Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPXL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $22.2800 (1.27%) ($22.1200 - $22.5100) on Fri. Nov. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.03% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $22.2800(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    VT(92%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -2.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-16%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.015% (StdDev 4.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.71(2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.55(3.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.9(1.74%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   37.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 2.97% (three month std-dev: 4.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2015	20.83	21.9	21.55	21.71			22.28(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	10	-25	5.37	52%	0	30.6	4.03%	0	0.6	45	0
2	Nov_19_2015	20.83	21.88	21.56	21.29			22(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-10000	5	-39	7.91	51%	0	21.6	4.1%	0	0.2	51	0
3	Nov_18_2015	20.83	21.83	21.6	21.08			22.06(4.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-11	-10000	1	-46	7.92	51%	0	16.4	4.11%	0	0.3	49	0
4	Nov_17_2015	20.83	21.74	21.65	21.02			21.06(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-10000	-5	-50	10.9	49%	-0.05	18	4.07%	0	-0.8	40	0
5	Nov_16_2015	20.84	21.72	21.83	21.22			21.13(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-4	-35	7.52	49%	-0.1	28.7	4.07%	0	-0.7	49	0

6	Nov_13_2015	20.86	21.7	21.98	21.38			20.21(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-11	-26	8.35	47%	-0.14	35.9	4.04%	0	-1.7	40	0
7	Nov_12_2015	20.89	21.73	22.18	21.85			20.92(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8	-10000	-8	-7	7.79	47%	-0.14	55.3	4.02%	0	-0.9	44	0
8	Nov_11_2015	20.92	21.71	22.32	22.19			21.8(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-4	14	7.61	48%	-0.1	60.5	3.98%	0	0.1	62	0
9	Nov_10_2015	20.94	21.6	22.37	22.36			22.06(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-4	35	4.21	49%	-0.1	61.3	4%	0	0.4	73	0
10	Nov_9_2015	20.96	21.49	22.33	22.52			21.92(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-4	48	6.68	49%	-0.1	67.9	4.02%	0	0.4	67	0

11	Nov_6_2015	20.98	21.4	22.31	22.68			22.56(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	3	66	6.54	48%	-0.05	74.8	4.01%	0	1	72	0
12	Nov_5_2015	20.99	21.27	22.24	22.55			22.59(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	2	70	4.83	48%	-0.05	79.9	4.02%	0	1.2	73	0
13	Nov_4_2015	21	21.13	22.09	22.47			22.68(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	2	75	4.84	48%	0	89	4.02%	0	1.4	75	0
14	Nov_3_2015	21	20.97	21.85	22.38			22.87(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	25	-10000	6	81	4.37	48%	0	96.1	4.02%	0	1.7	82	0
15	Nov_2_2015	21	20.77	21.6	22.11			22.68(3.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	23	-10000	5	77	3.65	48%	-0.05	105.9	4.02%	0	1.8	77	0

16	Oct_30_2015	21.01	20.59	21.39	21.9			21.91(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	0	72	4.36	48%	-0.05	111.2	4%	0	1.2	67	0
17	Oct_29_2015	21.02	20.41	21.25	21.88			22.21(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	5	79	4.64	48%	-0.05	104	3.99%	0	1.5	71	0
18	Oct_28_2015	21.03	20.17	21.05	21.65			22.24(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	10	76	7.42	50%	-0.05	93	4%	0	1.6	71	0
19	Oct_27_2015	21.04	19.93	20.76	21.22			21.51(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	5	57	5.01	50%	-0.05	75.4	4%	0	1.1	72	0
20	Oct_26_2015	21.05	19.68	20.57	21.01			21.63(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	5	54	5.12	50%	-0.05	61.3	4.01%	0	1.3	76	0

21	Oct_23_2015	21.06	19.42	20.41	20.79			21.79(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	6	53	6.6	49%	-0.09	51.3	4.03%	0	1.6	74	0
22	Oct_22_2015	21.08	19.2	20.21	20.53			21.09(4.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	17	-10000	4	55	7.29	49%	-0.09	46.6	4.01%	0	1.4	77	0
23	Oct_21_2015	21.1	19.03	20.09	20.36			20.09(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	4	68	5.78	47%	-0.19	39.4	3.96%	0	0.8	78	0
24	Oct_20_2015	21.14	18.92	20.03	20.21			20.45(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	4	79	4.9	47%	-0.14	31.2	3.96%	0	1.1	83	0
25	Oct_19_2015	21.17	18.79	19.88	20.05			20.54(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	3	93	4.38	47%		25.6	3.96%	0	1.4	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.