Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $18.1600 (4.31%) ($16.5800 - $18.1700) on Fri. Oct. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.96% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $18.1600(4.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(96%)    IVE(95%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.98% (StdDev 3.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $8.4(-53.74%)
5 Day Moving Average   $17.1(6.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.52(3.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.01(0.83%)
To recent high   -24.6%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 4.61% (three month std-dev: 3.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2015	21.61	18.01		17.1			18.16(4.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-16	-10000	3	-72	13.87	45%	-0.28	-41	3.96%	0	0.2	50	0
2	Oct_1_2015	21.67	18.02	17.52	16.99			17.41(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-22	-10000	-2	-82	9.82	44%	-0.23	-50.8	3.92%	0	-0.7	42	0
3	Sep_30_2015	21.72	18.02	17.7	17.05			17.27(5.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-4	-73	13.53	44%	-0.28	-49.6	3.93%	0	-1	44	0
4	Sep_29_2015	21.78	18.06	17.91	17.17			16.35(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-10	-61	10.47	40%	-0.32	-40.7	3.86%	0	-2.1	39	0
5	Sep_28_2015	21.85	18.2	18.19	17.5			16.3(-7.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-21	-10000	-13	-46	14.87	40%	-0.36	-21.7	3.93%	0	-2.6	33	0

6	Sep_25_2015	21.93	18.36	18.41	17.97			17.64(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-4	-15	11.77	42%	-0.23	-2.3	3.82%	0	-1.1	55	0
7	Sep_24_2015	21.98	18.45	18.51	18.12			17.7(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-9	-8	14.95	41%	-0.23	-7.7	3.82%	0	-1.2	48	0
8	Sep_23_2015	22.03	18.47	18.57	18.45			17.87(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-10000	-9	8	5.94	41%	-0.23	-24.2	3.83%	0	-0.9	50	0
9	Sep_22_2015	22.08	18.4	18.6	18.78			17.97(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	-10000	-5	32	9.63	42%	-0.27	-46.2	3.83%	0	-0.5	58	0
10	Sep_21_2015	22.14	18.36	18.68	18.98			18.68(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	2	44	7.13	42%	-0.23	-69.2	3.82%	0	0.4	49	0

11	Sep_18_2015	22.19	18.37	18.57	18.91			18.39(-4.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-1	24	9.87	43%	-0.18	-88.5	3.81%	0	0	45	0
12	Sep_17_2015	22.23	18.5	18.56	18.93			19.35(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	6	20	13.97	45%	-0.18	-79.2	3.79%	0	0.8	49	0
13	Sep_16_2015	22.27	18.63	18.44	18.71			19.49(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	9	11	8.55	45%	-0.22	-66.8	3.79%	0	0.6	58	0
14	Sep_15_2015	22.32	18.78	18.21	18.41			19.01(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1	-10000	1	2	5.94	45%	-0.18	-59	3.78%	0	0.1	66	0
15	Sep_14_2015	22.36	18.97	18.18	18.36			18.29(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-10000	5	17	3.83	43%	-0.27	-52.5	3.75%	0	-0.4	59	0

16	Sep_11_2015	22.42	19.19	18.28	18.18			18.51(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	1	10	5.95	43%	-0.22	-50	3.76%	0	-0.3	49	0
17	Sep_10_2015	22.47	19.38	18.36	18.13			18.26(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	1	-6	7.88	44%	-0.22	-48.6	3.75%	0	-0.5	42	0
18	Sep_9_2015	22.52	19.6	18.35	18.11			17.97(-4.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-10000	4	-40	9.21	44%	-0.22	-47.9	3.78%	0	-0.7	37	0
19	Sep_8_2015	22.57	19.83	18.2	17.97			18.75(7.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-26	-10000	-1	-100	7.24	46%	-0.22	-49.4	3.75%	0	-0.5	37	0
20	Sep_4_2015	22.62	20.05	18.01	18			17.42(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-10000	-12	-156	8.29	41%	-0.26	-47.6	3.59%	0	-1.1	32	0

21	Sep_3_2015	22.68	20.31	18.18	18.4			18.23(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-7	-167	9.46	43%	-0.22	-46.2	3.56%	0	-0.9	35	0
22	Sep_2_2015	22.73	20.53	18.44	18.64			18.2(5.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-41	-10000	1	-165	7.67	43%	-0.22	-45.4	3.57%	0	-1	36	0
23	Sep_1_2015	22.78	20.78	18.83	18.62			17.23(-8.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-37	-10000	7	-169	13.85	40%	-0.26	-47.1	3.49%	0	-1.5	31	0
24	Aug_31_2015	22.84	21.07	19.4	18.41			18.92(-2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-35	-10000	14	-180	6.41	44%	-0.17	-52.4	3.32%	0	-0.9	36	0
25	Aug_28_2015	22.88	21.29	19.81	17.99			19.42(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-49	-10000	2	-202	6.91	44%		-56.4	3.32%	0	-0.8	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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