Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $18.2600 (1.61%) ($17.8300 - $18.6400) on Thu. Sep. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.75% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $18.2600(1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(96%)    IVE(95%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.875% (StdDev 3.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-3.54(-119.39%)
Resistance Level   $19.38
5 Day Moving Average   $18.13(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.36(-0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.38(-5.78%)
To recent high   -24.2%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 11.46% (three month std-dev: 3.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2015	22.47	19.38	18.36	18.13			18.26(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	1	-6	7.88	44%	-0.22	-48.6	3.75%	0	-0.5	42	0
2	Sep_9_2015	22.52	19.6	18.35	18.11			17.97(-4.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-10000	4	-40	9.21	44%	-0.22	-47.9	3.78%	0	-0.7	37	0
3	Sep_8_2015	22.57	19.83	18.2	17.97			18.75(7.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-26	-10000	-1	-100	7.24	46%	-0.22	-49.4	3.75%	0	-0.5	37	0
4	Sep_4_2015	22.62	20.05	18.01	18			17.42(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-10000	-12	-156	8.29	41%	-0.26	-47.6	3.59%	0	-1.1	32	0
5	Sep_3_2015	22.68	20.31	18.18	18.4			18.23(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-7	-167	9.46	43%	-0.22	-46.2	3.56%	0	-0.9	35	0

6	Sep_2_2015	22.73	20.53	18.44	18.64			18.2(5.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-41	-10000	1	-165	7.67	43%	-0.22	-45.4	3.57%	0	-1	36	0
7	Sep_1_2015	22.78	20.78	18.83	18.62			17.23(-8.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-37	-10000	7	-169	13.85	40%	-0.26	-47.1	3.49%	0	-1.5	31	0
8	Aug_31_2015	22.84	21.07	19.4	18.41			18.92(-2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-35	-10000	14	-180	6.41	44%	-0.17	-52.4	3.32%	0	-0.9	36	0
9	Aug_28_2015	22.88	21.29	19.81	17.99			19.42(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-49	-10000	2	-202	6.91	44%	-0.13	-56.4	3.32%	0	-0.8	35	0
10	Aug_27_2015	22.91	21.48	20.13	17.93			19.41(7.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-61	-10000	-12	-208	11.29	45%	-0.17	-56.7	3.32%	0	-0.9	40	0

11	Aug_26_2015	22.95	21.69	20.45	18.28			18.1(11.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-10000	-29	-209	14.17	40%	-0.17	-53.8	3.2%	0	-1.6	32	0
12	Aug_25_2015	22.99	21.97	20.92	19.17			16.2(-3.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-86	-10000	-47	-203	14.6	32%	-0.26	-48.1	2.84%	0	-2.8	16	0
13	Aug_24_2015	23.05	22.33	21.62	20.55			16.82(-12.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.4	-65	-10000	-42	-135	19.09	34%	-0.3	-43.1	2.84%	0	-3.5	20	0
14	Aug_21_2015	23.12	22.63	22.31	21.84			19.13(-9.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-39	-10000	-28	-72	19.19	39%	-0.13	-44.3	2.44%	0	-3.7	25	0
15	Aug_20_2015	23.15	22.83	22.68	22.6			21.13(-6.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-18	-10000	-13	-33	12.5	44%	-0.04	-53.9	2.15%	0	-3.3	32	0

16	Aug_19_2015	23.16	22.94	22.85	22.91			22.55(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-10000	-2	-18	10.59	49%	0.04	-60.2	2.01%	0	-1	40	0
17	Aug_18_2015	23.15	23	22.92	22.96			23.1(-0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	4	-15	3.18	51%	0	-52.3	1.99%	0	0.3	45	0
18	Aug_17_2015	23.15	23.03	22.9	22.96			23.3(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-6	-10000	0	-23	4.85	51%	0.09	-47.5	1.99%	0	0.6	54	0
19	Aug_14_2015	23.13	23.06	22.87	22.88			22.93(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	4	-11	3.21	53%	0.04	-35.3	1.98%	0	-0.3	61	0
20	Aug_13_2015	23.12	23.11	22.91	22.88			22.68(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	0	-10	6.75	53%	0.04	-24.9	2.02%	0	-0.8	53	0

21	Aug_12_2015	23.11	23.17	22.98	22.79			22.78(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	-10000	-3	-9	8.8	53%	0	-6.1	2.01%	0	-0.7	46	0
22	Aug_11_2015	23.11	23.21	23.05	22.87			22.7(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-2	-6	6.18	53%	-0.04	14.7	2.02%	0	-1	42	0
23	Aug_10_2015	23.12	23.25	23.08	22.92			23.32(3.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	2	-11	4.35	56%	0	25.6	2%	0	0.1	44	0
24	Aug_7_2015	23.12	23.25	22.97	22.87			22.49(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-7	-41	4.77	56%	-0.04	30.2	2%	0	-1.4	33	0
25	Aug_6_2015	23.13	23.24	22.98	23.04			22.65(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-7	-46	3.63	56%		34.1	2.01%	0	-1	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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