Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $21.9200 (-2.84%) ($21.5900 - $22.3900) on Mon. Nov. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.02% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $21.9200(-2.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(95%)    IWD(94%)    VT(92%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -2.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-16%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.01% (StdDev 4.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.52(-2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.33(-1.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.49(2%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   35.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 5.07% (three month std-dev: 4.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2015	20.96	21.49	22.33	22.52			21.92(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-4	48	6.68	49%	-0.1	67.9	4.02%	0	0.4	67	0
2	Nov_6_2015	20.98	21.4	22.31	22.68			22.56(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	3	66	6.54	48%	-0.05	74.8	4.01%	0	1	72	0
3	Nov_5_2015	20.99	21.27	22.24	22.55			22.59(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	2	70	4.83	48%	-0.05	79.9	4.02%	0	1.2	73	0
4	Nov_4_2015	21	21.13	22.09	22.47			22.68(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	2	75	4.84	48%	0	89	4.02%	0	1.4	75	0
5	Nov_3_2015	21	20.97	21.85	22.38			22.87(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	25	-10000	6	81	4.37	48%	0	96.1	4.02%	0	1.7	82	0

6	Nov_2_2015	21	20.77	21.6	22.11			22.68(3.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	23	-10000	5	77	3.65	48%	-0.05	105.9	4.02%	0	1.8	77	0
7	Oct_30_2015	21.01	20.59	21.39	21.9			21.91(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	0	72	4.36	48%	-0.05	111.2	4%	0	1.2	67	0
8	Oct_29_2015	21.02	20.41	21.25	21.88			22.21(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	5	79	4.64	48%	-0.05	104	3.99%	0	1.5	71	0
9	Oct_28_2015	21.03	20.17	21.05	21.65			22.24(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	10	76	7.42	50%	-0.05	93	4%	0	1.6	71	0
10	Oct_27_2015	21.04	19.93	20.76	21.22			21.51(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	5	57	5.01	50%	-0.05	75.4	4%	0	1.1	72	0

11	Oct_26_2015	21.05	19.68	20.57	21.01			21.63(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	5	54	5.12	50%	-0.05	61.3	4.01%	0	1.3	76	0
12	Oct_23_2015	21.06	19.42	20.41	20.79			21.79(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	6	53	6.6	49%	-0.09	51.3	4.03%	0	1.6	74	0
13	Oct_22_2015	21.08	19.2	20.21	20.53			21.09(4.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	17	-10000	4	55	7.29	49%	-0.09	46.6	4.01%	0	1.4	77	0
14	Oct_21_2015	21.1	19.03	20.09	20.36			20.09(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	4	68	5.78	47%	-0.19	39.4	3.96%	0	0.8	78	0
15	Oct_20_2015	21.14	18.92	20.03	20.21			20.45(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	4	79	4.9	47%	-0.14	31.2	3.96%	0	1.1	83	0

16	Oct_19_2015	21.17	18.79	19.88	20.05			20.54(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	3	93	4.38	47%	-0.14	25.6	3.96%	0	1.4	87	0
17	Oct_16_2015	21.2	18.69	19.74	19.95			20.49(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-10000	3	114	5.78	48%	-0.14	26.2	3.96%	0	1.5	87	0
18	Oct_15_2015	21.23	18.57	19.51	19.85			20.23(4.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	2	117	8.17	48%	-0.19	24.6	3.96%	0	1.4	68	0
19	Oct_14_2015	21.27	18.57	19.24	19.79			19.35(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	29	-10000	-0	116	6.94	46%	-0.19	28.8	3.92%	0	0.8	64	0
20	Oct_13_2015	21.31	18.51	19.05	19.8			19.64(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	4	118	5.47	47%	-0.09	36	3.92%	0	1	64	0

21	Oct_12_2015	21.33	18.47	18.74	19.66			20.05(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	5	101	3.81	47%	-0.19	34.9	3.94%	0	1.5	66	0
22	Oct_9_2015	21.37	18.37	18.37	19.48			19.97(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	9	78	5.87	49%	-0.19	36	3.96%	0	1.6	57	0
23	Oct_8_2015	21.41	18.29	18.12	19.12			19.94(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	14	57	8.6	47%	-0.23	29.5	3.97%	0	1.7	59	0
24	Oct_7_2015	21.46	18.2	17.88	18.61			19.41(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	12	20	7.87	47%	-0.19	15.9	4%	0	1.4	48	0
25	Oct_6_2015	21.5	18.12	17.71	18.19			18.95(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	-10000	15	-11	6.74	47%		6.4	3.99%	0	1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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