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	10	-25	5.37	52%	0	30.6	4.03%	0	0.6	45	0
4	Nov_19_2015	20.83	21.88	21.56	21.29			22(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-10000	5	-39	7.91	51%	0	21.6	4.1%	0	0.2	51	0
5	Nov_18_2015	20.83	21.83	21.6	21.08			22.06(4.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-11	-10000	1	-46	7.92	51%	0	16.4	4.11%	0	0.3	49	0

6	Nov_17_2015	20.83	21.74	21.65	21.02			21.06(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-10000	-5	-50	10.9	49%	-0.05	18	4.07%	0	-0.8	40	0
7	Nov_16_2015	20.84	21.72	21.83	21.22			21.13(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-4	-35	7.52	49%	-0.1	28.7	4.07%	0	-0.7	49	0
8	Nov_13_2015	20.86	21.7	21.98	21.38			20.21(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-11	-26	8.35	47%	-0.14	35.9	4.04%	0	-1.7	40	0
9	Nov_12_2015	20.89	21.73	22.18	21.85			20.92(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8	-10000	-8	-7	7.79	47%	-0.14	55.3	4.02%	0	-0.9	44	0
10	Nov_11_2015	20.92	21.71	22.32	22.19			21.8(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-4	14	7.61	48%	-0.1	60.5	3.98%	0	0.1	62	0

11	Nov_10_2015	20.94	21.6	22.37	22.36			22.06(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-4	35	4.21	49%	-0.1	61.3	4%	0	0.4	73	0
12	Nov_9_2015	20.96	21.49	22.33	22.52			21.92(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-4	48	6.68	49%	-0.1	67.9	4.02%	0	0.4	67	0
13	Nov_6_2015	20.98	21.4	22.31	22.68			22.56(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	3	66	6.54	48%	-0.05	74.8	4.01%	0	1	72	0
14	Nov_5_2015	20.99	21.27	22.24	22.55			22.59(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	2	70	4.83	48%	-0.05	79.9	4.02%	0	1.2	73	0
15	Nov_4_2015	21	21.13	22.09	22.47			22.68(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	2	75	4.84	48%	0	89	4.02%	0	1.4	75	0

16	Nov_3_2015	21	20.97	21.85	22.38			22.87(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	25	-10000	6	81	4.37	48%	0	96.1	4.02%	0	1.7	82	0
17	Nov_2_2015	21	20.77	21.6	22.11			22.68(3.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	23	-10000	5	77	3.65	48%	-0.05	105.9	4.02%	0	1.8	77	0
18	Oct_30_2015	21.01	20.59	21.39	21.9			21.91(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	0	72	4.36	48%	-0.05	111.2	4%	0	1.2	67	0
19	Oct_29_2015	21.02	20.41	21.25	21.88			22.21(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	5	79	4.64	48%	-0.05	104	3.99%	0	1.5	71	0
20	Oct_28_2015	21.03	20.17	21.05	21.65			22.24(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	10	76	7.42	50%	-0.05	93	4%	0	1.6	71	0

21	Oct_27_2015	21.04	19.93	20.76	21.22			21.51(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	5	57	5.01	50%	-0.05	75.4	4%	0	1.1	72	0
22	Oct_26_2015	21.05	19.68	20.57	21.01			21.63(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	5	54	5.12	50%	-0.05	61.3	4.01%	0	1.3	76	0
23	Oct_23_2015	21.06	19.42	20.41	20.79			21.79(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	6	53	6.6	49%	-0.09	51.3	4.03%	0	1.6	74	0
24	Oct_22_2015	21.08	19.2	20.21	20.53			21.09(4.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	17	-10000	4	55	7.29	49%	-0.09	46.6	4.01%	0	1.4	77	0
25	Oct_21_2015	21.1	19.03	20.09	20.36			20.09(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	4	68	5.78	47%		39.4	3.96%	0	0.8	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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