Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $24.0600 (0.46%) ($23.8400 - $24.0800) on Fri. Jul. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.04% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $24.0600(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(95%)    QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    VYM(88%)    XLK(88%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.02% (StdDev 2.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.61(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.89(5.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.94(4.88%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 3.57% (three month std-dev: 2.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2015	23.04	22.94	22.89	23.61			24.06(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	13	93	2.38	53%	0	16	2.04%	0	1.4	54	0
2	Jul_16_2015	23.04	22.92	22.72	23.29			23.95(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-10000	20	62	5.48	53%	0	6.8	2.08%	0	1.3	53	0
3	Jul_15_2015	23.04	22.88	22.56	22.82			23.44(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	17	15	4.93	52%	0	-10.6	2.07%	0	0.7	48	0
4	Jul_14_2015	23.04	22.86	22.4	22.43			23.46(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-5	-10000	7	-40	5.27	52%	0	-21.4	2.07%	0	0.8	44	0
5	Jul_13_2015	23.04	22.82	22.4	22.26			23.16(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-13	-10000	8	-77	3.82	52%	0	-27	2.07%	0	0.4	42	0

6	Jul_10_2015	23.04	22.81	22.23	22.26			22.42(3.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	0	-99	8.66	49%	-0.04	-33.6	2.03%	0	-0.5	41	0
7	Jul_9_2015	23.05	22.87	22.3	22.08			21.61(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-8	-114	6.83	46%	-0.09	-31.2	1.99%	0	-1.6	30	0
8	Jul_8_2015	23.07	22.96	22.49	22.25			21.5(-4.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-5	-98	7.5	46%	-0.09	-29.3	1.99%	0	-2	38	0
9	Jul_7_2015	23.09	22.96	22.74	22.35			22.63(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	8	-81	8.12	50%	0	-36	1.9%	0	-0.6	47	0
10	Jul_6_2015	23.09	23.02	22.87	22.19			22.23(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-10	-87	4.53	50%	-0.04	-50	1.89%	0	-1.2	48	0

11	Jul_2_2015	23.1	23.07	23	22.4			22.41(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-8	-65	3.22	50%	0.04	-47.7	1.9%	0	-1.1	46	0
12	Jul_1_2015	23.09	23.11	23.15	22.58			22.47(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-10	-49	6.89	50%	0	-45.4	1.9%	0	-1.1	42	0
13	Jun_30_2015	23.09	23.17	23.23	22.79			21.99(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-10000	-19	-40	9.4	52%	0.04	-39.6	1.9%	0	-2	40	0
14	Jun_29_2015	23.08	23.25	23.36	23.2			21.83(-6.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-15	-10000	-19	-2	8.87	52%	0	-21.4	1.96%	0	-2.7	48	0
15	Jun_26_2015	23.08	23.35	23.48	23.64			23.3(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-2	42	3.09	58%	0.04	-4	1.79%	0	-0.1	59	0

16	Jun_25_2015	23.07	23.36	23.46	23.68			23.31(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-6	46	2.61	54%	0.09	-9.8	1.79%	0	-0.1	54	0
17	Jun_24_2015	23.05	23.39	23.49	23.8			23.53(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10000	3	63	2.46	54%	0.09	-3.1	1.87%	0	0.3	54	0
18	Jun_23_2015	23.03	23.4	23.47	23.74			24.05(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	8	58	2.54	56%	0.17	-8.3	1.86%	0	1.4	51	0
19	Jun_22_2015	22.99	23.4	23.32	23.56			23.99(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	12	34	4.54	56%	0.17	-28.8	1.86%	0	1.4	53	0
20	Jun_19_2015	22.95	23.37	23.18	23.3			23.51(-1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	4	-2	2.58	56%	0.13	-43.1	1.87%	0	0.3	48	0

21	Jun_18_2015	22.92	23.37	23.13	23.21			23.93(3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-2	-10000	3	-15	6.65	59%	0.17	-40.2	1.87%	0	1.1	54	0
22	Jun_17_2015	22.88	23.4	23.04	23.14			23.23(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-1	-32	6.56	57%	0.09	-35.9	1.89%	0	-0.3	41	0
23	Jun_16_2015	22.86	23.44	23.08	23.17			23.12(1.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	5	-31	3.42	60%	0.09	-24.8	1.89%	0	-0.6	39	0
24	Jun_15_2015	22.84	23.49	23.12	23.06			22.72(-1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-9	-10000	1	-39	7.17	60%	0.04	-23	1.95%	0	-1.5	44	0
25	Jun_12_2015	22.83	23.56	23.21	23.03			23.06(-2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	1	-48	4.47	63%		-24.1	1.95%	0	-1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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